Autor Marcel Pechman

Bitcoin decouples from tech stocks: Is $60K BTC’s next stop?

Bitcoin decouples from tech stocks: Is $60K BTC’s next stop?

Uverejnil používateľ | jún 18, 2026 |

Key takeaways:Bitcoin’s sudden decoupling from a strong Nasdaq index highlights shifting capital flows into the AI sector.A strengthening US dollar and high Treasury yields are weighing heavily on non-yielding crypto assets.Bitcoin (BTC) faced a 7% correction after failing to reclaim the $67,200 level on Monday, triggering $330 million liquidations in bullish leveraged positions. More concerningly, the drop happened while the Nasdaq 100 index showed strength, trading 1% away from its all-time high. Should Bitcoin traders brace for a $60,000 retest?Nasdaq 100 futures (left) vs. Bitcoin / USD. Source: TradingViewThe bullish momentum in the stock market likely came from the memorandum of understanding signed by US President Donald Trump and Iran’s President Masoud Pezeshkian. Crude oil prices fell to their lowest level in 15 weeks to $74, easing inflation risks. Moreover, US job market data boosted investors’ morale as continuing jobless claims held flat at 1.81 million.Bitcoin’s decoupling from tech stocks coincides with US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s remarks on Wednesday. The term “price stability” was cited by Warsh on multiple occasions, leading investors to believe that the new Fed mandate will keep a closer eye on inflation trends, according to CNBC. The US 5-year Treasury yield remained relatively high at 4.21%.Gold / USD (left) vs. US dollar strength index (right). Source: TradingViewThe US dollar strengthened against a basket of foreign currencies, signaling confidence in the US government’s strategy to sustain economic growth despite inflationary pressures. The move hurts non-yielding assets, since fixed income remains profitable longer, as seen in gold prices trading down 3.3%.Bitcoin perpetual futures annualized funding rate. Source: LaevitasDemand for bullish leveraged Bitcoin positions has faded since June 4, indicating a lack of confidence after the crash from $73,700 to $61,300 in just three days. Bitcoin’s bearish momentum contrasts with rising demand in the artificial intelligence sector. SpaceX (SPCX US) market capitalization soared to $2.4 trillion within days of its IPO.AI sector narratives contrast with weak Bitcoin narrativesIntel (INTC US) shares jumped 10% on Thursday after President Trump announced that Apple (APPL US) had agreed to work with the chipmaker to build its processors. Memory chip and data storage producers Micron (MU US) and SK Hynix (000660 KS) have also recently joined the select list of companies valued at $1 trillion or higher.Source: X/JoeCarlasareAccording to Joe Carlasare, commercial litigator and Bitcoin supporter, traders’ sentiment is currently worse than it was during the FTX exchange collapse. For Carlasare, nearly every asset class was struggling back in November 2022 due to the macroeconomic backdrop. This time around, the “narratives that convinced people to buy Bitcoin have broken down”.Related: Bitcoin’s deeply discounted versus AI-stocks, but hawkish Fed risk lingers–BitwiseBitcoin’s presence in the traditional finance industry is far more mature than during the previous halving cycle. The US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) accumulated over $102 billion in assets, and major financial institutions initiated Bitcoin investment offerings to clients, including Morgan Stanley, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs.A retest of the $60,000 level should not be ruled out as the AI sector stays in the spotlight with massive investments and potential new IPOs and follow-on offerings, but institutional demand for Bitcoin will likely dictate price trends.

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Crypto market treads thin ice following Warsh FOMC, Trump Iran comments

