Značka: whales

Small Bitcoin investors stop whales from crashing BTC price below $18K

An army of small Bitcoin (BTC) investors has been fighting with their larger counterparts for months to keep the price above $18,000.Bitcoin accumulation strong among fishesNotably, there has been some on-chain divergence between so-called whales (entities that hold more than 1,000 BTC) and fishes (entities that hold relatively smaller amounts of BTC) as Bitcoin continues to fluctuate inside the $18,000-$20,000 area.Bitcoin fishes have been accumulating BTC during the coin’s sideways trend. For instance, the net Bitcoin supply held by addresses with 100-1,000 BTC balance has increased from 3.71 million in June to 3.77 million in October, according to data provided by Glassnode.Bitcoin supply held by entities with 100-1K BTC balance. Source: GlassnodeSimilarly, the supply of Bitcoin held by addresses with a 10-100 BTC balance has also risen from 3 million to 3.15 million in the same period. The trend is similar across the entities holding anything between 0.001 and 10 BTC.Meanwhile, the same period of Bitcoin’s sideways price action has coincided with a decline in BTC supply held by whales. For instance, the Bitcoin supply held by the 1,000-10,000 BTC cohort has dropped from 3.82 million to 3.69 million since June. Bitcoin supply held by entities with balance 1K-10K BTC. Source: GlassnodeAdditionally, the 10,000-100,000 BTC cohort has decreased its Bitcoin holdings from 1.98 million to 1.92 million in the same timeframe. A basic interpretation of the on-chain data mentioned above is that fishes are more confident than whales about a potential Bitcoin price bottom near $18,000. But while these small investors may have been absorbing massive selling pressure created by larger investors, the downside risk is historically greater with a decreasing whale population, as shown below. Number of Bitcoin whales vs. BTC price. Source: GlassnodeInterestingly, one of the few exceptions is when Bitcoin’s reached its all-time high price of $69,000 while the number of whales remained relatively flat. This may suggest that whales are having less influence on the market compared to previous years, particularly as the balance on exchanges continues to hit multi-year lows. BTC correlation with gold risesFishes continue accumulating amid reports that investors are viewing Bitcoin as a safe haven asset all over again.For instance, Alkesh Shah and Andrew Moss, digital strategists at Bank of America, cited Bitcoin’s weakening correlation with U.S. stock indexes and strengthening correspondence to gold’s price moves as a sign that the cryptocurrency is looking to live up to its “digital gold” narrative in the future.Notably, Bitcoin’s 40-day correlation with riskier markets, such as Nasdaq Composite and S&P 500, has been flattening near 0.69 and 0.75, respectively, which are below their record levels from a month ago. On the other hand, its correlation with gold has surged from zero in August to 0.67 in October.BTC/USD and XAU/USD 40-day correlation coefficient. Source: TradingView”A decelerating positive correlation with SPX/QQQ and a rapidly rising correlation with XAU indicate that investors may view Bitcoin as a relative safe haven as macro uncertainty continues and a market bottom remains to be seen,” they wrote.Related: Bitcoin will shoot over $100K in 2023 before ‘largest bear market’ — traderOthers, however, expect Bitcoin’s price will eventually break down below the $18,000-support level. They include independent market analyst Filbfilb who argues that BTC price could drop as low as $10,000, given the tight correlation with risk assets and macroeconomic headwinds.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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'Can it get any easier?' Bitcoin whales dictate when to buy and sell BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) left both long and short traders behind in May and June, but data suggests trading it may be “easier” than many imagine.According to on-chain analytics resource Whalemap, Bitcoin whales have all but dictated market performance in recent weeks.Whales help pin Bitcoin at $30,000In fresh analysis published on June 7, Whalemap researchers showed that BTC/USD local tops and bottoms have coincided with areas of heightened whale activity.When Bitcoin’s largest wallet entities choose to buy or sell, price reacts accordingly. For those looking to reduce risk trading short timeframes, it may thus suffice to act according to where popular whale levels lie.“Can it get easier than this?” Whalemap summarized in part of a Twitter post. Bitcoin whale wallet inflows annotated chart. Source: Whalemap/ TwitterAs Cointelegraph reported, some whales are of more interest than others. Over the past week, one such entity on Binance has been contributing to Bitcoin’s narrow trading range with a series of buys and sells.“This binance whale has marked every local top/bottom for the last two weeks,” popular analyst Credible Crypto added in new Twitter comments on June 8. “Been watching him come and go. Accumulating at the lows, capping price at the highs. Most recently filled 2,000 BTC (60 million) at the local lows at 29.2k before this pump we are seeing now.”That “pump,” just like that from earlier in the week, has been short lived, with BTC/USD plateauing then reversing, losing practically all the gains from its initial uptrend, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView”Annoying” stocks correlation keeps pressure on BTCZooming out beyond internal factors, meanwhile, optimism remains thin for inflationary macro conditions favoring crypto strength going forward.Related: BTC price snaps its longest losing streak in history — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this weekWhile whales keep prices rangebound, Bitcoin’s correlation to stock markets is also frustrating traders. The correlation with the stock markets is annoying.— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) June 7, 2022Stocks themselves are further unlikely to feel relief in the short term, commentator Bob Loukas admitted on June 7, as monetary tightening worldwide gathers pace.”Still don’t see macro catalyst (yet) for bottom in equities. As stated before has look of a cyclical bear market that needs more time,” he said.”Price action on Cycle front confirms, move down into summer months. Been underweight a while, happy to be wrong. Wont fomo a ripping rally.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Small Bitcoin whales may be keeping BTC price from 'capitulation' — analysis

