Autor Cointelegraph By Yashu Gola

Will this time be different? Bitcoin eyes drop to $35K as BTC price paints 'death cross'

Bitcoin (BTC) formed a trading pattern on Jan. 8 that is widely watched by traditional chartists for its ability to anticipate further losses.In detail, the cryptocurrency’s 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA) fell below its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA), forming a so-called “death cross.” The pattern appeared as Bitcoin underwent a rough ride in the previous two months, falling over 40% from its record high of $69,000.BTC/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingViewDeath cross historyPrevious death crosses were insignificant to Bitcoin over the past two years. For instance, a 50-200-day EMA bearish crossover in March 2020 appeared after the BTC price had fallen from nearly $9,000 to below $4,000, turning out to be lagging than predictive. Additionally, its occurrence did little in preventing Bitcoin from rising to around $29,000 by the end of 2020, as shown in the chart belowBTC/USD daily price chart featuring March 2020 death cross. Source: TradingViewSimilarly, a death cross appeared on the Bitcoin daily charts in July 2021 that — like in March 2020 — was more lagging and less predictive. Its occurrence did not lead to a massive selloff. Instead, BTC’s price merely consolidated sideways before rallying to $69,000 by November 2021.BTC/USD daily price chart featuring death cross. Source: TradingViewBut the bearish moving average crossovers in both the instances, as mentioned above, accompanied a piece of good news, which may have limited their impact on the Bitcoin market.For instance, the Bitcoin price recovery in July 2021 came majorly in the wake of rumors that Amazon would start accepting cryptocurrencies for payments — that later turned out to be false — and following a conference, dubbed “The B-Word,” which saw Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, Tesla CEO Elon Musk, and ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood speaking highly in favor of Bitcoin.Similarly, Bitcoin recovered sharply from its below $4,000-levels in March 2020, primarily after the U.S. Federal Reserve announced its loose monetary policies to contain the aftermath of the coronavirus pandemic-led stock market crash.The death cross this time looks dangerousBitcoin’s latest decline reflected growing investor concern about the Fed’s decision to aggressively unwind its loose monetary policies—including the dialing back of its $120 billion a month asset purchasing program followed by three rate hikes—in 2022.Typically, rising interest rates make holding volatile assets like Bitcoin less appealing than government bonds, which offer guaranteed yields.”This is proof that bitcoin acts like a risk asset,” Noelle Acheson, head of market insights at crypto lender Genesis Global Trading, told the Wall Street Journal, adding that the short-term holders would be the “closest to the exit.”Related: Bitcoin may pass $30K September lows, trader warnsAs a result, the overall reduction in cash liquidity, coupled with the death cross formation, could trigger further selloffs in the Bitcoin market. However, that is unless the BTC price rebounds from its current support level around $40,000, the 0.382 Fib line  shown in the chart below.BTC/USD daily price chart featuring Fib retracement levels. Source: TradingView Nonetheless, a break below $40,000 may risk sending the Bitcoin price to the next Fib line support near $35,000.  The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bored Ape Yacht Club is a huge mainstream hit, but is Wall Street ready for NFTs?