Crypto market treads thin ice following Warsh FOMC, Trump Iran comments

Uverejnil používateľ | jún 18, 2026 |

Key takeaways:Bitcoin remains under pressure from $2.1 billion in ETF outflows in June and an ongoing discount relative to global Bitcoin/USDT pairs.Strategy’s STRC stock shows weakness, highlighting growing concerns over monthly dividend obligations and share dilution.The US stock market traded down on Wednesday after President Donald Trump said the memorandum of understanding with Iran was not final. Investors fear that oil flows through the Strait of Hormuz will not clear quickly, which adds further pressure on inflation. Is the stock market and Bitcoin (BTC) at risk?The US and Iran are expected to formally sign an agreement on Friday, starting a 60-day negotiation period. On Wednesday, Trump said the deal should please the markets and that oil prices might fall. However, the US President threatened further bombings if Iran did not “behave.”US 5-year Treasury yield vs. crude Brent oil, USD. Source: TradingViewCrude Brent oil fell to its lowest level in 100 days, but traders doubt fuel prices will continue to weigh on markets for long. Yields on US Treasuries remained at 4.16%, flat from two weeks prior. Investors are less confident in the US Federal Reserve’s ability to cut interest rates soon, thereby demanding higher returns on government bonds.Impact of higher inflation amid weak institutional Bitcoin demandUS retail sales data released on Wednesday showed 6.9% growth from May 2025, but the rise likely reflects higher costs of goods such as fuel. In parallel, Wednesday marked the first Fed Committee meeting by Chair Kevin Warsh. The decision to hold interest rates steady was largely expected, but investors will try to discern Warsh’s views and personal credibility.Nasdaq-100 futures (left) vs. Bitcoin/USD (right). Source: TradingViewThe tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 Index traded 2% below its all-time high, while Bitcoin has failed to hold above $80,000 since mid-May. Bitcoin traders’ skepticism partly stems from a lack of inflows into spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and the absence of a Coinbase premium relative to international exchanges, signaling weak demand from institutional investors.Coinbase Bitcoin USD vs. international USDT prices. Source: TradingView & CointelegraphCoinbase Bitcoin price in USD has traded at a discount versus international exchanges based in USDT for the past five weeks. Meanwhile, the US-listed spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen $2.1 billion in net outflows so far in June. The recent weakness in the Strategy preferred perpetual equity Stretch (STRC US) has further fueled the negative sentiment.Related: Bitcoin tops $67K following US-Iran peace deal: Is it a bull trap?Strategy preferred perpetual equity Stretch (STRC US). Source: TradingViewSTRC offers holders an 11.5% yield, but new stock issuance can only happen at the fixed $100 price. Consequently, Strategy has less room to pay $142 million in cash dividends each month, forcing dilution of MSTR holders by issuing more shares or reducing its USD cash reserves, which are currently at $1.1 billion. The total preferred shares issued by Strategy stand at $15.5 billion.There is no evidence that Strategy will be forced to sell any of its Bitcoin reserves anytime soon, but weakness in the STRC price reflects low confidence in the company’s financial leverage. Even if Bitcoin institutional inflows resume, investors fear that the deal between the US and Iran might not go through, hence a sustainable rally to $80,000 could take longer.

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Hyperliquid open interest surges 32% in a week: Is $80 HYPE next?

Hyperliquid open interest surges 32% in a week: Is $80 HYPE next?

Uverejnil používateľ | jún 17, 2026 |

Key takeaways:Hyperliquid defies the crypto bear market with $3 billion HYPE open interest, a 32% growth in a week.Hyperliquid’s TradFi innovation, like SpaceX pre-IPO trading, signals that the path to $80 HYPE price looks well-supported.Hyperliquid’s native token HYPE rallied 44% over five days, hitting a $76.90 all-time high on Tuesday. Despite the pullback to $73, open interest on HYPE futures reached the $3 billion mark, signaling growing institutional demand. With Hyperliquid decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes showing no signs of weakness amid the cryptocurrency bear market, traders question the odds of further HYPE gains above $80.HYPE futures aggregate open interest, USD. Source: CoinGlassThe aggregate open interest on HYPE futures rose 32% from one week earlier. Hyperliquid DEX held a 53% market share in perpetual trading volumes, followed by Binance at 14%, Bybit at 9% and Bitget at 8% according to DefiLlama data. While demand for HYPE futures has undoubtedly picked up, it’s worth exploring whether the recent price rally was fueled by excess leverage.HYPE perpetual futures annualized funding rate. Source: LaevitasThe funding rate on HYPE perpetual futures has remained below the neutral 6% threshold for the past week, signaling weak demand for bullish leverage. Given that HYPE futures open interest increased during the period, short sellers appear to be doubling down despite the losses. It is possible that core contributors with tokens currently locked have partially hedged their positions.HYPE excitement faces valuation concerns and dilution risk HYPE circulating supply stood at 253.41 million on Tuesday, while the maximum supply reached 953.92 million according to CoinMarketCap data. Thus, regardless of how quickly current holders face dilution, the project’s fully diluted value (FDV) stands at $71.3 billion. For comparison, the market capitalization of the highly profitable financial company Aon Plc (AON US) stood at $70 billion.Hyperliquid perpetuals ranking by open interest, USD. Source: HyperliquidHyperliquid has successfully dodged the cryptocurrency bear market thanks to the launch of traditional finance (TradFi) perpetuals, including those on S&P 500 (S&P500), Nasdaq 100 (XYZ100), crude oil (WTIOIL), SpaceX (SPCX), Micron (MU), gold (GOLD), silver (SILVER) and Google (GOOGL). Open interest in TradFi contracts has exceeded $2.9 billion, vastly surpassing Bitcoin’s $2 billion.Hyperliquid weekly DEX and perpetual volumes, USD. Source: DefiLlamaConsidering that aggregate decentralized exchange (DEX) volumes have fallen 57% over the past six months, Hyperliquid stands out as a positive outlier with $9.6 billion in activity. In perpetual contracts trading, no other protocol comes close to Hyperliquid’s 38% market share. Pre-IPO trading of SpaceX shares further highlights the exchange’s constant innovation and broader appeal.Related: NYSE parent ICE pushes ‘level playing field’ for 24/7 onchain perpsSource: X/EricSRosengrenHyperliquid’s successful run was highlighted by former Boston Federal Reserve Chair Eric Rosengren, along with an extremely bullish report from Citrini Research, a financial analysis firm. Moreover, HYPE exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have gathered $208 million since launch, signaling strong institutional interest. Overall, a surge to $80 for HYPE doesn’t seem out of reach considering Hyperliquid’s revenue generation and growth potential in Real World Assets (RWA) trading.