Bitcoin (BTC) could still see a major price capitulation, but more whales need to start selling first, data suggests.In one of its daily QuickTake market updates on May 27, on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant highlighted increasingly bearish whale behavior.Small whale selling should spark “absolute capitulation”Amid widespread consensus that BTC/USD should put in a lower low than its May 12 pivot price of $23,800, some of Bitcoin’s largest holders are showing signs of impatience.Looking at unspent transaction outputs (UTXOs) from various “bands” of whale wallets, CryptoQuant contributor Binh Dang flagged selling from the top cohort increasing since April.Those entities with $1 million or more, known as “giant” whales, have upped their distribution of coins, while smaller whales — those with under $1 million — have been slower to shift their position.”After the dip was at the end of January, we still saw the accumulation because all of the leading value bands went up, but from the 21st of April to now, giant whales (range over 1M$ – USD) have been distributing and do not get any signals to accumulate now,” Dang explained.”If minor whales and retailers give up, I think we will see the absolute capitulation and bottom also. If not, I will keep an eye on positive movements in the range of $1M to consider a reversal.” An accompanying graphic showed realized supply from giant whales decreasing sharply, with $100,000-$1 million whales only now beginning to follow suit.By contrast, the $10,000-$100,000 and $1,000-$10,000 bands showed no signs of capitulation.”Giant whales keep going on the distribution. Minor ones and retailers keep the defensive state,” CryptoQuant lead on-chain analyst Julio Moreno added in private comments to Cointelegraph.Data from fellow on-chain analytics firm Glassnode meanwhile confirmed an overall decrease in the number of entities qualifying as whales.Once again, an acceleration since April pointed to whale distribution, and as of May 27, overall whale numbers were at their lowest since July 2020.Bitcoin entities with a balance above 1,000 BTC vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: GlassnodeEyes on volume triggersEarlier in May, whale buy levels formed key support targets below $27,000.Related: Bitcoin ‘good to go up’ after BTC price hits lowest since Terra crashFor on-chain monitoring resource Whalemap, these were of interest in the aftermath of the initial May 12 dip.In subsequent analysis, researchers showed that capitulatory events of the kind forecast for BTC/USD required coins moving at both a profit and a loss in elevated amounts.”On May 12th both profits AND losses were higher than usual,” part of an explanatory tweet stated, alongside a chart of moving profit/ loss (MPL) data. “A good example of capitulation was in Dec 2018 when similar MPL activity was present (but at a much larger scale).”This week, on-chain transaction volume saw a noticeable increase, Cointelegraph reported.Bitcoin moving profit/ loss (MPL) vs. BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Whalemap/ TwitterThe views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin whale holdings at 7-month highs despite warnings of BTC price crash to $20K