Within months after its launch in April 2021, Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) has become one of the main reasons Wall Street should take the emerging nonfungible token (NFT) market seriously, thanks to its recent sales turnover of over $1 billion.Celebrities ape into BAYCFor the uninitiated, BAYC is a collection of 10,000 cartoons of anthropomorphic apes with stylish clothes and disreputable expressions. Each ape is practically an image file that should be worthless in a sane world. Nonetheless, they have been managing to fetch astonishing sums, sometimes from some of the world’s most renowned celebrities.For instance, Jimmy Fallon, a popular American TV host, bought the image of a Bored Ape that wore a striped T-shirt and heart-shaped shades for almost $220,000 in November last year. And very recently, Academy Award-winning rapper Eminem paid nearly $462,000 for an ape that somewhat resembled him.Eminem’s bored ape, dubbed BAYC #9055. Source: The GuardianMeanwhile, one of the rarest Bored Apes, which had a gold fur trait, fetched $3.4 million in an online auction held by Sotheby’s in October, breaking the record of another rare ape with laser eyes, which was sold to the Sandbox for $2.9 million a month before.But what is the selling point?The BAYC collection fetches its value from NFTs, digital ownership proofs logged on a public blockchain. Think Bitcoin (BTC), but each “coin” is indivisible and unique in some way.Meanwhile, most NFT projects, including BAYC, settle via the Ethereum blockchain, priced in its native token Ether (ETH).But rarity is not the only reason people pay millions of dollars for Bored Apes. In addition to owning a unique avatar, people also gain admissions to an exclusive membership club, imposed with tokens. That gives them entry into an inner circle of elites, bringing them status and more profitable opportunities.APE FEST 2021 details posted in the BAYC Discord:https://t.co/KjYGPhYWCP☠️⛵️ pic.twitter.com/jvY38qf6NK— Bored Ape Yacht Club (@BoredApeYC) October 1, 2021Evan Luthra, the CEO, and founder of EL Group International and a BAYC’s exclusive club member discussed the allure attached to the elite association. The 26-year old angel investor referred to the membership as something that is “very strong for the Wall Street folks.””I think there is a new celebrity joining the club every single day.”Bored Ape collectibles also enable their owners to enter private messaging boards on Discord and gain privileged access to other NFTs.Bored Ape Yacht Club “floor price”Bored Ape collectibles also enable their owners to enter private messaging boards on Discord and gain privileged access to other NFTs. And then, there is a certain reselling value attached to these NFTs, as visible in its rising “floor price,” which reflects the lowest bid one may open for the collectibles.As of Jan.7, the BAYC floor price was 68 ETH, or around $217,800, up 380% from its mid-August low.BAYC Floor Price chart. Source: CoinGeckoNoelle Acheson, head of market insights at Genesis Trading, credited BAYC for being more flexible in collaborations than CryptoPunks, one of the only high-profile NFT collectible series that came before it. These collaborations include a BAYC-inspired Adidas gear, the signing of a talent agency, a potential Bored Ape music group, and other related assets emerging around the languid ape characters.”So, the concept of floor prices — which drives institutional investment in NFTs as well as their increasing use as collateral for loans — no longer depends just on how much investors think someone else will pay further down the road,” Acheson explained, adding: “Floor prices, and an asset’s appreciation potential, now also depends on what else the NFTs can be used for, other than just displaying.”Luthra agreed, adding that the continuous involvement of celebrities with BAYC would further boost its recognition among retail and institutional investors alike. That may bring more demand for its NFT collection, which, in turn, would push its floor price higher.The “Meta” factorJelmer Rotteveel, the co-founder of NFT collection MoonwalkerFM, attached one more bullish backstop to the BAYC core valuation: the ongoing hype around Meta, rebranded from Facebook to support the social media giant’s metaverse ambitions.”With the emergence of Meta we will be entering a new way of communication and business,” he told Cointelegraph, adding that NFTs would become an integral part of the metaverse sector, with users supporting unique digital avatars, such as Bored Apes, to interact with one another digitally. He added:”I believe that people will be looking more closely at the developments of NFT projects like BAYC, and, just like you saw with cryptocurrency, they will be