Autor Cointelegraph By William Suberg

Bitcoin prints classic 'Bart' pattern as BTC price dives back below $40K

Bitcoin (BTC) reversed in classic fashion on March 10 after bulls failed once again to hold higher levels.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewBart’s back on the Bitcoin chartData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD forming a characteristic “Bart Simpson” retracement pattern overnight on Wednesday.The pair had managed to pass $42,000 before consolidating, but a lack of support meant that a drop back to its previous trading zone below $40,000 was the grimly familiar outcome.Such “Bart” formations had come several times in the weeks prior, and underscored the difficulty experienced by a market stuck firmly in an established trading range for months.- Was no follow up in price or volume for deriv bidders- attempting to unwind their longs and tanked the market volume, predicted funding, and open interest tell the story pic.twitter.com/hJD6QVRUek— Dylan LeClair (@DylanLeClair_) March 10, 2022Those hoping for upside continuation were thus left disappointed, with cross-crypto liquidations for the 24 hours to the time of writing totaling $211 million, according to data from analytics resource Coinglass.Crypto liquidations chart. Source: Coinglass“Fried bulls this morning,” popular trader Crypto Ed, who had called the end of the upside at Wednesday’s highs, told Twitter followers.“This is not PA but PP Ping Pong And yes, Asians always been good in Ping Pong,” he added, referring to both the up and down slopes of the “Bart” occurring during Asian market hours.Thursday meanwhile would see the release of U.S. consumer price index (CPI) data for February, this tipped to show inflation still running hot at an estimated 7.9% year-on-year.“CPI number comes out tomorrow & the FOMC meeting is in less than a week (March 15 & 16),” trader and analyst Matthew Hyland forecast in part of a tweet Wednesday. “I expect volatility ahead, but increased certainty as a result.”An accompanying chart underlined key resistance levels for BTC/USD to overcome, along with support at $36,300 and $33,000.BTC/USD chart with key levels marked. Source: Matthew Hyland/ TwitterAltcoins in copycat U-turnBitcoin’s volatility likewise cost altcoins much of their latest gains, with Ether (ETH) down 5.1% to less than $2,600.Related: Price analysis 3/9: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, LUNA, SOL, ADA, AVAX, DOT, DOGEMany others out of the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap were equally gloomy on the day, with previous high flyer Terra (LUNA) nonetheless managing to linger near $100 highs.LUNA/USD 1-hour candle chart (Binance). Source: TradingView

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Trader gives $44K BTC price target as Bitcoin shrugs off executive order 'nothingburger'

Bitcoin (BTC) held onto swift gains at the Wall Street open on March 9 as nerves over U.S. regulatory moves calmed. BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewExecutive order enters with a whimperData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD maintaining $42,000 into the start of trading Wednesday.The pair had shrugged off the latest round of macro tensions to add over 11% in 24 hours, among the best movers in the broader crypto market.Despite mixed feelings over the real significance of the move among traders and analysts, fresh information about U.S. President Joe Biden’s executive order on cryptoassets appeared to allay some of the market’s fears.An accompanying fact sheet seemed to point to the order being more investigative than draconian, making the White House’s latest efforts decidedly unlike last year’s Infrastructure Bill.”The Administration will continue work across agencies and with Congress to establish policies that guard against risks and guide responsible innovation, with our allies and partners to develop aligned international capabilities that respond to national security risks, and with the private sector to study and support technological advances in digital assets,” it concluded.Reacting, Bill Barhydt, founder and CEO of payment gateway Abra, called the order a “nothing burger with a side of psychobabble” and said that Bitcoin was rallying as a result.The fact sheet itself did not mention “Bitcoin” at all, referring only to “digital assets” and “cryptocurrencies.””Today, POTUS signed an Executive Order on crypto-assets. I look forward to collaborating with colleagues across the government to achieve important public policy goals: protecting investors & consumers, guarding against illicit activity, & helping ensure financial stability,” Gary Gensler, chair of the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), wrote on Twitter.Among the order’s plans was a pledge to further research into a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, on the part of the U.S. government.Range resistance not tipped to be brokenBuoyed by the events, BTC price action thus allowed market players to push higher in their short-term forecasting.Related: Bitcoin transaction fees briefly doubled yet remain exceptionally lowFor options trader and pseudonymous Twitter user John Wick, the scenario was now similar to that in which BTC/USD found itself earlier in March.#BTC Reversal bar setup + Squeeze Arrow setup has up in a new uptrend (again) targeting $44k retest.Indicators from https://t.co/c5WtFtKTRV https://t.co/f7AEvUEHQ5 pic.twitter.com/XLfUiwC42Q— John Wick (@ZeroHedge_) March 9, 2022Others remained conservative, with Crypto Ed not expecting a rematch of the previous range high.”BTC looks like it finished that move at $42,550 Just a marginal new high was enough apparently,” he wrote in his latest Twitter update.Bearish prognoses nonetheless remained, with precious little sign that Bitcoin would break out from its range high near $46,000.