Bitcoin (BTC) prices could drop by 20% in the next few months, but that has not deterred its richest investors from stacking.The amount of Bitcoin held by “unique entities” with a balance of at least 1,000 BTC, or so-called “whales,” has increased to its best levels since September 2021, data on Glassnode shows. Interestingly, the number in the past week grew despite Bitcoin’s price decline from $43,000 to around $38,000.Bitcoin whales holdings. Source: GlassnodeMarcus Sotiriou, an analyst at GlobalBlock, a U.K.-based digital asset broker, considered the latest spike in Bitcoin whale holdings as a bullish indicator, recalling a similar move in September 2021 that preceded a BTC price rally to $69,000 all-time highs in November 2021.”As whales have a substantial impact on the market, this metric is an important one to take note of,” he said.Bitcoin risks further declinesBitcoin’s price has fallen from $69,000 in November last year to almost $40,000 in late April 2022, driven lower primarily due to Federal Reserve’s decision to aggressively hike interest rates and unwind its quantitative easing program to tame inflation.Interestingly, Bitcoin’s fall has mirrored similar downside moves in the U.S. equity market, with its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite reaching 0.99 in mid-April. An efficiency reading of 1 shows that the two assets have been moving in perfect tandem. BTC/USD correlation with Nasdaq 100. Source: TradingView”You should think about this high correlation as a gravitational field pulling on Bitcoin’s price,” says Nick, analyst at data resource Ecoinometrics. He adds:”If the Fed nukes the stock market into a black hole, don’t expect Bitcoin to escape a major crash.”Technicals agree with depressive fundamental indicators. Notably, Bitcoin has been breaking down from a “bear flag” pattern and risks undergoing further price declines in the coming months, as illustrated in the chart below.BTC/USD daily price chart featuring ‘bear flag’ setup. Source: TradingViewThe bear flag’s downside target sits below $33,000.Meanwhile, Brett Sifling, an investment advisor for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, says that a break below $30,000 would open the door for a crash to as low as $20,000.All eyes on the FedSotiriou remains long-term bullish on Bitcoin, noting that the contraction in the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) by 1.4% in Q1/2022 may prompt the Fed to become less hawkish to avoid a recession.”As long as we see these macro headwinds persist, I think the correlation to the Nasdaq will continue,” the analyst told Cointelegraph. “However, the longer this consolidation continues, the bigger the expansion will be when the Fed reverses course from hawkish to dovish.”Bitcoin’s “asymmetric returns” potential Meanwhile, Nick believes that Bitcoin will recover faster than U.S. equities after the next large market drop.Related: BTC and ETH will break all-time highs in 2022 — Celsius CEOThe analyst explained by pitting the size and duration of BTC’s drawdowns — a correction period between two consecutive all-time highs — against tech stocks, including Netflix, Meta, Apple and others. Notably, Bitcoin recovered faster than the given U.S. equities every time.Bitcoin versus Netflix drawdown size and duration. Source: EcoinometricsExcerpts:”Bitcoin doesn’t look much different than your typical stock investment. So don’t worry too much about volatility and focus instead on long-term growth potential. Those betting on asymmetric returns shall be rewarded in time.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Litecoin price risks 20% drop as LTC whale activity spikes to monthly highs

