Autor Cointelegraph By Yashu Gola

Ethereum risks 35% drop by June with ETH price confirming ‘ascending triangle’ fakeout

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) faces the possibility of a 35% price correction in Q2 as it comes closer to breaking below its “ascending triangle” pattern.ETH price breakdown ahead?Ether’s price swung between profits and losses on May 2 while trading around $2,825, showing indecisiveness among traders about their next bias. Interestingly, the Ethereum token wobbled in the proximity of a rising trendline that constitutes an ascending triangle pattern in conjugation with a horizontal line resistance.To recap, ascending triangles are typically continuation patterns. That being said, Ether’s price was trending lower before forming its ascending triangle, raising its chances of a breakdown in the next few weeks. Another bearish sign comes from Ether’s fake out move more than a month ago.Notably, Ether broke above its ascending triangle on March 28 only to return to its range a week later — a fake breakout. Flipping the triangle’s top to resistance, followed by a period of consistent selling, indicates strengthening bearish momentum, now nearing a breakdown moment.ETH/USD weekly price chart featuring ‘ascending triangle’ setup. Source: TradingViewAs a rule, breaking below the Triangle’s lower trendline puts the downside target at a length equal to the triangle’s maximum height, or the area between $1,820 (-35%) and around $2,160 (-30%), depending on the breakout point. Institutional ETH outflowsMeanwhile, accredited investors have been withdrawing money out of Ethereum-based investment products in 2022, according to the latest CoinShares report. Related: Solana suffers 7th outage in 2022 as bots invade the networkIn detail, about $169 million had already left Ethereum funds until April 22. In contrast, Ethereum’s layer-1 competition, including Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX), alongside its rival for the top position, Bitcoin (BTC), witnessed capital inflows.Institutional flows (by assets) as of April 22. Source: CoinSharesThe Digital Trend, a pseudonymous analyst at Seeking Alpha, argues that investors have been repositioning their capital to gain exposure to funds associated with Ethereum’s blockchain rivals, namely, Solana, Avalanche, Terra (LUNA) and Algorand (ALGO).The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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XRP price rebounds after worst month since June 2021 — major recovery ahead?

XRP opened May with a decent price rebound after falling 28% in April, its worst monthly performance since June 2021. Furthermore, the XRP/USD pair shows prospects of continuing its recovery trend in the coming weeks.Support confluence raises XRP bullish prospectsXRP’s price rose by nearly 6.25% in the first two days of May, going as high as $0.63 (data from Binance). The buying sentiment surged around $0.58, a level that acted as strong support in January 2022 and enabled XRP to rise by more than 50% thereafter.XRP/USD daily price chart featuring support area around $0.58-level. Source: TradingViewInterestingly, the $0.58-support coincides with XRP’s 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave in the chart below). It also serves as the lower trendline of a broader descending triangle pattern, a bearish indicator targeting $0.18 in the coming months.XRP/USD weekly price chart featuring 200-week EMA and ‘descending triangle’ setup. Source: TradingViewBut with XRP’s price bouncing from a confluence of support levels, its likelihood of retesting the triangle’s upper trendline is high. That would have the token test levels above $0.75 — up nearly 30% from today’s price — as their next resistance target in Q2/2022.Buy the rumorXRP has emerged as a speculative vehicle for traders looking to benefit from the ongoing SEC vs. Ripple case.In December 2020, the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filed a lawsuit against Ripple for conducting illegal securities sales via XRP. Nonetheless, recent hearings indicate that the case has been going relatively well for Ripple.Record GrowthMajority of Ripple partners & volume exists outside of US”already operating in worst case scenario”SEC case going exceedingly well$XRP Look at the Ripple Advisors & Board (e.g. 43rd US Treasurer, Former CFTC Chair, and now Michael Barr – Ripple Advisor…) https://t.co/9MhSctDjEQ pic.twitter.com/Z5HInHzSvJ— Kevin Cage (@Kevin_Cage_) April 16, 2022The SEC vs. Ripple case has dampened buying sentiment in the XRP market, given it is the only veteran token in the top-ten that has been unable to beat its 2017-2018 bull market highs. But analysts believe that Ripple’s win would drastically improve XRP’s upside prospects.Related: Ripple CEO: SEC case is going ‘much better than I hoped’”XRP investors could benefit immensely if Ripple is victorious in the war,” says Practical Crypto Capital, analyst at SeekingAlpha, albeit adding: “Holders must watch for the news and be prepared; based on the examples from the past year, we can probably expect the gains to rapidly peak and then decline.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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ApeCoin slides 40% in three days despite Otherside metaverse land sale — here's why