stepping in one by one.”Acheson noted that Facebook/Meta has committed to spending approximately $10 billion on metaverse development, citing its CEO Mark Zuckerberg’s statement that they would look into decentralized metaverse applications.”Whether we believe him or not — investors are likely to think about getting in ahead of those flows,” she added.Will Wall Street ape into NFTs?As stated, BAYC’s net sales recently crossed the $1-billion-mark, almost 10% of what Apple earned in 2021. Meanwhile, the NFT sector, on the whole, processed sales worth $41 billion, which came to be almost equal to the global art sales in the year, data from Chainalysis showedMatt Hougan, the chief investment officer of Bitwise Asset Management, admitted that many of their clients had been looking for exposure in the NFT space without needing to crisscross through its daunting technology. In response, Bitwise launched a dedicated fund last mont, which tracks its own Bitwise Blue-Chip NFT Collections Index — a basket of the ten largest NFT collections weighted by market capitalization — and buys and holds artworks from BAYC, CryptoPunks, and other NFT projects. Related: The NFT world is gradually bridging the gap between niche and mainstreamThe “Blue-Chip NFT Index Fund” is available only to institutional investors who invest at least $25,000 into the product. Returns brought forth by Bitwise’s NFT fund since inception. Source: Bitwise Asset ManagementRebekah Keida, director of marketing at New York-based investment management firm, XBTO, favored the prospects of Including blue-chip NFT projects like BAYC or CryptoPunks into funds on Wall Street. Keida says that it would open the floodgates for accredited investors to pour thousands, even millions, of dollars into these digital projects. “The opportunities afforded by the increased capital flow enhances the legitimacy of top NFT projects while allowing investors a diverse bet in crypto,” she told Cointelegraph.Luthra showed confidence in asset managers’ ability to tail Meta’s foray into the metaverse sector, which, in turn, would benefit the NFT projects like the BAYC, saying:”If Meta thinks that the future lies in the metaverse and that’s where they are investing their time and energy, it only makes logical sense for asset managers to deploy funds towards the industry. As the space matures and there is more opportunities available, I am confident we will see many more metaverse related funds pop up to capitalize on the opportunity.”Meanwhile, Sami Chlagou, CEO at Cross the ages metaverse game, compared Meta’s potential involvement in the NFT space with “lighting a lamp in the heads of investors who are much more backward about this concept.””Whether you think Meta’s decision is good or bad, the fact remains that when one of the largest social networking groups open to innovation and known for shaking up our environment talks about a subject, it opens doors and the desire to get involved.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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BTCS stock jumps 44% after announcing first-ever dividend payable in Bitcoin

On Jan. 5, Nasdaq Composite logged its biggest daily loss since February last year. But for one of its listed companies, the day turned out to be extremely bullish.Blockchain stock soarsThe share value of BTCS Inc. (BTCS), a blockchain technology company, surged nearly 44% to $4.36 at the New York closing bell, thus becoming the third-best performer on Nasdaq after Lixte Biotechnology (LIXT) and Mainz Biomed BV (MYNZ).Top Nasdaq performers as of Jan. 5, 2022’s close. Source: TheStockMarketWatch.com  In contrast, Nasdaq plunged 3.3% on January 6, its losses driven primarily by the release of the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting in mid-December last year. In detail, the minutes revealed the Federal Reserve officials’ intention to raise interest rates faster than anticipated.  The Fed scare did not impact BTCS, for it arrived on the same day the company announced “Bividend,” the first-ever dividend payable in Bitcoin (BTC) by a Nasdaq-listed company. Excerpts from a press release published on Jan. 5 reveal that:”BTCS intends to pay $0.05 per share in Bitcoin, based on the Bitcoin price on the ex-dividend date. Investors who do not elect to receive the Bividend in Bitcoin will receive a cash dividend of $0.05.”Investors/traders took the announcement as a cue to raise their bids for the BTCS stock, insofar that its value per share jumped to $5.05 on Jan. 5, a three-week high. However, the stock price later fell by more than 13.50% amid profit-taking sentiment but overall closed the day in profits.The BTCS correction continues BTCS dropped by another 8% to $4.01 per share following