The daily transactions involving the richest Litecoin (LTC) addresses — “whales” that hold 10,000 to 1 million LTC — have jumped to their highest levels since December 2021.Litecoin selloff ahead?On-chain analytics platform Santiment detected a total of 3,458 LTC transactions worth over $100,000 on April 5, calling it “an indicator of mid-term price direction shifts.” Meanwhile, Litecoin’s price continued its correction move on April 6, down 13% from recent highs of $135 on March 30.Litecoin daily whale transactions in 2022. Source: SantimentWhales are an influential cluster of investors since they hold a comparatively large amount of coins, whose movements can intentionally or unintentionally move markets in either direction.Santiment’s chart revealed little about whether Litecoin whales purchased, sold, or merely transferred their LTC holdings to other addresses. However, it showed that spikes in daily whale transactions have been preceding price declines in the Litecoin market this year, raising the possibility of LTC’s price falling in the coming weeks.LTC price technicalsOver the last ten days, Litecoin has experienced modest selloffs upon twice testing its 20-week exponential moving average (20-week EMA; the green wave) near $133.LTC/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingViewLTC’s price declined by nearly 7.5% week-to-date to drop below $120. Its path of least resistance looks skewed toward the downside, with its 200-week simple moving average (200-week SMA; the orange wave) near $100 acting as the next pullback target — around 20% below current prices.Related: Crypto billionaires increase by 60% in a year: Who made Forbes annual list?The given level also coincides with the lower horizontal support that constitutes a descending triangle pattern, raising LTC’s chances of a rebound here toward the channel’s upper falling resistance above $200 in Q2.Litcoin hodlers holdingAdditionally, the monthly position change of Litecoin’s long-term investors — or “hodlers” — shows LTC accumulation (green) during its price declines in 2021, suggesting that investors are currently betting on the price to rise in the future. Litecoin holder net position change. Source: GlassnodeMeanwhile, Rekt Capital, an independent market analyst, expects an early rebound in LTC/USD, citing a “falling wedge” — a bullish reversal pattern that starts wide at the top but contracts as prices move lower.LTC/USD daily candle price chart”LTC now pulling back for a post-breakout retest of the Falling Wedge top,” he noted in reference to the chart above, adding:”This Falling Wedge diagonal is confluent with the green Range Low area ($116-$125). LTC will be looking to hammer out a base in this area.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin ‘dormant’ for 7+ years moved right before BTC price dropped 5%

Bitcoin (BTC) dived $3,000 into the morning of April 1 as a widely-predicted pullback seemed to accompany fresh moves by major investors. As revealed by the Whale Shadows indicator, over 11,000 BTC suddenly left its wallet on March 29, having previously sat there for most of a decade.Dormant coins echo December 2017Whale Shadows, coined by analyst Philip Swift, tracks coins that become active again after spending a considerable amount of time out of circulation.Tuned to only record when 100 BTC or more leave their long-term wallet, spikes in the metric have previously coincided with what Swift argues are “major highs” in price.“There was a significant movement on-chain yesterday, with +10k BTC that has not moved for the past 7-10yrs finally moving,” he noted on March 31. The spike in that age band, described as involving 7-9 year dormant coins on Swift‘s analytics site, LookIntoBitcoin, is one of the two largest ever in Bitcoin‘s history. The only other time that old coins moved on such a scale was in December 2017 when BTC/USD hit an all-time high that would remain unbeaten for three years.Bitcoin Whale Shadows chart. Source: LookIntoBitcoinDiscussing the data on Twitter, however, opinions varied considerably over the significance of the latest event.ℹ️ The massive amount of activated dormant #BTC in the previous posts are possibly linked to the #Cryptsy hack/theft.— Whale Alert (@whale_alert) March 29, 2022Swift argued that the funds involved were likely tied to a 2014 hack of cryptocurrency exchange Cryptsy, while others disagreed.Popular user Nunya Bizniz further noted that the spike had occurred after Bitcoin‘s comedown from its latest $69,000 all-time highs, not before.Past 3 moved prior to substantial corrections.Why do you think this move is occurring after a substantial correction?— Nunya Bizniz (@Pladizow) March 31, 2022

Bitcoin fails to escape the Ides of MarchAs Cointelegraph previously reported, appetites were keen for Bitcoin to retrace after reaching its highest levels of 2022, gaining as much as 29.4% between its March lows and highs.Related: Bitcoin just regained a key price trendline after its longest absence since March 2020Fellow popular trader Pentoshi nonetheless still entertained the potential for a trip over $50,000 next.For Crypto Ed, however, the outlook was less rosy. Having failed to hold its support zone of around $45,000, in addition to the $46,200 yearly open, Bitcoin now faced a deeper retracement and reentry back into its established trading range.In case the green box doesn’t hold, #BTC will do a full retrace of the previous pump. Just like every other pump in the current cycle….back to the demand zone and bounce. pic.twitter.com/ovGwuJrBSR— Ed_NL (@Crypto_Ed_NL) March 31, 2022

Previously, whales on exchange Bitfinex had caught the market‘s attention with a sell wall near current spot prices, one which bulls nonetheless managed to overcome temporarily.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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3 reasons why Bitcoin price rallied toward $45K entering March