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Bitcoin returns to $42K as markets await potential 7.9% CPI inflation data

Bitcoin (BTC) hit $42,000 on March 9 as an impressive overnight candle saw bulls reclaim support levels.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewTrader: Market “still fragile”Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD abruptly “squeeze” through previous resistance at $39,600, going on to deliver 24-hour gains of 11.3%.Amid local highs of $42,438 on Bitstamp, the mood among traders was also improving, but caution remained. Multiple macro factors: the Russia-Ukraine war, inflation and the United States’ incoming executive order on cryptocurrency all kept commentators wary.”I can’t deny that the market is looking a bit better after this move. However, still very fragile, short timeframe and uncertain,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe said as part of Twitter comments on the day.Fellow trader and analyst Pentoshi was similarly cool on the performance, which took Bitcoin back to the upper segment of a range in which it had lingered throughout 2022.IF 40.7k holds on the 1D/3D THEN will look once again for the yearly open for a third time prev was from near blue “value area”. First two both came up just short. Third time likely the charm IF 40.7k holdsBelow 40.7k = no buenoTargets:Hold 46.2k and 52-53k https://t.co/zMkoiCZcjV pic.twitter.com/tSigWopXn3— Pentoshi (@Pentosh1) March 9, 2022″This was a nice squeeze, but ultimately want to see Bitcoin reclaim 46-47k to feel confident that momentum has been regained,” William Clemente, lead insights analyst at Blockware added.Bets remained open as to the impact of Thursday’s consumer price index (CPI) data for February, this expected to be 7.9% and a key driver of short-term volatility for BTC/USD.The data would precede the following week’s decision on key interest rates from the Federal Reserve, with expectations just as varied as to its scope.”IMO BTC’s first dip from 60k to 30k in 2021 was caused by China’s mining ban. The second dip from 60k to 30k in 2021 was caused by inflation combined with possible rate hikes & QE ending,” PlanB, creator of the stock-to-flow family of Bitcoin price models argued. “Currently the odds of rate hikes & QE ending seem low.”LUNA returns to top major altcoin returnsBitcoin thus performed strongly even against many altcoins, with the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap struggling to keep up.Related: Bitcoin stems losses after US bans Russian oil, gold heads to record highsEther (ETH) was up 7.2% on the day at the time of writing, while others were flatter, such as XRP on 3.7%.The briskest gains belonged to Terra (LUNA) once again, LUNA/USD targeting 20% gains and its highest since mid-January.LUNA/USD 1-day candle chart (Binance). Source: TradingView

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Bitcoin stems losses after US bans Russian oil, gold heads to record highs