the New York opening bell on Jan. 6, this time in sync with Nasdaq, which fell nearly 1%.BTCS daily price chart. Source: TradingViewThe selloff appeared to have accelerated after BTCS tested its 50-day exponential moving average (50-day EMA; the velvet wave in the chart above) near $5.12 as resistance. In a similar fashion, the 20-day EMA (the green wave) attempted to limit BTCS’s downside momentum by acting as support.Related: Bitcoin price drops to $43.7K after Fed minutes re-confirm plans to hike ratesAs BTCS looked rangebound between the two critical moving averages, some financial experts warned investors to not invest in the stock based on hype surrounding its Bitcoin dividend launch. That included Ivory Johnson, founder of Delancey Wealth Management. The chartered financial consultant recommended that investors buy Bitcoin directly if they want to buy it instead of seeking its exposure via BTCS.”When buying any stock, your decision should be based on the fundamentals of the company itself,” he told CNBC.Douglas Boneparth, president of Bone Fide Wealth, called Bividend a “really neat bridge” for institutional investors who want to own Bitcoin. Nonetheless, he noted that BTCS’s offering is more a feature and less a product, underscoring that investors should focus on other factors before buying BTCS shares, such as the company’s future cash flows. Currently, BTCS is trading nearly 85% lower than its all-time high of $32.40, established earlier in Jan. 2021.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Ethereum plunges 13%, down more than Bitcoin after Fed spooks crypto market

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) plunged sharply hours after the U.S. Federal Reserve released the minutes of their December meeting, showing that they eye a faster timetable for hiking interest rates in 2022.The minutes showed that the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is in favor of raising short-term rates “sooner or at a faster pace than participants had earlier anticipated.” According to the CME Group, trading in the interest-rate futures market showed a two-thirds possibility of the first increase in March.Ether turned lower after the minutes were released, dropping by over 13.50% to as low as $3,300. Its plunge mirrored similar downside moves across the crypto market, with Bitcoin (BTC) shedding a little over 9% to nearly $42,100.ETH/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingViewIncontestably, ETH/USD returned more losses to its investors than BTC/USD after the Fed’s spook. It appears traders decided to unwind tokens sitting atop better long-term profits than Bitcoin. For instance, Ether’s returns in the last 12 months — even after the Fed-led drop — came out to be around 175%. On the other hand, Bitcoin’s profits were nearly 15.75% in the same period.Performance of top fifteen cryptocurrencies. Source: MessariSimilarly, Ethereum’s top rival Solana (SOL) also logged more losses than Bitcoin, dipping by more than 13.75% after the Fed news. Nonetheless, its 12-month profits came out to be more than 7,500%, signaling further extreme corrections if the crypto market’s bias remains skewed toward the bears.ETH/BTC reaches key rebound levelEther also plunged against Bitcoin, according to the performance of a widely-traded instrument, ETH/BTC, in the past 24 hours.The pair dropped by a little over 5% to hit 0.077 BTC. In doing so, it also reached a critical support level near 0.078 BTC that has recently been instrumental in keeping Ether bullish against Bitcoin by limiting the former’s downside bias.ETH/BTC daily price chart showing its key support level. Source: TradingViewMeanwhile, the 0.078 BTC-support also appeared to be the lower trendline of Ether’s descending triangle. Descending triangles are continuation patterns that typically send the price in the direction of its previous trend after a consolidation period.That increases Ether’s potential to remain stronger than Bitcoin in the long run, as long as it breaks above the triangle’s upper trendline with convincingly higher volumes.Too soon to fear the FedFor months, Fed officials were stuck to the opinion that higher inflation in the U.S. drew its inspiration from supply-chain bottlenecks, with chairman Jerome Powell asserting that it would resolve by itself. But in the latest meeting, he showed less conviction toward the so-called “inflation-is-transitory” narrative.That is primarily because the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) reached a nearly 40-year high in November 2021, hitting 6.8% year-over-year. Meanwhile, core consumer prices, which exclude energy and food categories, rose to 4.7% from a year earlier; it came to be above the Fed’s preferred inflation target of 2%.”There’s