Bitcoin (BTC) extended its gains, hitting nearly $45 thousand on March 1 as interest rate speculators reduced their bets on aggressive rate hikes in 2022 and the number of whale addresses spiked amid speculations that BTC is proving itself as an apolitical safe-haven.Traders reduce half-point bets for MarchBTC’s price surged more than 4% to reach nearly $45,000, a day after recording its biggest one-day increase since February 2021 as a flurry of sanctions on Russia, including a ban from accessing the global banking system SWIFT, raised concerns over their impact on global growth and inflation. For instance, swaps tied to the Federal Reserve’s mid-March meeting anticipated a 24.5 basis point (bps) tightening as of March 1, 2022. That indicated a 0.5 bps rate increase — which had a 100% approval from interest rate traders last month — is less likely to happen.US Forward Swaps – Federal Funds Effective Rate. Source: BloombergMeanwhile, traders also reduced their expectations of the number of rate hikes in 2022 to five from seven just days ago, according to Bloomberg’s Lisa Abramowicz, who shared the following chart.Implied overnight rate and number of hikes/cuts. Source: Lisa AbramowiczThe repricing of the Fed outlook appeared as investors’ demand for safe-havens, including U.S. Treasuries and gold, boomed in the past few days. Bitcoin, which had earlier lost more than half of its value due to fears surrounding aggressive Fed rate hikes, also responded with a sharp recovery due, in part, to reports that Russians were buying the crypto to bypass sanctions.“Bitcoin saw a significant upward move today as it appears to have slightly regained its safe-haven status while the Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to intensify,” Walid Koudmani, an analyst at XTB Market, told Bloomberg.Data provided by crypto research firm CoinMetrics also showed a significant spike in the number of addresses holding at least 1,000 BTC, typically considered “whales” by the industry. Their number jumped from 2,127 on Feb. 27, to 2,266 on Feb. 28.Bitcoin addresses with balance greater than 1K BTC. Source: CoinMetrics, MessariTo 25bps or not to 25bpsRaphael Bostic, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, favored a 25 bps rate hike at the Federal Open Market Committee’s meeting at the end of February. Nonetheless, he also said that a higher than anticipated inflation reading could have him “look at a 50-basis-point move for March.”Related: 2 key derivatives metrics signal that Bitcoin traders expect BTC to hold $40KBut Ecoinometrics analyst Nick argues that the Russia-Ukraine crisis has now forced the Fed to walk on shaky ground. With inflation likely to remain higher due to higher oil prices, he explained, a too aggressive rate hike in March could risk crashing the stock market.”Inflation is so high that we can probably afford a stock market dip all the way down to -20%,” he wrote. “But below that, they’ll have to call back the tightening or risk a multiyear bear market […] Of course that’s not good for Bitcoin.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin whales buy at $38K as BTC supply per whale hits 10-year high

Bitcoin (BTC) jumping to $39,000 has already activated large-volume investors this week, the latest data shows.Analyzing whale behavior, on-chain monitoring resource Whalemap revealed accumulation underway at levels above $36,000.This week’s BTC price “triggered” whalesIdentifying clusters of whale bids, Whalemap uncovered what appears to be renewed market confidence among those with some of the largest BTC balances — between 100 BTC and 10,000 BTC.“Recent prices triggered whales to accumulate Bitcoin,” researchers summarized on Twitter Tuesday.According to cluster data, whales now own 330,000 BTC bought at spot prices between $36,000 and $38,000.Whale wallet accumulation annotated chart. Source: Whalemap/TwitterOverall, the portion of the BTC supply per whale wallet is now at its highest in a decade, data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode uploaded to Twitter by popular account Priced in Bitcoin shows. This comes despite the vastly larger Bitcoin user base compared to the largest cryptocurrency’s early days. Bitcoin supply per whale vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: Priced in Bitcoin/TwitterTrader and analyst William Clemente, meanwhile, described last week’s whale activity as “fairly heavy” buying.Exchanges see new influx of BTC this weekendThe results run in contrast to a decreasing buying trend, which began in the second half of January.Related: Bitcoin market cap dominance hits 2-month high as altcoins struggleAs Cointelegraph reported, exchanges returned to seeing greater outflows than inflows in recent weeks, despite spot price action putting in lower lows.In the past few days, however, exchange users have conversely sent BTC to their accounts as BTC/USD has risen to its highest levels in two weeks.The 21 platforms monitored by on-chain analytics firm CryptoQuant saw their balance increase from 2.357 million BTC on Jan. 29 to 2.377 million BTC on Jan. 31, the latest date for which data is currently available.Bitcoin exchange reserves vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: CryptoQuantWhales may not actively use exchanges for larger buys, particularly if they are in a position to perform over-the-counter trades or purchase coins directly from miners.

