Značka: Terra

Double bubble? Terra's defunct 'unstablecoin' suddenly climbs 800% in one week

Terra’s $40-billion experiment to create a functional “algorithmic stablecoin” project has failed drastically following its collapse in May. Nonetheless, its native stablecoin TerraClassicUSD (USTC), earlier called TerraUSD (UST), has been thriving in the past week.Dead stablecoin walkingTo recap, UST lost its U.S. dollar peg in May following mass withdrawals from Anchor Protocol, a lending and borrowing platform offering up to 20% yield to clients on their UST deposits. As of June 15, the token was almost worthless, trading at $0.005 at the Kraken crypto exchange.But USTC started recovering afterward, insomuch that its value per token almost reached $0.10 on June 29. Simultaneously, its capitalization surged from $65 million to $767 million in the same period, according to data from CoinMarketCap.USTC market cap. Source: CoinMarketCapThat is despite USTC operating as an abandoned token after Terra launched a new blockchain with a new native asset LUNA 2.0, following a “hard fork” in May.Interestingly, LUNA 2.0’s older version, called LUNA, which now operates under the name “Terra Classic (LUNC), has also witnessed a spike in its market valuation like USTC, surging from around $160 million to $767 million in June.LUNC market cap. Source: CoinMarketCapMassive concentrated Terra pumpAccording to CoinMarketCap, more than 45% of trading volume behind USTC and LUNC’s surprising price boom has originated from KuCoin, a centralized exchange platform reportedly operating from Seychelles.KuCoin’s lead backer is NEO Global Capital, a Singapore-based venture capital firm also exposed to financial platforms like Babel Finance and CoinFLEX. Both platforms have been facing liquidity troubles due to the ongoing crypto market decline.”This isn’t a boom, bust and boom again cycle,” warned InvestmentU, a financial analytics group in its June 28 note, saying that LUNC could decline massively because “the tech behind it is dead.””Its (LUNC) raison d’etre has been vanquished. And so has its price. While we can appreciate investors’ natural desires for outsized gains, there are better ways to go about it than this.”Related: Terra’s LUNA2 skyrockets 70% in nine days despite persistent sell-off risksThe outlook appears the same for USTC, which has failed to perform its main function, i.e. providing clients a digital, stable version of the U.S. dollar.This is a game for whales Dump Next Time ☝️ all newcomers Lose Money — Crypto Bull (@_Crypto_Bull) June 29, 2022The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Terra's LUNA2 skyrockets 70% in nine days despite persistent sell-off risks

The price of Terra (LUNA2) has recovered sharply nine days after falling to its historic lows of $1.62. On June 27, LUNA2’s rate reached $2.77 per token, thus chalking up a 70% recovery when measured from the said low. Still, the token traded 77.35% lower than its record high of $12.24, set on May 30.LUNA2’s recovery mirrored similar retracement moves elsewhere in the crypto industry with top crypto assets Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) rising by approximately 25% and 45% in the same period.LUNA2/USD four-hour price chart versus BTC/USD. Source: TradingViewLUNA2 price rally could trap bullsThe recent bout of buying in the LUNA2 market could trap bulls, given it has come as a part of a broader correction trend.In detail, LUNA2 appears to be forming a “bear flag” pattern, a bearish continuation setup that appears as the price consolidates upward inside a parallel ascending channel after undergoing a large move downside.Bear Flags resolve after the price breaks below the channel’s lower trendline. As a rule of technical analysis, their breakdown takes the price to the level at a length equal to the size of the previous downside move (called “flagpole”), as shown in the chart below.LUNA2/USD daily price chart featuring ‘bull flag’ setup. Source: TradingViewLUNA2, now trading near its Bear Flag’s upper trendline (~$2.40), could undergo an imminent pullback toward the pattern’s lower trendline near $2. If accompanied by an increase in volume, an extended price correction would put LUNA2 at risk of crashing to $1.30, down almost 50% from June 2’s price. LUNA2 is riskyLUNA’s depressive technical outlook also takes cues from its controversial history.Notably, LUNA2 came to existence in late May as a means to compensate investors who had suffered losses during the collapse of Terra’s algorithmic stablecoin, now called TerraClassic USD (USTC).Meanwhile, the almost-worthless old version of LUNA2, named LUNA, started trading as an independent token under the revamped brand called “Terra Classic (LUNAC).”LUNA2 opened across major exchanges with a 483% spike to $12.24, only to give up all the gains in a massive correction move later. Mati Greenspan, the founder of crypto research firm Quantum Economics, noted that nobody in their right mind would want to invest in LUNA2 after the LUNAC collapse.LUNA/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingViewThat leaves LUNA2 in the hands of hardcore holders who want to recoup their Terra losses entirely and speculators who want to place excessively leveraged bets on its day-to-day volatile price moves. Related: Bitcoin price dips under $21K while exchanges see record outflow trendInterestingly, such speculations are also leading LUNAC and USTC’s market cap higher.LUNAC and USTC market cap. Source: CoinMarketCapThe market capitalization of LUNAC, despite being dead in theory, has risen by 75% to $594 million on June 27, after reaching as low as $339 million on June 12. Similarly, USTC’s market valuation has rallied from $13 million to $96 million in the same period.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Swiss National Bank exec: Regulators may favor centralized stablecoins after Terra crisis

