Autor Cointelegraph By William Suberg

Bitcoin slides below $44K in April first as trader warns ‘something is off’ with BTC

Bitcoin (BTC) continued its downturn into Wednesday’s Wall Street open with its first test of $44,000 since the start of April.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewBTC’s price posts near two-week lowsData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD reaching 12-day lows of $43,801 on Bitstamp, down over 7% from the month’s high.The move defied positive triggers in the form of fresh buy-ins from MicroStrategy and Terra, but analysts were instead eyeing macro factors as the next potential BTC price booster.Jeroen Blokland, a portfolio manager at asset manager Robeco, said that the United States 10-year treasury yield, on an uptrend throughout the year, should reverse direction and provide some respite for risk assets.“We are not there yet,” he nonetheless cautioned on the day.US 10y yields jump to 2.56% thx largely to Brainard’s hawkish remarks, which raised fears ahead of FOMC minutes on Wed. pic.twitter.com/SpvFPKeFIB— Holger Zschaepitz (@Schuldensuehner) April 6, 2022In a potential countermove, the U.S. Federal Reserve has revealed that May should bring the start of “aggressive” balance sheet reduction, this marking an end to “easy money” policy, which many had feared would pressure risk-asset demand.“It is of paramount importance to get inflation down,” future Fed vice chair Lael Brainard said in comments at a conference this week, quoted by the Financial Times, among others.“Accordingly, the committee will continue tightening monetary policy methodically through a series of interest rate increases and by starting to reduce the balance sheet at a rapid pace as soon as our May meeting.”Inflation continued to trouble sentiment beyond the U.S., with eurozone annual producer price inflation jumping by the most on record in February — over 31%. Coming before the Russia–Ukraine war, it is likely that future readouts will be even higher.Current spot price zone is crucial to holdIn a troubling environment, price watchers were prepared to cut spot some slack, calling for $44,000 to hold as a bullish foundation.Related: Bitcoin retests key level that sparked 66% BTC price gains in 2021#BTC Daily+ EMAs stacked in the same order+ Price testing the 200 at the 0.618 retracementAll while trying to exit a 2-month long accumulation zone.Hold this 44-45K area and we’re probably continuing up the mid-50s. pic.twitter.com/buzl4vvFms— TechDev (@TechDev_52) April 6, 2022

Private fund manager and CryptoQuant contributor known for his popular Twitter account Gaah argued that $44,400 was the level to defend in order to avoid a dive that could potentially take the market to $37,000.“Something is off and the coming days will show what is happening,” trader Crypto Ed added, striking a more concerned tone.A failure to hold $45,000, something that subsequently played out, would thus open up the road to the low $43,000s, he said in his latest YouTube update.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Terra LFG outdoes MicroStrategy with 5K BTC buy after Bitcoin price dips under $45K

Terra, the Blockchain outfit using Bitcoin (BTC) to back its new US dollar stablecoin, has bought over 5,000 BTC.Wallet data confirms that on April 6, Terra added another 5,040 BTC to its balance, which now totals 35,768 BTC.Terra buys the dip… againThe move comes after a multi-day lull in buying activity by the Blockchain protocol.This week, co-founder Do Kwon nonetheless told Twitter followers that the scheme was “just getting started,” while a mainstream media interview set out plans for “perpetual” BTC buys.Terra, Kwon explained, wants to build a “decentralized Forex reserve” with Bitcoin as its collateral. The stablecoin, TerraUSD (UST), will have both BTC and Terra’s native LUNA token as its backing.Initially planned to include $3 billion in Bitcoin reserves, that number will expand to $10 billion, Kwon said last month, with additional BTC purchases thereafter depending on how much UST is minted.Today I:- Watered my plants- Wrote some emails- Bought 230M in $BTC- vacuumed the house- had some mcdonalds Now off to walk the dog — Do Kwon (@stablekwon) April 6, 2022The nonprofit organization attached to Terra, the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG), is the entity attached to the BTC wallet involved in collateralizing UST. The latest addition means that it remains the 29th largest BTC wallet.LFG Bitcoin wallet (screenshot). Source: BitInfoChartsWhile Kwon told the media that such large buy-ins were “not a corporate treasury decision,” the LFG wallet balance is already on the way to competing with the largest such treasury, that of MicroStrategy. The latter also added to its BTC reserves this week, buying around 4,000 coins for a total of 129,218 BTC.For comparison, should Terra complete the remainder of its $10 billion allocation at the current BTC/USD spot price of $45,270, it would be able to purchase approximately another 184,800 BTC.Kwon, in turn, is already tipped to become the world’s biggest Bitcoin whale.Spot price shrugs off a tired narrativeBitcoin price action, meanwhile, has failed to continue reacting to largescale commitments either from Terra or MicroStrategy.Related: Bitcoin retail FOMO spiked most since 2017, but BTC price may still be ‘doomed’ — analystAfter failing to crack the 200-day moving average near $48,000, BTC/USD dipped overnight to also threaten a loss of the newly-breached yearly opening price of $46,200, data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.Such a loss could mean the return of the trading range in which it lingered throughout 2022 until last week’s breakout.Nonetheless, reactions to Kwon remained positive.”Luna StableKwon just added about 4000 BTC to stack. This will eventually have the effect of a halving,” popular Twitter account @CivEkonom argued.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewThe views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin retests key level that sparked 66% BTC price gains in 2021