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Ethereum whales dumping ETH as price slides below $4K, data shows

Ethereum is having difficulty keeping its richest investors in line as its native token, Ether (ETH), hints at logging more losses in the near term.Blockchain data analytics service Glassnode revealed that the number of Ethereum addresses holding at least 1,000 ETH dropped to 6,292 this Monday, the lowest reading since April 2017. At its year-to-date peak, the numbers were 7,239 in January.Number of Ethereum addresses with balance of at least 1,000 ETH. Source: GlassnodeOn-chain analysts typically observe ETH distributions among addresses to realize retail and institutional sentiments. They consider wallets that hold above 1,000 ETH (around $3.92 million at currency exchange rates) as “whales,” primarily for their ability to influence interim market trends via large sell and/or buy orders.But as the numbers of these so-called whales drop, it reflects an ongoing selling trend among the richest Ethereum wallet owners. For instance, the number of Ethereum addresses that hold at least 10,000 ETH (or around $39.20 million) has also plunged, from 1,208 in June to 1,156 at the time of this writing, marking an almost 4.5% decline.Number of Ethereum addresses with a balance of at least 10,000 ETH. Source: GlassnodeBut, on a year-to-date timeframe, the numbers have gone up from 1,065 to 1,156, just as the cost to purchase 1 ETH, in the same period, has jumped nearly 450%. Small investors are accumulatingUnlike whales, wallets that hold ETH in small quantities have been at the forefront of Ether’s 2021 price rally.For example, Glassnode’s data shows that the number of Ethereum addresses with a non-zero ETH balance reached an all-time high of over 71.23 million on Monday. That included wallets with at least 0.01 ETH (~$40), whose numbers shot up to 20.31 million versus 10.66 million at the beginning of this year.Meanwhile, addresses that hold at least 0.1 ETH (~$400) jumped to 6.44 million this Monday compared to 3.62 million on Jan. 1, 2021. That is almost a twofold rise, signaling a higher retail interest in the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency.Number of Ethereum addresses with a balance of at least 0.1 ETH. Source: GlassnodeETH eyes bullish reversalThe latest decline in Ether whales appeared as Ether struggled to close decisively above $4,000, its psychological resistance level. On Tuesday, ETH/USD dropped by over 3.27% to an intraday low of $3,880. Its drop came as a part of a wider correction that started after Ether tested a downward sloping trendline as resistance on Dec. 23. The chart below shows that the trendline is a part of a descending channel that appears like a “falling wedge.”ETH/USD daily price chart featuring falling wedge. Source: TradingViewIn detail, falling wedges are technically bullish reversal patterns that appear after the price trends lower inside a trading range featuring two converging trendlines. The instrument eventually breaks above the structure’s upper trendline ahead or after reaching the apex (where two trendlines converge).The profit target in a rising wedge scenario is generally obtained after adding the maximum distance between the structure’s upper and lower trendline to the breakout point. That puts ETH’s price en route to the $4,200–5,000 range, depending on its breakout level.ETH/USD daily price chart featuring falling wedge targets. Source: TradingViewNevertheless, Ether’s price still has enough room to decline, toward $3,200 in the worst-case scenario. The level is where wedge’s trendlines converge.Related: 3 reasons why Ethereum price can drop below $3K by the end of 2021Meanwhile, independent market analyst Pentoshi said that nothing concrete can be predicted for Ether now as it remains stuck between a “bear contested” and a “bull contested” area, as shown in the chart below.ETH/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView, Pentoshi“Maybe it’s the bottom. Don’t care,” tweeted Pentoshi on Tuesday. “I don’t like when them market gives this many times to buy an area with important historical context like this Would rather pay for confirmation.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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