Swiss National Bank (SNB) deputy head Thomas Muser talked to Cointelegraph editor Aaron Wood and discussed the ongoing trends in central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, and regulations, during the recently concluded European Blockchain Convention (EBC) 2022.Talking about the innovation and adoption of private stablecoins and plans of central banks regarding the CBDC launch, Moser said both could co-exist. He said that CBDC’s function would be very basic and private stablecoin issuers can add services on top of them to meet retail customers’ needs.When asked about the recent collapse of the Terra’s UST and its subsequent impact on regulations, Moser said that the recent spiral crash of the Terra and its decentralized algorithmic stablecoin UST could have a lasting impact on the regulators. He added that regulators may be forced to favor centralized stablecoins over decentralized ones although not every decentralized stablecoin is like UST. He said:“My fear is that that, that people will throw all decentralized stable currency in the same kind of category, which is not true, you know, so there’s a danger. I think that regulation will favor centralized stablecoins.”When asked about the developments on the regulations front, Moser hinted that it could take time. He cited the example of internet regulations from the 1990s where regulators took time to come up with new rules instead of implementing the existing telephone regulations. Related: CBDC may threaten stablecoins, not Bitcoin: ARK36 execMoser said, if current financial regulations are implemented in the crypto industry, the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem would cease to exist. He explained:“if you just take the existing regulation and put it on crypto then defi will disappear. Because you will only have centralized entities that you can regulate with the current regulation. For DeFi, where there is no single entity to be held accountable for, which is really just small contracts interacting, you need a different type of regulation.”Switzerland’s central bank is among the selected few that have begun the pilot for their national CBDCs, apart from China. The central bank carried out wholesale CBDC testing in January this year. Later in the same month, SNB published a report based on its trials and suggested that the risks outweigh the benefits.

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China’s BSN chair calls Bitcoin Ponzi, stablecoins 'fine if regulated'

