Autor Cointelegraph By Yashu Gola

3 reasons why Ethereum price can drop below $3K by the end of 2021

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) reached an all-time high around $4,867 earlier in November, only to plunge by nearly 20% a month later on rising profit-taking sentiment. And now, as the ETH price holds $4,000 as a key support level, risks of further selloffs are emerging in the form of multiple technical and fundamental indicators.ETH price rising wedgeFirst, Ether appears to have been breaking out of “rising wedge,” a bearish reversal pattern that emerges when the price trends upward inside a range defined by two ascending — but converging — trendlines.Simply put, as the Ether price nears the Wedge’s apex point, it risks breaking below the pattern’s lower trendline, a move that many technical chartists see as a cue for more losses ahead. In doing so, their profit target appears at a length equal to the maximum wedge height when measured from the breakout point.ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring Rising Wedge. Source: TradingViewAs a result, Ether’s rising wedge downside target comes out to be near $2,800, also near its 50-week exponential moving average (50-week EMA). Bearish divergenceThe bearish outlook in the Ether market appears despite its ability to bear the massive selling pressures felt elsewhere in the cryptocurrency market in recent weeks.For instance, Bitcoin (BTC), the leading crypto by market cap, fell by 30% almost a month after establishing its record high of $69,000 in early November, much higher than Ether’s decline in the same period. That prompted many analysts to call Ether a “hedge” against the Bitcoin price decline — also as ETH/BTC rallied to its best levels in more than three years.But it does not take away the fact that Ether’s recent price rally has coincided with a decline in its weekly relative strength index (RSI), signaling a growing divergence between price and momentum.ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring divergence between price and RSI. Source: TradingViewAdditionally, the recent ETH price pullback also had the RSI oscillator fall below 70, a classic sell indicator.Fed “dot plot”More downside cues for Ether come ahead of the Federal Reserve two-day policy meeting starting on Dec, 14 when the U.S. central bank will discuss how quickly it may need to taper its $120 billion a month asset purchasing program to gain enough flexibility for potential rate hikes next year.Just last month, the Fed announced that it would scale back its bond-buying at the pace of $15 billion per month, suggesting that the stimulus would eventually cease by June 2022. Nonetheless, a string of recent market reports showing a tightening jobs market and persistently mounting inflationary pressures prompted the Fed officials to end tapering “perhaps a few months sooner.”20 CenBanks hold meetings next week as inflation keeps rising w/final decisions for 2021 due at Fed, ECB, BoJ, BoE which together responsible for half of world econ. CenBank balance sheets have risen in lockstep to ATHs, but now there could be divergence. https://t.co/GgOLGCNbjR pic.twitter.com/mrrhwUVcet— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) December 12, 2021Market anticipations also adjusted, with a Financial Times survey of 48 economists anticipating the stimulus to end by March 2022 and most respondents favoring a rate hike in the second quarter.The period of loose monetary policies after March 2020 has been instrumental in pushing the ETH price high by over 3,330%. Therefore, the increasing likelihood of tapering can certainly put the brakes on the current rally, if not the bull market as a whole, according to some ana.From there I expect a very aggressive approach from the Fed because they’ll recognize we are in a bubble and something extreme needs to be done.Then we get our multi-year bear market.— K A L E O (@CryptoKaleo) December 10, 2021

Markets anticipate the Fed will update its policy statement and summary of economic projections (SEP) this week. In doing so, more central bank officials would adjust the “dot plot” to favor an earlier-than-anticipated rate hike against rising inflation.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Čítaj viac

Trader who called 2017 Bitcoin price crash raises concerns over 'double top'