Bitcoin (BTC) fell into the Wall Street open on April 5 after briefly passing $47,000.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewTrader shows importance of 200DMA for BitcoinData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD encountering downward pressure as financial markets opened Tuesday.The pair was thus more or less at the same level as 24 hours previously, with the intervening period seeing volatility both up and down.Amid an overall lack of direction, traders and analysts were waited to see where the largest cryptocurrency would go next.Popular Twitter account CivEkonom was optimistic, highlighting a CME futures gap at $54,000 as a potential target.”Talk about compressed and coiling up. Should break up, but you never know,” he said as part of comments on the day.Fellow account Crypto Rover noted the significance of the 200-day moving average that Bitcoin was attempting to break through. Historically, success in doing so had led to significant price gains, he highlighted.#Bitcoin Retesting the 200d MA as support for the first time in 190 days.#BTC moved up 66% in the following 43 days the last time this happened! pic.twitter.com/UEifS92BfR— Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) April 5, 2022News that MicroStrategy had purchased over 4,000 BTC meanwhile was unable to deliver lasting market strength, despite praise from commentators.The firm’s Bitcoin treasury thus stood at 129,218 BTC, still by far the largest in the world. As Cointelegraph reported, however, plans by Blockchain protocol Terra meant that its own stash should ultimately surpass that of MicroStrategy and every other Bitcoin whale.Analyst eyes impressive Q1 closeFor trader and analyst Rekt Capital, meanwhile, there was much to celebrate in Bitcoin on higher timeframes.Related: Bitcoin retail FOMO spiked most since 2017, but BTC price may still be ‘doomed’ — analystIn a series of tweets Tuesday, he declared Bitcoin’s Q1 candle a successful achievement despite its price at the start of Q2 being practically the same.#BTC – Quarterly Bitcoin has Quarterly Closed below the Mid-Range resistance for three consecutive QuartersBut this past Quarter, $BTC managed to form an even Higher Low compared to the orange multi-Quarter Higher LowVery strong buy-side reaction from blue#Crypto #Bitcoin pic.twitter.com/H7i9bDDjOU— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) April 5, 2022

“What’s interesting about BTC right now is that it is in the process of retesting the Quarterly Mid-Range area as support on the Weekly timeframe,” another post read.Rekt Capital further signalled incoming volatility on the weekly chart thanks to a tightening of the Bollinger Bands volatility indicator.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Biggest future BTC whale explains why Bitcoin was chosen for 'decentralized Forex reserve'