Amid the Chinese government continuing to celebrate the massive decline of cryptocurrency markets this year, one key local blockchain expert has referred to crypto as a “Ponzi scheme.”Yifan He, CEO of Red Date Technology, a major tech firm involved in the development of China’s major blockchain project, the Blockchain Service Network (BSN), has penned a new article devoted to various kinds of cryptocurrencies and their supposed Ponzi-like nature.Published in the local newspaper The People’s Daily on June 26, the piece refers to private cryptocurrencies as the “biggest Ponzi scheme in human history.”The author mentioned the Terra network’s collapse, with the native token LUNA crashing 99% and the algorithmic UST stablecoin losing its 1:1 peg value to the U.S. dollar in May 2022. He also criticized the increasingly popular virtual currency concept known as X-to-earn, referring to move-to-earn or play-to-earn projects, calling the model a “phishing strategy.” The BSN chair also mentioned some well-known criticism of Bitcoin (BTC) by Microsoft founder Bill Gates and legendary investor Warren Buffett.He is not a fan of Bitcoin or any similar cryptocurrencies himself as well. “Currently all unregulated cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin are Ponzi schemes based on my understanding, just different risk levels based on the market caps and number of users,” He said in a statement to Cointelegraph on Monday.The BSN chair added that he had not had any cryptocurrency wallet or related assets ever: “I don’t touch them and won’t touch them in the future even if they become regulated because I don’t consider that they have any value whatsoever.”According to He, governments like El Salvador — which opted to adopt BTC as legal tender — “seriously need basic financing training.” “Otherwise, they put entire countries at risk unless their original intentions were to build state-owned crypto trading platforms and scam off on their citizens,” the exec told Cointelegraph.While criticizing Bitcoin and many other crypto projects, He still believes that some part of the crypto market could be doing just fine if it’s properly regulated. Cash-backed stablecoins like Tether (USDT) and Circle’s USD Coin (USDC) should not be viewed as Ponzi-like schemes, the BSN chair said, stating:“USDC or USDT are payment-related currencies, not speculative assets. Once they are fully regulated, they are fine.”He previously talked in favor of stablecoins in 2020. The executive once planned to integrate stablecoin payments into BSN as of 2021. The plan was eventually scrapped due to China’s hostility to crypto.Related: China warns Bitcoin is heading to zero but BoE looks on the bright sideThe news comes amid the Chinese government capitalizing on the ongoing crypto market crash to justify its multiple bans on the industry. The latest coordinated ban was enacted in September 2021, with multiple Chinese authorities taking action to prohibit all kinds of crypto transactions in the country.Despite all efforts, China continued to be a dominant Bitcoin mining supplier worldwide. According to data from the Cambridge Bitcoin Electricity Consumption Index, China was the second largest BTC mining hash rate producer after the United States as of January 2022.

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Anonymous vows to bring Do Kwon’s ‘crimes’ to light

Hacktivist group Anonymous has pledged to “make sure” Terra co-founder Do Kwon is “brought to justice as soon as possible” in regards to the collapse of the Terra (LUNA) and TerraUSD (UST) ecosystems in May. On Sunday, a video purportedly coming from the Anonymous hacker group rehashed a laundry list of Kwon’s alleged wrongdoings, including cashing out $80 million each month from Luna and TerraUSD prior to its collapse as well as his role in the fall of stable coin Basis Cash, for which Do Kwon allegedly co-created under the pseudonym “Rick Sanchez” in late 2020. “Do Kwon, if you are listening, sadly, there is nothing that can be done to reverse the damage that you have done. At this point, the only thing that we can do is hold you accountable and make sure that you are brought to justice as soon as possible.”The hacker group said it would be looking into Do Kwon’s actions since he entered the crypto space to expose his alleged crimes. “Anonymous is looking into Do Kwon’s entire history since he entered the crypto space to see what we can learn and bring to light,” the group stated. [embedded content]“There is no doubt that there are many more crimes to be discovered in your trail of destruction.”The hacker group also criticized Kwon for his “arrogant tactics” in trolling competitors and critics and “acting like he would never fail.” Originating in 2003 on 4chan, Anonymous is a decentralized international activist collective known for orchestrating cyber attacks against government institutions, agencies, private corporations, and even the Church of Scientology. In June 2021, the same YouTube channel took aim at Tesla CEO Elon Musk for allegedly “destroying lives” using his clout and influence on Twitter to play with the crypto markets. The video has around 3.4 million views as of today. It is worth noting that there are multiple YouTube channels that either claim to be affiliated with the hacker group Anonymous. However, there is a general consensus that there is no official YouTube channel for the group, given its inherent decentralized and anonymous nature. Mixed reactions from the communityCommenters of the YouTube video and the community on Twitter appeared to be broadly supportive of the hacker group’s pledge to go after Kwon, with one commenter calling Anonymous the “Robinhood of today.” However, the video message garnered more skepticism on the r/CryptoCurrency subreddit, with users criticizing the hacker group for issuing an empty threat against Kwon and providing no new information to the public, with one commenter saying: “Anonymous is so teen bop now […] This anon video is so non-threatening it’s almost bizarre.”While another said, “would expect them to have uncovered something but its nothing more than, well nothing.”It appears that, for now, Kwon will likely have bigger, more tangible threats to worry about.Terraform Labs, for which Do Kwon is the co-founder, is currently under multiple investigations from the South Korean authorities, including the alleged embezzlement of Bitcoin (BTC) from the company’s treasury. Related: South Korean prosecutors ban Terraform Labs employees from exiting the country: ReportIn May, a famous financial crimes investigation unit dubbed the “Grim Reapers of Yeouido” was revived by South Korea to investigate the collapse of Terra. The team consists of various regulators and will focus on prosecuting fraud and illegal trading schemes.Later that month, Korean authorities subpoenaed all Terraform Labs employees to investigate any internal role in market manipulation.The company has also been fined $78 million by South Korea’s national tax agency for tax evasion charges.