ApeCoin (APE) caught its bulls off-guard with APE price losing nearly 40% in just three days.No dutch auctionAPE’s price reached its second-highest level, hitting $27.57 on April 28, up more than 2,650% from its mid-March debut.Nonetheless, traders started unwinding their positions after Yuga Labs, the Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) NFT collection’s creator, released the details of the mint of its Otherside Metaverse lands, dubbed “Otherdeed.”Yuga Labs revealed that the NFT mint would cost a flat 305 APE (~$5,250 at today’s price), in contrast to expectations that the company would sell the metaverse land parcels in a dutch auction manner. Thus, the disclosure may have reduced the need for people to hoard more ApeCoin tokens, leading to a drop in demand.APE dropped to as low as $17 three days after the Yuga Labs’ announcement.APE/USD four-hour price chart. Source: TradingViewAdditionally, the selloff accelerated due to Yuga Labs’ decision to limit the minting of Otherdeed NFTs, starting with two NFTs per wallet for the first wave. This may have also played a role in driving down demand for APE tokens.BREAKING: BAYC has sold over $100,000,000 worth of digital real estate 45 minutes after launching their Otherside Metaverse.— Watcher.Guru (@WatcherGuru) May 1, 2022APE a “good buy” after dip?ApeCoin serves as a primary settlement token for all the Yuga Labs’ products and services. Additionally, it is a governance asset within “ApeCoin DAO,” a decentralized autonomous organization that gives APE holders the right to vote on the proposals made by community members.But the biggest takeaway remains APE’s close association with Yuga Labs itself, a blue-chip startup whose valuation reached $4 billion almost a year after its debut. So, the hype surrounding its metaverse land sales, all payable via ApeCoin, could absorb the ongoing selling.OpenSea, the world’s leading NFT marketplace, also announced on April 30 that it has started accepting APE for payments on its platform. Meanwhile, Yuga Labs has requested the ApeCoin DAO to hold a vote on whether APE could migrate from Ethereum to its own blockchain.I just tweeted about this an hour ago. $APE needs its own chain. https://t.co/eagb4FH1Hr— David Gokhshtein (@davidgokhshtein) May 1, 2022

Loma, an independent market analyst, signaled APE’s potential of bottoming out despite its latest price dip, citing “interest and speculation” surrounding the Otherside mint.”The bear market dip-buying of choice seems to un-ironically be $APE and related ecosystem,” the analyst noted, adding:”I think it’ll be a good buy once the mint-hype dies down.”ApeCoin technicals agreeAPE’s latest selloff has led its price to a support confluence defined by its 100-4H exponential moving average (100-4H EMA; the black wave) and the 0.5 Fib line (around 17.29) of the Fibonacci retracement graph drawn from $10.63-swing low to nearly $24-swing high.ApeCoin four-hour price chart. Source: TradingViewAPE/USD has been attempting to rebound from the said confluence, but lackluster volumes indicate that it would continue falling deeper, with the 0.618 Fib line near $15.72 serving as the next downside target, down over 10% from today’s price.The level coincides with the 200-4H EMA (the blue wave) and the top of a so-called “demand zone” — the launchpad for APE’s previous 100% price rally.Related: 2 key metrics point toward further downside for the entire crypto marketConversely, a rebound from 100-4H EMA could have APE test the 0.382 Fib line near $18.85. Accompanied by convincingly increasing volumes, the price could test $20 and 24 as the next bullish targets.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin whale holdings at 7-month highs despite warnings of BTC price crash to $20K