Bitcoin (BTC) erased then recovered its daily gains later on March 8 as United States President Joe Biden announced a complete ban on Russian oil imports.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewBTC comes full circle, while gold steals the showData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it targeted $38,000 an hour after Tuesday’s Wall Street open.Having hit $39,240, the pair swiftly changed trajectory as Biden confirmed the plans, which added to oil’s already strong gains and further pressured stocks and risk assets.“Today, I’m announcing that the United States is targeting the main artery of Russia’s economy,” he said at a press conference.“We’re banning all imports of Russian oil and gas and energy. That means that Russian oil will no longer be acceptable at U.S. ports, and American people will deal another powerful blow to Putin’s war machine.”Brent crude rose to highs of $133 on the announcement, while U.S. stocks had little to celebrate, the S&P 500 down 0.5% on the day at the time of writing.#Oil prices jump as Biden announces full ban on Russian oil, gas, energy imports in response to Putin’s invasion of #Ukraine. pic.twitter.com/7hP1m1bmfc— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) March 8, 2022Bitcoin, still within a familiar range, nonetheless avoided major losses as it bounced back to $39,000.“I don’t know what’s going to happen with the U.S. embargo on the price action. Natural reaction would be that USOIL goes up some more, while risk-on assets are dropping,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe nonetheless argued. “I actually think the opposite takes place with the impact of a ‘buy the rumor, sell the news’ event.”Gold, meanwhile, capitalized on the latest twist in the Russia–Ukraine saga, bouncing back above $2,000 per ounce to target all-time highs.XAU/USD 1-week candle chart. Source: TradingViewHave stocks already bottomed?Similarly, not everyone was wholly convinced that stocks had their worst ahead of them.Related: Bitcoin stuck under $40K, but BTC price hits another all-time high vs. Russian rubleIn what should be a silver lining for Bitcoin bulls, popular analytics account BTCfuel flagged the equity market-related economic uncertainty index showing that — if history is a guide — stocks may have already delivered their pullback.For people concerned about the stock market in the short / mid term (and its potential relation with #Bitcoin)This indicator underneath shows that the possible big capitulation in the stock markets likely already happened in the Ukraine – Russia conflict (value > 500)(1/2) pic.twitter.com/TbLqdAkT6Z— BTCfuel (@BTCfuel) March 8, 2022

“During the 6 times this happened, peak uncertainty was during the big capitulation. More importantly, stocks went up in the months afterwards, after 3 months on average 18% up,” they added.The last and only significant such occasion in Bitcoin’s lifespan was the March 2020 COVID-19 crash and its fallout.

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Bitcoin stuck under $40K, but BTC price hits another all-time high vs. Russian ruble

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered from one-week lows on March 8 after a lack of progress in Russia-Ukraine talks sent markets tumbling.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewCommodities “trading like meme stocks”Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD bouncing at $37,170 on Bitstamp after Monday’s Wall Street open.Overnight progress maintained support, with the pair trading at around $38,500 at the time of writing.Crypto and stocks had reacted badly to the third round of negotiations to end hostilities between Russia and Ukraine ending in a lack of consensus.“There are small positive subductions in improving the logistics of humanitarian corridors… Intensive consultations have continued on the basic political block of the regulations, along with a ceasefire and security guarantees,” negotiator Mykhailo Podolyak nonetheless tweeted as part of feedback following conclusion of the talks.The news was not enough to provide any form of hope, however — U.S. stocks trended down throughout the session, the S&P 500 ending Monday with 2.95% losses.Commodities, meanwhile, saw spikes which were often unprecedented, such as nickel jumping past $100,000 per ton on the London Metal Exchange.Commodities are trading like meme stocks. Wheat +17%, +75% YTD. pic.twitter.com/04T2h5aRmR— Dylan LeClair (@DylanLeClair_) March 8, 2022At the same time, pain continued for Russia, with only ruble-exposed investors hedging in BTC seeing some form of relief. On Monday evening, BTC/RUB hit new all-time highs of just over 5 million on Binance.BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Binance). Source: TradingViewAmid the mayhem, and despite Bitcoin’s lackluster price reaction as a safe haven paradoxically correlated with stocks, there were nonetheless votes of confidence from diehard supporters.“The world is watching trust get repriced in real time,” Marty Bent, founder of Bitcoin media company TFTC summarized. “When the dust settles bitcoin will be the biggest benefactor bc the masses will realize a distributed system that cannot be controlled by a single person, government, corporation or coalition is the only thing they can trust.”Regulatory concerns from the U.S. meanwhile also contributed to the market’s cold feet.$40,000 becomes short-term targetFor low timeframe trades, Bitcoin nonetheless looked fairly unappealing for many, with upside potential decidedly limited.Related: 3 reasons why Bitcoin can rally back to $60K despite erasing last week’s gainsFor popular traders Anbessa and Crypto Ed, $40,000 remained an obvious target for a bullish divergence.#BTC LTF Intraday Update ✅bullish divergence playing out up 3% pic.twitter.com/Gabh2xSF5P— AN₿ESSA (@Anbessa100) March 7, 2022

“Target can be defined better when that correction is finished, but for now sticking with ~40k,” Crypto Ed added.As Cointelegraph reported, upcoming events in the U.S., notably consumer price index (CPI) data due Thursday and a decision on interest rate hikes next week, were apt to disrupt sentiment in the short term.

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