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Bitcoin futures enter backwardation for the first time in a year

Bitcoin’s (BTC) month-to-date chart is very bearish and the sub-$18,000 level seen over the weekend was the lowest price seen since December 2020. Bull’s current hope depends on turning $20,000 to support, but derivatives metrics tell a completely different story because professional traders are still extremely skeptical.BTC-USD 12-hour price at Kraken. Source: TradingViewIt’s important to remember that the S&P 500 index dropped 11% in June and even multi-billion companies like Netflix, PayPal and Caesars Entertainment have corrected with 71%, 61% and 57% losses respectively.The U.S. Central Bank raised its benchmark interest rate by 75 basis points on June 15 and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that more aggressive tightening could be in store because the monetary authority continues to struggle to curb inflation. However, investors and analysts fear this move increases the recession risk. According to a Bank of America note to clients issued on June 17:“Our worst fears around the Fed have been confirmed: they fell way behind the curve and are now playing a dangerous game of catch up.” Furthermore, according to analysts at the global investment bank JPMorgan Chase, the record-high total stablecoin market share within cryptos is “pointing to oversold conditions and significant upside for crypto markets from here.” According to the analysts, the lower percentage of stablecoins in the total crypto market capitalization is associated with a limited crypto potential.Currently, crypto investors face mixed sentiment from recession fears and optimism toward the $20,000 support gaining strength as stablecoins could eventually flow into Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies. For this reason, analysis of derivatives data is valuable in understanding whether investors are pricing higher odds of a downturn.The Bitcoin futures premium turns negative for the first time in a yearRetail traders usually avoid quarterly futures due to their price difference from spot markets, but they are professional traders’ preferred instrument because they avoid the perpetual contracts fluctuating funding rate.These fixed-month contracts usually trade at a slight premium to spot markets because investors demand more money to withhold the settlement. This situation is not exclusive to crypto markets. Consequently, futures should trade at a 5% to 12% annualized premium in healthy markets.Bitcoin 3-month futures’ annualized premium. Source: LaevitasBitcoin’s futures premium failed to break above the 5% neutral threshold while the Bitcoin price firmly held the $29,000 support until June 11. Whenever this indicator fades or turns negative, this is an alarming red bearish flag and the situation is known as backwardation.To exclude externalities specific to the futures instrument, traders must also analyze the Bitcoin options markets. For example, the 25% delta skew shows when Bitcoin market makers and arbitrage desks are overcharging for upside or downside protection.In bullish markets, options investors give higher odds for a price pump, causing the skew indicator to fall below -12%. On the other hand, a market’s generalized panic induces a 12% or higher positive skew.Bitcoin 30-day options 25% delta skew: Source: LaevitasThe 30-day delta skew peaked at 36% on June 18, the highest-ever record and typical of extremely bearish markets. Apparently, the 18% Bitcoin price increase since the $17,580 bottom was sufficient enough to reinstall some confidence in derivatives traders. While the 25% skew indicator remains unfavorable for pricing downside risks, at least it no longer sits at the levels which reflect extreme aversion.Analysts expect “maximum damage” aheadSome metrics suggest that Bitcoin may have bottomed on June 18, especially since the $20,000 support has gained strength. On the other hand, analysts like Mike Alfred made clear that, in their opinion, “Bitcoin is not done liquidating large players,” and “they will take it down to a level that will cause the maximum damage to the most overexposed players like Celsius.”Until traders have a better view of the contagion risk from the Terra ecosystem implosion, the possible insolvency of Celsius and the liquidity issues being faced by Three Arrows Capital, the odds of another Bitcoin price crash are high. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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XRP price technical breakdown boosts chances of a 40% drop by July