a real risk now, I believe, that inflation may be more persistent and…the risk of higher inflation becoming entrenched has increased,” said Powell on Dec. 15 last year after concluding the FOMC meeting.U.S headline inflation over the years. Source: Bloomberg, Bureau of Labor StatisticsMadison Faller, a global strategist at JPMorgan Private Bank, told Bloomberg that investors should not fear the Fed, noting that their three planned rate cuts in 2022 would do little in curbing down consumer prices. Excerpts from her statement:“Growth and inflation will be decelerating throughout 2022, but nonetheless remain above historic trend levels. We think this will call for a much lower risk of a Fed-induced material market correction.”As Cointelegraph also covered, fears of persistently higher inflation, which, in turn, tends to devalue cash, have prompted mainstream investors to park their money in the crypto sector. For instance, Thomas Peterffy, the billionaire founder of brokerage firm Interactive Brokers Group Inc., admitted that he holds 2-3% of his net assets in crypto just in case the fiat money “goes to hell.” Likewise, Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio revealed last year that his investment portfolio contains Bitcoin.The outlook against inflation promised to offer some respite to Ether, which tends to tail the Bitcoin price movements. Meanwhile, Sean Farrell and Will McEvoy, strategists at Fundstrat Global, noted that investors should increase their investments across the smart contracts sector to get the most from the next market rebound.”Given the current macro backdrop, leverage within the Bitcoin market, and recent robustness seen in the altcoin market, we think it’s appropriate to be overweight Ethereum and other smart contract platforms,” they said in a note, adding:”We probably would not bet the farm near-term on Bitcoin but think there is an opportunity in going long volatility via derivatives strategies.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Internet Computer: Correction risk rises after ICP price gains nearly 60% in 5 days

Internet Computer (ICP) has entered 2022 with a bang.The ICP price rose by over 56% in the first five days of the new year, reaching a 30-day high of $38 on Jan. 5. Its massive upside move accompanied a spike in trading volumes, underscoring a strong and healthy bullish sentiment for now.ICP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingViewAt the center of ICP’s recent price rally was a flurry of optimistic news. That includes Binance’s decision this Tuesday to list a financial instrument that would enable traders to directly swap ICP to/from Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) and the launch of Terabethia, a cross-blockchain bridge, on Dec. 22 that enables Ethereum’s ERC-20 tokens to exist natively on the Internet Computer blockchain.Additionally, a rally across the smart contract platform tokens, especially in the last seven days, may have boosted traders’ appetite for ICP.Smart contract platform tokens’ performance. Source: MessariDowntrend intactNevertheless, ICP remains at risk of paring its recent gains entirely as it trended lower inside its multi-month descending channel range.In detail, the Internet Computer token price reached the channel’s upper trendline on Wednesday, thus exposing itself to selloff risks. That is primarily due to the trendline’s history of limiting ICP’s upside attempts, as shown in the chart below.ICP/USD daily price chart featuring descending channel pattern. Source: TradingViewMeanwhile, recent data also shows that a pullback from the upper trendline pushed the ICP price towards the channel’s lower trendline. For that reason, ICP risked falling to new price lows despite its bullish rebound.Resistance confluenceMore cues for ICP’s pullback setup came from an another resistance near $37.70 and overvaluation risks posed by the token’s daily relative strength index (RSI).The $37.70-level, which helped ICP limit its bearish exposure between September and November 2021, coincides with the 0.236 Fib line of the Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from the circa $89-swing high to the $22-swing low. Meanwhile, the RSI reading at press time came out to be near 67.50. A value above 70 will make ICP an overbought asset that may amount to a certain degree of price correction/consolidation. Should it happen, the ICP price could risk falling to the 0 Fib line near $22.Related: Dfinity insiders alleged to have illegally sold ICP and harmed retail investorsConversely, closing above the $37.70-level could have Internet Computer eye $47.50 as its next upside target.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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