Bitcoin (BTC) could be forming a so-called “double top” pattern after falling by over 30% from its record high of $69,000, suggests Peter Brandt, a veteran trader known for correctly calling the crypto market top in December 2017. The bubble has been popped. Bull market in $BTC over for some time. For analog look at Gold chart from 2011 on wards pic.twitter.com/AUSiGH0eCg— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) December 22, 2017The Factor LLC CEO recalled Bitcoin’s inability to extend its price rally above its previous all-time high near $65,000 after a second try. Meanwhile, he illustrated an immediate support level for the BTC price at a so-called neckline near $30,000 while alerting about further declines below this key level.BTC/USD weekly price chart featuring double top pattern. Source: TradingView, Peter BrandtIs a 50% Bitcoin price crash realistic?In detail, traditional chartists perceive the formation of two consecutive tops, each leading to a strong price retracement to the downside, as a sign of bearish reversal. The downside target in a double top scenario comes to be approximately as deep as the height of the pattern’s formation.But the double top downside target is somewhat unrealistic here because confirmation of the pattern would suggest a nearly $35,000 decline in Bitcoin price. Meaning, BTC price would be a risk of crashing below $0 in a perfect world, a scenario which is highly unlikely.Nonetheless, should the price breaks bearish below the neckline of $30,000, Bitcoin’s ultimate downside target may turn out to be the 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the orange wave in the chart below), currently about 50% below the current price levels, near $23,500.BTC/USD daily price chart featuring 200-week EMA support. Source: TradingViewThe 200-week EMA has been instrumental in calling out the bottoms in a bear market, as shown by the upward-pointing arrows in the chart above. However, Brandt reminded:”A chart pattern is NOT NOT NOT a chart pattern until it is completed and confirmed. Until that time it is only of passing interest to me.”Just another BTC price dip?Ignoring the potential bearish outlooks, Bitpanda’s Chief Product Officer Lukas Enzersdorfer-Konrad asserted that Bitcoin’s price decline from $69,000 to $42,000 is similar to its May 2021 price crash, wherein it plunged by over 50%, only to pare all those losses and hit a new record high later.”Similarly to the recent drop, overleveraged positions increased volatility and wiped away most of the long positions,” Enzersdorfer-Konrad told Cointelegraph in a statement via email as he referred to the $2.5 billion worth of liquidation on Dec. 4 in a matter of hours, which caused around 20% intraday correction in most liquid crypto assets. The analyst added:”The Bitcoin market needs some time to recover in these situations, and intraday charts are still volatile, but it is still bullish on the higher time frame.”Related: Bitcoin tumbles below $47K wiping out October gains — Bear market begins?From a bullish technicals standpoint, one popular independent market analyst known by the pseudonym “Wolf,” presented Bitcoin as an oversold asset based on its relative strength index (RSI) readings on a daily-timeframe chart.BTC/USD daily price chart featuring RSI bounce. Source: TradingView, @IamCryptoWolfWolf anticipated the BTC price to test $51,780 as its next resistance level, with an extended upside target at near $60,000.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Čítaj viac

Terra becomes top-10 crypto: Classic 'bull pennant' setup paint $100 LUNA price target

Terra (LUNA) faces the prospects of hitting $100 in the coming weeks as it paints a classic bull pennant structure.In detail, Bull Pennants appear as the price trends inside a Triangle pattern after a strong move upside. Many analysts see it as a sign of bullish continuation, i.e., they think the instrument would eventually break above the Triangle’s upper trendline to resume its price rally higher.Additionally, the profit target of a Bull Pennant structure typically comes to be equal to the length equal to the size of the previous price rally, called Flagpole, when measured from the breakout point. As it appears, LUNA has been forming a similar pattern on its lower-timeframe chart.LUNA/USDT four-hour chart featuring Bull Pennant setup. Source: TradingViewConsidering the breakout happens at the point where the Bull Pennant trendlines converge — the apex — the ideal profit target comes out to be over $22, the Flagpole height. That puts LUNA on the road to almost $100.Supportive bullish catalystsThe bullish technical setup in the Terra market appeared as LUNA rallied nearly 65% in less than three weeks to become the tenth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization.The digital asset jumped past Dogecoin (DOGE) and Avalanche (AVAX) to value over $28.60 billion, almost 1.18% of the current total cryptocurrency market valuation of $2.30 trillion. Meanwhile, LUNA’s token price climbed from $43.50 to over $77 on Dec. 5, a new all-time high.LUNA circulating market capitalization. Source: MessariTraders took cues from Chiron Partners, a Hong Kong-based venture capitalist firm, that announced Wednesday that it had raised $50 million for a dedicated fund, dubbed Chiron Terra Fund I, to build decentralized finance (DeFi) and metaverse-linked nonfungible token (NFT) projects atop the Terra blockchain.Jake Cormack, chief operating officer at Chiron Partners, credited Terra’s growth potential behind their decision to choose them as their official public ledger, particularly after the blockchain’s recent Columbus-5 upgrade, which promises to enable higher scalability and greater cross-chain interoperability.Deflation FOMOIn detail, the Terra ecosystem consists of a family of stablecoins pegged to a growing list of fiat currencies and a mining token, LUNA. LUNA serves as a governance token, volatility absorption tool, and rewards catcher through “seigniorage” and transaction volumes. The volatility absorption feature, in particular, proves to be the most bullish case for LUNA. Notably, the Terra ecosystem maintains its stablecoins fiat-peg by burning LUNA tokens. In other words, if the price of Terra’s native stablecoin TerraUSD (UST) goes above $1, the protocol burns LUNA to mint more UST, thus bringing its value back to $1.Conversely, if the UST value goes below $1, the protocol swaps the stablecoin for LUNA to prop up its prices. With the Columbus-5 upgrade and Chiron’s $50-million fund promising to bring more projects to the Terra ecosystem, anticipations of more deflationary pressure on LUNA have been rising.$LUNA price hit a new high shortly after Terra’s Columbus-5 upgrade increased deflationary pressure on the token and integrated Terra with the Cosmos $ATOM ecosystem. https://t.co/vYimuTqo5r pic.twitter.com/59xJdZ2FiB— Cointelegraph Markets (@CointelegraphMT) October 6, 2021As Cointelegraph reported, UST stablecoin adoption is growing with its net supply hitting a new record high of $8.221 billion on Wednesday. On the other hand, according to TerraAnalytics, the Terra protocol has burned more than 104 million LUNA tokens ever since the Columbus-5 upgrade went live at the end of September. Talis’s $2.3M NFT marketplaceBullish cues for LUNA before the Chiron announcement came in the form of Talis. The startup raised $2.3 million in funding led by ParaFi Capital and Arrington Capital to build an NFT marketplace on the Terra blockchain.LUNA/USDT versus BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingViewTwo days after the announcement, LUNA rose nearly 13% to reach its new all-time high despite a major correction in Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH), and most other cryptocurrencies. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Čítaj viac