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Bitcoin tops $67K following US-Iran peace deal: Is it a bull trap?

Bitcoin tops $67K following US-Iran peace deal: Is it a bull trap?

Uverejnil používateľ | jún 17, 2026 |

Key takeaways:Bitcoin derivatives show weak conviction with 2% futures basis and elevated put options premium signaling caution.Institutional buying via $86 million ETF inflows plus Strategy’s (MSTR US) ongoing accumulation counters market fear.Bitcoin (BTC) jumped above $67,000 after US President Donald Trump announced a late Sunday ceasefire deal with Iran. Despite this short-term optimism, derivatives metrics show that crypto traders remain highly skeptical, raising concerns that this sudden rally could be a massive bull trap.Brent crude oil (left) vs. Nasdaq 100 Index (right). Source: TradingViewCrude Brent oil declined to a 100-day low on Monday, while the Nasdaq Index gained 3%. However, Bitcoin traders remained cautious due to the lack of a final deadline and clear operational details for shipping companies following the peace deal with Iran, though an interim agreement is expected this Friday. Bitcoin 2-month futures basis rate. Source: LaevitasThe Bitcoin futures annualized premium (basis rate) stood at 2% on Monday, signaling a lack of demand for leveraged bullish positions. This indicator has failed to break above the neutral 4% threshold for over 3 months, reflecting Bitcoin’s -24% year-to-date performance. Still, Bitcoin’s 4% daily spike caught short sellers off-guard, triggering $210 million in liquidations.Bitcoin price is supported by spot ETF inflows and Strategy acquisitionsPart of the bullish sentiment stemmed from the $86 million net inflows into US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) on Friday. While positive, this inflow was not nearly enough to reverse the heavy $730 million in net outflows seen since June 5. ETF activity is widely tracked as a proxy for institutional demand, bulls are likely waiting for stronger confirmation.Bitcoin 30-day options skew (put-call). Source: LaevitasThe weak conviction among bulls was also evident in the options market, where traders actively avoided protection against downside risk. Bitcoin put (sell) options traded at a 16% premium over call (buy) instruments, flashing a clear warning sign of downside fear. This crypto weakness stood out even more as the Nasdaq 100 Index rallied, trading just 1% shy of its all-time high.Traders’ skepticism is also being fueled by conflicting claims over future shipping tolls in Iran, especially since the current agreement only locks in a two-month window, according to Yahoo Finance. Meanwhile, equity investors are finding plenty of reasons for optimism elsewhere, with the artificial intelligence sector getting a massive boost from the record-breaking SpaceX (SPCX US) IPO.Public companies Bitcoin treasury ranking, BTC. Source: CoinGeckoSpaceX, the aerospace and artificial intelligence powerhouse founded by Elon Musk, recently secured $75 billion in the largest IPO in history. SPCX shares surged 14% on Monday, driving the company’s valuation to a massive $2.1 trillion. The multi-billionaire is a vocal proponent of cryptocurrencies, and the latest SEC filings reveal that SpaceX itself holds 18,712 Bitcoin on its balance sheet.Related: These Bitcoin charts show how BTC price could hit $100K before OctoberFor now, Bitcoin bears maintain control as persistent weakness across derivatives markets shows low conviction in the $60,000 support level. However, a sustained rally back above $70,000 could quickly materialize if falling oil prices continue to ease recession risks, giving the Federal Reserve more room to implement a less restrictive US monetary policy.There is no indication of a bull trap here, especially as Strategy (MSTR US) continues to aggressively accumulate coins, completely erasing market fear of a sudden capitulation.

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