Bitcoin (BTC) prices could drop by 20% in the next few months, but that has not deterred its richest investors from stacking.The amount of Bitcoin held by “unique entities” with a balance of at least 1,000 BTC, or so-called “whales,” has increased to its best levels since September 2021, data on Glassnode shows. Interestingly, the number in the past week grew despite Bitcoin’s price decline from $43,000 to around $38,000.Bitcoin whales holdings. Source: GlassnodeMarcus Sotiriou, an analyst at GlobalBlock, a U.K.-based digital asset broker, considered the latest spike in Bitcoin whale holdings as a bullish indicator, recalling a similar move in September 2021 that preceded a BTC price rally to $69,000 all-time highs in November 2021.”As whales have a substantial impact on the market, this metric is an important one to take note of,” he said.Bitcoin risks further declinesBitcoin’s price has fallen from $69,000 in November last year to almost $40,000 in late April 2022, driven lower primarily due to Federal Reserve’s decision to aggressively hike interest rates and unwind its quantitative easing program to tame inflation.Interestingly, Bitcoin’s fall has mirrored similar downside moves in the U.S. equity market, with its correlation with the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite reaching 0.99 in mid-April. An efficiency reading of 1 shows that the two assets have been moving in perfect tandem. BTC/USD correlation with Nasdaq 100. Source: TradingView”You should think about this high correlation as a gravitational field pulling on Bitcoin’s price,” says Nick, analyst at data resource Ecoinometrics. He adds:”If the Fed nukes the stock market into a black hole, don’t expect Bitcoin to escape a major crash.”Technicals agree with depressive fundamental indicators. Notably, Bitcoin has been breaking down from a “bear flag” pattern and risks undergoing further price declines in the coming months, as illustrated in the chart below.BTC/USD daily price chart featuring ‘bear flag’ setup. Source: TradingViewThe bear flag’s downside target sits below $33,000.Meanwhile, Brett Sifling, an investment advisor for Gerber Kawasaki Wealth & Investment Management, says that a break below $30,000 would open the door for a crash to as low as $20,000.All eyes on the FedSotiriou remains long-term bullish on Bitcoin, noting that the contraction in the U.S. gross domestic product (GDP) by 1.4% in Q1/2022 may prompt the Fed to become less hawkish to avoid a recession.”As long as we see these macro headwinds persist, I think the correlation to the Nasdaq will continue,” the analyst told Cointelegraph. “However, the longer this consolidation continues, the bigger the expansion will be when the Fed reverses course from hawkish to dovish.”Bitcoin’s “asymmetric returns” potential Meanwhile, Nick believes that Bitcoin will recover faster than U.S. equities after the next large market drop.Related: BTC and ETH will break all-time highs in 2022 — Celsius CEOThe analyst explained by pitting the size and duration of BTC’s drawdowns — a correction period between two consecutive all-time highs — against tech stocks, including Netflix, Meta, Apple and others. Notably, Bitcoin recovered faster than the given U.S. equities every time.Bitcoin versus Netflix drawdown size and duration. Source: EcoinometricsExcerpts:”Bitcoin doesn’t look much different than your typical stock investment. So don’t worry too much about volatility and focus instead on long-term growth potential. Those betting on asymmetric returns shall be rewarded in time.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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3 reasons why Dogecoin price can now gain 50% by September

At least three market catalysts show that Dogecoin (DOGE) could climb by at least 50% by the end of Q3/2022.Falling wedge breakout in playDogecoin has been painting a “falling wedge” pattern on its longer-timeframe charts since May 2021, hinting at potential for a bullish reversal in the coming months.Falling Wedges appear when the price trends lower inside a range defined by two descending, converging trendlines. Their occurrence coincides with declining trade volumes, suggesting that trading activity slowed down due to the narrowing price range.A break of the wedge to the upside, coupled with a rise in trading volumes, suggests the asset is  breaking out. As a rule of technical analysis, a falling wedge breakout can push the price upward by as much as the maximum distance between the structure’s upper and lower trendline.Applying the classic theory to Dogecoin suggests that it would rise towards $0.40 if the breakout occurs near the $0.14-level, or about 190% above today’s price. At its worst, the falling wedge breakout could have DOGE’s price rally a little over 50% to $0.21, given its breakout point comes to be near the apex around $0.75.DOGE/USD weekly price chart featuring ‘falling wedge’ setup. Source: TradingViewElon Musk’s Twitter acquisitionEarlier this week, Twitter announced that it had accepted Elon Musk’s bid to buy its social media platform for $4 billion. Dogecoin price reacted bullishly on the possibility that Musk would integrate DOGE as one of the official payment mediums for Twitter’s subscription services, based on his recent recommendations to the company’s board.DOGE/USD daily price chart featuring Musk’s tweet. Source: TradingViewNoelle Acheson, head of market insights at Genesis Global Trading, noted that DOGE’s price rally gets its cues from “very much speculation,” given Musk still has to confirm whether or not he would add a Dogecoin payment option on Twitter.“But the possibility, even if it is remote, is enough to get traders excited about the potential gain in DOGE adoption,” he told Bloomberg.DOGE investors are getting excitedMusk’s Twitter acquisition announcement on April 25 and its subsequent positive impact on Dogecoin prices, which rose by nearly 20% on the same day, coincided with a spike in retail and institutional interest.For instance, internet queries for the keyword “buy Dogecoin” shot up by 392% on April 25, according to Google Trends. Meanwhile, the volume of on-chain DOGE transactions with a value exceeding $100,000 reached $2.59 billion on the same day.”This is the highest volume since March 24, and represented 94% of the total volume,” data analytics platform IntoTheBlock noted.Dogecoin on-chain transaction volume. Source: IntoTheBlock CryptoWallet.com, a cryptocurrency card service, also confirmed the same in an email statement to Cointelegraph, noting that “the online interest in buying Dogecoin skyrocketed to almost four times the average volume in one day due to Musk acquiring full ownership of Twitter.”Related: Dogecoin Jesus? Roger Ver resurfaces on Twitter, backs DOGE over BTCDOGE’s price fell by more than 12% on April 26. Nonetheless, the decline accompanied lower volumes than the previous day, suggesting weaker profit-taking sentiment.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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