Autor Cointelegraph By William Suberg

Bitcoin could hit $100K, gold $2K in 2022 thanks to 'deflationary forces' — Bloomberg analyst

$100,000 Bitcoin (BTC) and $2,000 gold could greet 2022 as global markets face “deflationary forces,” says Bloomberg Intelligence.In a tweet on Dec. 9, Mick McGlone, a senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg’s research arm, forecast that next year would be good for both gold and BTC.”Positive ramifications” for Bitcoin thanks to deflationAs inflation makes headlines worldwide this month, Bitcoin has faced criticism over its alleged role as a hedge thanks to its 39% drawdown from all-time highs.As Cointelegraph reported, the latest U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is due Friday, with analysts presuming that inflation will have sharpened 6.7% year-on-year.Next year could be very different, McGlone argues, as inflationary pressures give way to declining commodity prices and equities.“$100,000 Bitcoin, $50 Oil, $2,000 Gold?” he tweeted.“Peaking commodities and the declining yield on the Treasury long bond point to risks of reviving deflationary forces in 2022, with positive ramifications on Bitcoin and gold.”Macro assets comparative chart. Source: Mike McGlone/ TwitterA previous post highlighted crude oil prices now being roughly equivalent to where they were just before the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.Schiff forecasts inflation “getting medieval”McGlone is well known for his bullish views on Bitcoin. Gold, much maligned this year thanks to its comparatively flat performance versus Bitcoin, may also benefit from macro headwinds.Related: Bitcoin dips below $50K as Evergrande defaults on US dollar debtThe Bitcoin versus gold debate continues to rage, with proponents trading barbs as neither camp sees the kinds of gains they assumed would characterize Q4.On inflation, however, there was consensus to be found.”How long before investors realize that even if the Fed follows through with its inflation fighting plan to taper QE and raise interest rates slightly in 2022, that it’ll be too little too late to derail this inflation juggernaut?” gold bug Peter Schiff queried this week. “If Powell doesn’t get medieval, inflation will!”U.S. inflation chart. Source: Tradingeconomics.com

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Bitcoin dips below $50K as Evergrande defaults on US dollar debt

Bitcoin (BTC) kept $50,000 as a focus on Dec. 9 as consolidation on BTC/USD continued to avoid last week’s lows.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewBitcoin “appears on track”Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed the pair acting within a small range around the $50,000 mark overnight, this yet to become firm support.“A crucial area to hold is that region we’ve touched already at $42K. The close was above $46-47K and I’d prefer not to lose that at all.”“Chop, chop, chop it is for Bitcoin,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe wrote on the day. Amid broadly calmer conditions despite macro markets dealing with an unprecedented debt default from China’s Evergrande property giant, analysts thus focused increasingly on longer-term phenomena to gauge Bitcoin price action’s overall health.“Bitcoin appears on track,” popular Twitter account TechDev summarized Wednesday in an optimistic discussion comparing this year to previous post-halving years 2013 and 2017.A frequent topic for TechDev, the relationship, conditioned by halving cycles, has survived despite the most recent drawdown from all-time highs totaling 39%.He further agreed with separate analysis from popular trader and analyst Rekt Capital, who late last week highlighted key Fibonacci levels for Bitcoin to hold and reclaim.Very nice work. Did not see this. Agree with the positioning and outlook. Also see parallel to 2013 macro PA.— TechDev (@TechDev_52) December 8, 2021Despite the similarities between cycles, however, commentators have conceded that this time, Bitcoin will likely take longer to reach its cycle peak, leaving December without a classic blow-off top.Ether takes aim at BTC pairAltcoins were similarly calm overnight, with the only standout in the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market cap being Terra’s LUNA token, up 11%.Related: This Bitcoin price metric just hit ‘oversold’ for only the 7th time in 8 yearsEther (ETH) was down by 1.2% at the time of writing to just above $4,300 while maintaining almost four-year highs against BTC.ETH/BTC 1-month candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewFor Rekt Capital, $4,384 was the support level to reclaim in order to fuel a retest of ground nearer all-time highs.

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Bitcoin rebounds on Wall Street open as exchange BTC reserves plunge after $42K dip

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered from a dip below $50,000 on Dec. 8 as Wall St. trading opened on a fresh bullish note.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewBitcoin market ditches “extreme fear”Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView captured a classic rally for BTC/USD on hourly timeframes, gaining $2,000 in a single one-hour candle.The pair had hit daily lows of $48,656 on Bitstamp before a dramatic trend change brought back the psychologically significant $50,000 level.Buckle up— Zhu Su (@zhusu) December 8, 2021#Bitcoin held crucial level and continues probably to a new test at $51.6K and $53.6K. Nice!— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) December 8, 2021