Bitcoin (BTC) is the collateral asset of choice for the world’s biggest decentralized stablecoin, and one of its top executives says there was no other.Speaking to Bloomberg on April 4, Do Kwon, co-founder of Blockchain protocol Terra, pledged to continue buying BTC to back the firm’s stablecoin, TerraUSD (UST).Kwon: BTC buys will continue “in perpetuity”Terra has made waves inside and outside the crypto community in recent weeks thanks to its massive Bitcoin buys.Currently at just over 30,000 BTC, the reserves of Terra nonprofit the Luna Foundation Guard (LFG) are due to expand to the equivalent of $10 billion.In his latest comments, however, Kwon went even further, saying that as long as UST is minted, Terra will keep buying BTC to back it.”One important thing to remember about what we’re going here is that this is not a corporate treasury decision in the sense that I am not buying Bitcoin,” he told Bloomberg TV.”I’ve already donated money so that we can build up these reserves on behalf of the community and we plan to be doing this in perpetuity, so the $3 billion or so that we’re buying initially to bootstrap the reserves is going to be followed up by… persistent buys of Bitcoin through UST seniorage… every time UST is minted, there will be new bitcoin that is added to the reserves.”As a decentralized stablecoin, anyone can “mint” UST by burning $1 worth of another decentralized asset, Kwon explained. UST is the largest decentralized stablecoin with a market cap of around $16.5 billion. Tether (USDT), the largest stablecoin as a whole, has a market cap of $82 billion.”The easy way to understand this is that we’re using Bitcoin to create a decentralized Forex reserve for the Terra stablecoin,” he summarized.All hail the largest Bitcoin whale?Active on Twitter, Kwon has previously pledged to overshadow any form of competition, notably MakerDAO’s DAI stablecoin. Related: ‘Hold my beer’ — Terra already up $165M from buying Bitcoin as BTC stash nears Tesla’sThe Luna Foundation Guard is well in the green as Terra co-founder Do Kwon stresses he is not “capable of moving” Bitcoin markets.While cryptically telling followers that he was “just getting started” last week, Kwon has yet to give any further concrete details regarding the timeframes of the BTC buys.The wallet belonging to LFG last saw inflows on March 30. With 30,727 BTC, it is the 29th largest BTC address.Once complete, Terra’s reserves will outgun those of any corporate treasury, and will make Kwon and his team the largest Bitcoin whale.LFG Bitcoin wallet (screenshot). Source: BitInfoCharts

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Bitcoin retail FOMO spikes most since 2017 but BTC price may still be 'doomed' — analyst

Bitcoin (BTC) is seeing what looks like panic buying by retail investors, fresh data shows — but all might not be as it seems.In a tweet on April 4, William Clemente, lead insights analyst at Blockware, revealed a large spike in the BTC supply owned by smaller hodlers.2022 retail FOMO spike “an outlier”Typically referred to as “retail,” entities with 1 BTC or less are considered to be mainstream consumers rather than corporate or institutional investors.According to figures from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode, these smaller players have dramatically increased their share of the overall BTC supply in 2022.Traditionally, Clemente cautioned, such events have coincided with macro price tops, but given recent BTC/USD behavior, this time appears unlike the others.“This is a really interesting chart. Retail (0-1 BTC) is currently buying at the second-highest rate in Bitcoin’s history,” he commented.“Looking at retail’s holdings most spikes have coincided with macro tops, but on several occasions, they have bought strategically. This spike is an outlier.”Bitcoin retail supply ownership annotated chart. Source: William Clemente/ TwitterEvery segment of the retail brigade from 1 BTC down to the smallest 0.001 BTC bracket has been increasing its market share over time, but a dramatic surge has been in effect since mid-February, Glassnode shows.Now, entities owning between 0.1 BTC and 1 BTC control a total of nearly 800,500 BTC.“Either we are doomed or retail has chosen to use Bitcoin as a savings account and opt out of the fiat system. The optimist in me hopes it is the latter,” Clemente added.0.1-1 BTC entity supply ownership vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: GlassnodeAs Bitcoin has risen toward $50,000 and out of its 2022 trading range, the amount of the profitable supply held by short-term holders — those in the market for 155 days or under — has increased.Short-term holders going from loss to profit on their investment has likewise also accompanied price tops in years past, Glassnode data shows.Bitcoin supply profit/ loss chart. Source: Glassnode…While no one’s Googling BitcoinWhile attention has focused on investor habits at what is an important on-chain volume level near $50,000, however, mainstream attention on Bitcoin is still conspicuously lacking.Related: BTC starts 2022 all over again — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this weekGoogle Trends data covering worldwide search interest in “Bitcoin” shows less interaction than at any time since before last November’s all-time price highs.Not only that, but the trend is still down, Google hints, with Bitcoin in line for its lowest relative search volume in years should it continue.Worldwide Google search data for “Bitcoin” (screenshot). Source: Google TrendsThe views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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