Coinbase adds 'ETH2' despite tomorrow's Ethereum upgrade postponing difficulty bomb

Cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase has added a mirrored version of the Ethereum blockchain’s native token Ether (ETH) to its crypto price index, just ahead of a key network upgrade on Dec. 10.Dubbed “ETH2,” the symbol appeared to have been tracking the original Ether market data synchronously. For instance, the cost to purchase ETH2 came out to be the same as that for ETH. Meanwhile, their market capitalization, volume, circulating supply, and price changes were also identical.Coinbase is already promoting eth2 as a new coin? pic.twitter.com/C67UxooLU0— Nuno (@nvcoelho) December 6, 2021Nonetheless, unlike the original, the ETH2 token had no Trading Activity, Popularity Score, or Typical Hold Time, underscoring that its role — for now — is to merely track the ETH market data at least until mid-2022.ETH vs ETH2.0 market data. Source: CoinbaseThat is probably as ETH2 seems to have been posing as the native token of Ethereum’s ongoing upgrade, dubbed Ethereum 2.0, which expects to go live fully by June 2022. But the Coinbase’s index listing appears closer to “Arrow Glacier,” a fork that would give developers more time to prepare for Ethereum 2.0.Before Ethereum 2.0The Arrow Glacier update aims to delay a so-called “difficulty bomb,” an incentive hardcoded inside the Ethereum blockchain since its launch in 2015, which would make it difficult for people to mine Ether. In doing so, the BOMB, if triggered, would slow down the Ethereum network, for as long as it remains proof-of-work.Tim Beiko, one of the core developers working on the Ethereum upgrade, noted that Arrow Glacier might be the last upgrade before Ethereum 2.0 goes live next year. Meanwhile, Coinbase appears to have been treating the Arrow Glacier fork as a confirmation that they would exist a new token called ETH2 after the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade.In detail, Ethereum 2.0, also known as “Serenity,” would enable significant changes to its design, including a full-scale transition from energy-intensive Proof-of-Work (PoW) — also used by Bitcoin (BTC) — to Proof-of-Stake (PoS).In the current version, nodes must validate every transaction to maintain Ethereum’s public ledger. But the Ethereum 2.0 upgrade would launch “sharding,” which would divide the network into various segments (called shards) and would randomly assign nodes to each shard. Beacon Chain and Sharding. Source: Vitalik.caThat would remove the need for each node to scan the entire chain, theoretically improving the speed and costs required to maintain the network. Meanwhile, individual shards would share the transaction details with a so-called Beacon Chain, which serves as the backbone of Ethereum 2.0.ETH2 is not a new cryptoBeacon Chain, which went live in December 2020, would validate the transactions on each shard, thus assisting the entire Ethereum 2.0 network reach consensus. It would also detect dishonest validators and initiate penalties by removing a portion of the validator’s stake from circulation.Related: Vitalik Buterin outlines ‘endgame’ roadmap for ETH 2.0At the core of Ethereum 2.0’s PoS design would be ETH (or ETH2), which primarily serves as a staking token for validators to participate in the network consensus and, in turn, to receive block rewards for it. Beacon Chain’s deposit contract has received over 8.42 million ETH tokens from 55,300 unique depositors (validators) since its launch in December 2020.The balance of the Ethereum 2.0 deposit contract divided by the total ETH supply. Source: CryptoQuantThat being said, ETH2 is not a new coin and would not change the ETH amount one holds. Instead, as Coinbase’s index listing suggests, ETH2 may end up becoming a rebranded version of the original Ether, without needing holders to swap one version for another.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Čítaj viac