As positive signals began to emerge from well-known names on social media, sentiment likewise felt the benefit, exiting “extreme fear” for the first time since Friday’s crash below $42,000.Popular trader Rekt Capital, who earlier eyed healthy behavior on the weekly chart, meanwhile added that BTC price action could be mimicking its recovery seen during September’s major dip. This involved acting between two exponential moving average (EMA) lines.”Bitcoin may be repeating a consolidation period it also experienced following its May 2021 crash,” he tweeted. “This consolidation takes place between the blue 50-week EMA support and green 21-week EMA resistance.” BTC/USD 1-week annotated candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: Rekt Capital/ TwitterExchange Bitcoin holdings drain faster since sell-offOn-chain metrics continued to please on Wednesday, against a backdrop of network fundamentals shaking off spot price action by nearing new record highs.Related: Third-biggest Bitcoin whale’s holdings total $6B after ‘whopping’ 2.7K BTC buy-inAlmost 80% of the BTC supply was still in profit at lower levels, according to data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, this nonetheless constituting a one-month low.BTC 1-hour supply % in profit (7-day moving average) chart. Source: Glassnode/ TwitterA look at the BTC balance on exchanges added to the positivity, reserves at their lowest in multiple years and far below when Bitcoin traded at four figures.Last week’s dip failed to upend the trend, which in fact accelerated over the weekend, data from on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant confirms.BTC exchange reserves chart. Source: CryptoQuant

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Bitcoin holds $50K as analyst says weekly timeframes confirm bull market remains intact

Bitcoin (BTC) retained $50,000 as support overnight into Dec. 8 amid confidence that the 2021 bull market was not yet over. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewSilver lining for BTC weeklyData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD testing but failing to crack through $50,000 after reaching local highs of $51,990 on Bitstamp Tuesday.The pair had accelerated at the start of trading on Wall Street, adding to existing gains from Sunday to give BTC  some short-term relief.Now, however, it was time to consult longer timeframes to get a clearer picture of Bitcoin market health, according to trader and analyst Rekt Capital.In his latest YouTube video, Rekt Capital eyed the weekly chart to reveal what appeared to be a previously long-term resistance level flipping to support.”This might very well be a successful retest attempt,” he said, highlighting the top diagonal of a downward wedging structure in place for much of 2021.Significant buyer interest in an area around $43,000 added to the bullish prospects.BTC/USD 1-week annotated candle chart (Coinbase). Source: Rekt Capital/ YouTubeContinuing, Fibonacci levels should figure in Bitcoin’s next move, the video argued, with Bitcoin now caught between two key lines representing current support and the $60,000 region.Few believers in end-of-year moonshotElsewhere, the prognosis was tame, with calls for a lackluster end to 2021 now taking prevalence. Related: Bitcoin could ‘drive people nuts’ for months with $53K BTC price ceiling — analyst”Earlier today everyone thought we were going to moon, if we sweep the lows everyone will probably think we’re going to dump again,” fellow analyst William Clemente tweeted, reinforcing a previous statement. “Still just think we’re going to consolidate and carve out a regime of mixed-negative funding before eventually going higher.”Multiple correlations meanwhile hinge on the last few weeks of the year, among them Bitcoin versus 1970s gold and, of course, its own 2017 performance.

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Bitcoin price aims for $52K as stocks rebound fuels bullish return

Bitcoin (BTC) attempted to crack $51,600 resistance throughout Dec. 7 as BTC/USD gained in line with an equities rebound.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewBitcoin: “The trend is still up”Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed the largest cryptocurrency making repeated assaults on the $51,600 mark on Dec. 7.At the time of writing, the latest charge was ongoing, as the Wall St. open added further bullish momentum towards $52,000. Bitcoin was up almost 6% overnight.”Bitcoin rejecting at $51.6K. That’s an important level, just like $53.5K–55.5K is,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe commented earlier.”The trend still up since the recent crash, through which $49.6K is an area that I’d like to see hold if we want to retest the $53.5–55.5K zone.”Nerves were still palpable across crypto markets amid the broad belief that the current gains could be a so-called “dead cat bounce” and a return to lower levels awaits.Nonetheless, the 5% price uptick appeared to do wonders for sentiment in terms of numbers, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index jumping a whole nine points to 25/100 — on the edge of breaking out of “extreme fear.”Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Source: Alternative.me”5% does wonders,” fellow trader and analyst TechDev added.ETF volumes show institutions still hungry for BTCAs Contelegraph reported, appetite for buying Bitcoin has nonetheless remained throughout recent days.Related: This Bitcoin price metric just hit ‘oversold’ for only the 7th time in 8 yearsAlong with a conspicuous whale account, institutional interest is also strong, as evidenced by exchange-traded fund (ETF) volumes.”Yesterday, Purpose Bitcoin ETF had its biggest inflow since the inception,” Lex Moskovski, chief information officer of Moskovski Capital, summarized looking at the data.”The demand is here.”Purpose Bitcoin ETF flows annotated chart. Source: Lex Moskovski/ TwitterElsewhere, open interest in Bitcoin futures also ticked up Dec. 7, having taken a serious hit as BTC/USD crashed below $42,000.Bitcoin open interest chart. Source: Coinglass

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