Ripple (XRP) price stares at potential losses in the coming weeks as it breaks out of a “descending triangle” pattern, with its bias skewed toward the downside.Major XRP breakdown underwayTo recap, XRP started forming the technical structure after reaching $1.98 in April 2021, its second-highest level to date. In doing so, the token trended lower inside a range defined by a falling resistance trendline and a horizontal support trendline.On May 16, 2022, XRP broke below the triangle’s support trendline, accompanying a decent increase in trading volumes. The move confirmed the descending triangle as a bearish reversal indicator. Meanwhile, as a rule of technical analysis, XRP now risks extending its downside move by as much as the triangle’s maximum height when measured from the breakdown point, as shown below.XRP/USD weekly price chart featuring ‘descending triangle’ breakdown setup. Source: TradingViewThis could have XRP drop to $0.18 by July 2022, down nearly 40% from June 1’s price. Crypto carnageXRP’s bearish setup appears amid a broader selloff taking place across the crypto market, with some tokens now trading more than 90% below their record highs established last year. The massive tailspin began in May after Terra (LUNA) — now known as Luna Classic (LUNC) — a $40-billion “algorithmic stablecoin” project, collapsed due to the failure of its staking system. This debacle found its match in Celsius Network, one of the largest crypto lending platforms, which unexpectedly paused crypto withdrawals in June over “extreme market conditions.”Related: Finblox withdrawal restrictions trigger concerns from the communitySince then, the crypto market has been facing one piece of bad news after another, from crypto fund giant Three Arrow Capital’s potential insolvency owing to bad debts and risky trades to crypto lender Babel Finance halting withdrawals due to liquidity issues.Babel Finance 也暂停了提现业务 pic.twitter.com/9Nk1gkEmVz— 0xEdson | web3 (@0xEdsonCrypto) June 17, 2022Macro risks also favor XRP’s downside outlook with the Federal Reserve’s 0.75% interest rate hike this June 15, ensuring lower liquidity for investors to speculate on risky assets. Nonetheless, Kevin Cage, who runs Iron Key Capital, a crypto-focused hedge fund, says XRP will “survive” the bear market.I know for a fact that no matter how hard it gets, $XRP will survive future bear markets.XRPL is 10 years old. Tried & true.Ripple expanding, new partners every week, hiring 300 more peopleThey want clarity and will fight until the end.SEC chose the wrong company to fight— Kevin Cage (@Kevin_Cage_) June 14, 2022

Meanwhile, Bleeding Crypto says that XRP could fall toward $0.17 but anticipates that the token would undergo a sharp rebound move after reaching the level. “Looks like it may be going for a full reset of this past bull run,” he wrote, hinting that XRP would reclaim $1.95–$1.98 during its next upside retracement.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Three Arrows Capital weighs bailout as Kyle Davies breaks silence: Report