Ethereum bulls retain hopes of $10K despite ETH price chart bear flag

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) looks poised to extend its selloff this week as it wobbles near a key support level of $4,000.ETH price dropped by over 5.50% on Dec. 6 to an intraday low at $3,913. In doing so, it slipped through upward sloping support that constituted an Ascending Channel that — more or less — appears like a Bear Flag, a bearish continuation setup.ETH/USD daily price chart featuring Bear Flag setup. Source: TradingViewConservative traders typically spot Bear Flags when an instrument consolidates higher inside a parallel channel after a considerable price drop (called Flagpole). They anticipate the price to break below the Flag’s lower trendline. And when it does, traders set their profit target by measuring the Flagpole’s height and subtracting it from the breakout level.Applying the Bull Flag strategy to Ether’s ongoing price trends, one can expect the cryptocurrency to drop towards $3,200 in the sessions ahead. Interestingly, the level is also near the 0.5 Fib line (~$3,264) of the Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from the $720-swing low to the $4,808-swing high.More confirmation neededWhile the Bear Flag setup hints at more pain for Ether ahead, some analysts believe the Ethereum token still has more room to run to the upside.For instance, PostyXBT, an independent market analyst, asked his massive follower-base on Twitter to turn attention to Ether’s deep price wick from Saturday, underscoring how the cryptocurrency’s sudden crash from near $4,240 to as low as $3,575 (data from Coinbase) was met by traders with an aggressive buying response.”The weekly close above $4k means that ETH is one of the strongest looking coins out there,” the pseudonymous analyst noted, adding that not many held the structure “despite the wick.”ETH/USD weekly perpetual futures contract chart. Source: TradingViewMeanwhile, another popular analyst Crypto FOMO also referred to the Saturday rebound as a reason to stay bullish on Ether. In an analysis published Monday, the analyst said that the cryptocurrency’s ability to hold its rising channel support (the Bear Flag structure) might prompt bulls to push its value to $10,000.”That is also because Ethereum is crashing a lot lesser than other cryptos, which is very bullish,” the channel noted while highlighting Ether’s growing strength against Bitcoin (BTC).Top ten cryptocurrencies’ performance against USD and BTC in the last 30 days. Source: MessariOn its weekly chart, Ether looks to have been eyeing a move toward $6,500 after breaking out of its Ascending Triangle.In detail, the ETH price left the Triangle range in the week ending Oct. 25 after consolidating inside it for a little over four months. Nonetheless, traders returned to test the structure’s upper trendline as support, as is common across bullish continuation setups.ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring Ascending Triangle setup. Source: TradingViewAs long the price holds itself above the Triangle’s upper trendline, its likelihood of continuing its rally upwards remains higher — by as much as the structure’s maximum height, as shown in the chart above. On the other hand, a decisive break below the Triangle’s lower trendline risked invalidating the bullish setup.Strong fundamentalsJames Wo, CEO/Founder of DFG Group — a Singapore-based venture capital firm, blamed Ether’s consistently positive correlation with Bitcoin behind its latest price corrections, noting that a spot market selloff in the BTC market, led by the ongoing Omicron FUD, has had exchanges liquidate $2 billion worth of traders’ margined positions, hurting ETH in tandem.Related: BTC sentiment ‘comparable to a funeral’ — 5 things to watch in Bitcoin this weekBut the analyst, too, anticipated a price rebound for ETH based on its successful adoption across the emerging nonfungible token (NFT), decentralized finance (DeFi), and metaverse space.Top five DeFi chains based on total-volume locked. Source: Defi Llama “The levels of open interest levels seen up to this correction for both BTC and ETH were an important indicator that a bearish scenario was highly probable,” Wo explained, adding:”We still believe that fundamentals are strong and long-term valuations are still very low based on the technological advancements and contributions we are witnessing from this industry.”ETH/USD was trading at $4,050 at the time of this writing.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

Čítaj viac

Získaj BONUS 8 € v Bitcoinoch

nakup bitcoin z karty

Registrácia Binance

Burza Binance

Aktuálne kurzy