Crypto-focused hedge fund and venture capital firm Three Arrows Capital is considering the sale of remaining assets and even a bailout as it grapples with the prospect of insolvency in the wake of a violent collapse in digital asset markets. The firm, which also goes by 3AC, has hired legal and financial advisers to explore solutions for its investors and lenders, The Wall Street Journal reported Friday. Several options are on the table, including asset sales and a rescue package by another firm, co-founder Kyle Davies told the Journal. In the meantime, 3AC is looking to buy more time by negotiating a tentative agreement with existing creditors. Davies, who said he still believes in the future of crypto, disclosed the extent of 3AC’s participation in a $1 billion token sale issued by Luna Foundation Guard (LFG), a nonprofit organization set up to defend the Terra ecosystem’s stablecoin peg, in February of this year. Davies said that 3AC bought roughly $200 million in LUNC (previously LUNA) tokens during the sale, which also had participation from venture firms DeFiance Capital, Republic Capital, GSR and Tribe Capital, among others. Earlier this week, a whistleblower from the Terra Community Forum revealed that 3AC had purchased a total of 10.9 million locked LUNC worth nearly $560 million. That position is now worth less than $1,000. Three Arrows Capital bought 10.9M locked LUNA for $559.6m – it’s now worth $670.45.Ouch— Crypto Maxi (@cryptoMaxi420) June 14, 2022In addition to being exposed to the Terra ecosystem collapse, 3AC incurred massive liquidations across multiple positions this week after the price of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) plunged to their lowest levels since December 2020. Related: Su Zhu’s cryptic statement as rumors swirl of 3AC liquidations and insolvencyAs Cointelegraph reported on Thursday, Three Arrows Capital failed to meet margin calls from a group of lenders that included BlockFi. These firms liquidated at least some of 3AC’s positions.

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SOL price trending toward yearly low as Solana TVL drops $870M in three days

Solana (SOL) tumbled on June 16 amid a broader retreat across the top cryptocurrencies, led by the Federal Reserve’s 0.75% interest rate hike a day before.Solana price rebound fizzlesNotably, SOL/USD plunged nearly 17% to $30 a token, wiping almost all the gains from the day before. The SOL price volatility liquidated almost $10 million worth of contracts in the past 24 hours across multiple crypto exchanges, data from Coinglass shows. SOL liquidation record since May 17. Source: Coinglass The latest declines come as an extension to SOL’s broader correction, where it dropped by more than 90% after peaking out near $267 in November 2021. SOL also fell to its lowest level since July 2021 near $25.In addition, a higher interest rate environment and the collapse of high-profile crypto projects like Terra have strengthened SOL’s downside prospects. SOL paints “ascending triangle”Solana’s pullback move on June 16 began after testing a horizontal trendline resistance near $34 that constitutes what appears to be an “ascending triangle” pattern.Ascending triangles are continuation patterns, i.e., they tend to send the price in the direction of their previous trend. As a rule, breaking out of a triangle pattern in a bearish market, for example, sends the price down by as much as the structure’s maximum height.If SOL breaks below its ascending triangle’s lower trendline then the bearish profit target will come below $22.50, as shown in the chart below.SOL/USD four-hour price chart featuring “ascending triangle” pattern. Source: TradingViewSolana’s downside target is about 25% below today’s price and could be achieved by June. Nonetheless, if SOL bounces after testing the triangle’s lower trendline as support, it would eye the $34-36 range as its interim upside target.Massive SOL exitOver 27 million Solana tokens have exited its smart contract ecosystem since June 13. The total value locked (TVL) inside Solana smart contracts dropped to 74.65 million SOL (~$2.25 billion) on June 16, down 27% in the last three days, according to data tracked by DeFi Llama. That amounts to nearly $840 million of withdrawals from the ninth-largest blockchain ecosystem by market cap.Solana TVL performance since April 2021. Source: DeFi LlamaSolend, a lending platform functioning atop the Solana ledger, witnessed a 26.5% decline in its TVL in the last three days and was holding 9.66 million SOL (~$290 million) as of June 16. Nevertheless, it remains the leading platform by TVL within the Solana ecosystem.Related: Liquidity provider asks platforms to freeze 3AC funds to recover assets after litigationThe outflows indicate that depositors do not want to keep their SOL locked in DeFi protocols, a sentiment common across the sector after Terra, an “algorithmic stablecoin” project, collapsed last month.Contagion, another yield ponzi going down. Seriously get your coins off anything like Celsius and BlockFi before they aren’t your coins anymore. LFG, 3AC, Celcius etc all spread risk to each other and you pay the price for it https://t.co/cemFCvAeAz— Pentoshi Powell Jr (@Pentosh1) June 16, 2022Therefore, Solana’s path of least resistance remains skewed to the downside in the near term, particularly with no improvement in terms of macro and fundamentals. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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