Autor Cointelegraph By William Suberg

Bitcoin heads for 2-week highs as Terra promises BTC price will soon 'get spicy'

Bitcoin (BTC) regained fresh ground on April 21 after bears failed to gain control of short-term price action overnight. BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewTrader: Holding $42,300 could open up path to $50,000Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD reaching new local highs of $42,455 on Bitstamp Thursday.With the Wall Street open still to come, upward momentum meant that the pair was now at its highest since April 10. Wednesday’s opening bell had nonetheless been accompanied by bearish price pressure, and traders thus remained cautious about what could come next.”If the market wants to see continuation, it has to crack that region around $42.3K for Bitcoin,” Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe told Twitter followers. “This is also a daily breaker. If it breaks, I’m assuming a new test of $46K is around the corner and possibly $50k+.”Much stood in the way of a trip to $50,000 and reclaiming it as support. As Cointelegraph reported, in addition to various long-term moving averages, the yearly open, along with whale selling habits, have all kept bulls from exiting the 2022 trading range.”So far, so good for Bitcoin,” Van de Poppe reasoned in his latest update, noting that the U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) was continuing to retrace in what is traditionally a boon for crypto markets.”I don’t think the upside is done, as the $DXY is showing weakness.”Also emboldened at the prospect of stronger BTC price performance coming up was Blockchain protocol Terra, now famous as one of the largest Bitcoin whales after purchasing nearly 45,000 BTC in 2022.In a tweet on the day, the firm’s official account claimed that Bitcoin was in line to “get spicy,” hinting that it did not expect continuation of sideways price action.Things are gonna get spicy real soon. Beras beware. $UST $BTC— Terra (UST) Powered by LUNA (@terra_money) April 21, 2022Whales not in the mood for “up only” betsLooking at whales’ movements more broadly, however, there remained a lack of a convincing trend.Related: Analysts say Bitcoin has ‘already capitulated,’ target $41.3K as the most hold levelAs trader and analyst Rekt Capital noted on the day, buying and selling among Bitcoin’s largest hodlers remains caught in a narrow range.”Number of unique addresses holding min. 10K BTC has been increasing since Feb ’21,” he commented alongside data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode. “That said, 1st signs of a Lower High forming as some whales offloaded positions at ~$43K. Whales generally accumulating but some sold lately. Could the Higher Low get revisited?”10,000 BTC wallet numbers vs. BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Rekt Capital/ TwitterAddresses with at least 10,000 BTC peaked in 2018, with the bear market bottom of December that year causing a heavy reallocation.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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GBTC premium nears 2022 high as SEC faces call to approve Bitcoin ETF 'people really want'

Things are looking up for the United States’ largest institutional Bitcoin (BTC) product by asset holdings as pressure mounts on regulators.Data from on-chain monitoring resource Coinglass confirms that as of April 21, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) is rebounding toward 2022 highs.Grayscale CEO: “‘If’ not ‘when'” for U.S. Bitcoin spot ETFAfter a problematic year so far, GBTC has benefitted from steadying Bitcoin price action. Bitcoin’s descent from November’s all-time highs added to an already negative “premium” on GBTC, meaning that its share price in fact traded at a discount to the Bitcoin spot price. That discount hit its deepest ever in January, when the GBTC premium nearly hit -30%. Since then, a reversal has been underway, and as of Thursday, the premium is -21.4% — near its smallest for 2022.GBTC premium vs. asset holdings vs. BTC/USD chart. Source: CoinglassThe premium results from trading sentiment, and Grayscale has come under pressure over the past year, especially since the approval of the first Bitcoin futures-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in the U.S.Grayscale CEO Michael Sonnenshein and other industry figures have been vocal critics of regulators in Washington, who while approving futures ETF products continue to reject a Bitcoin spot-based equivalent.The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which approves candidates based on laws dating from as far back as 1933, has come in for particular public scorn as other countries — most recently Australia — beat the U.S. to the launch.Earlier this month, the SEC approved another futures-based ETF, this time based on the Securities Act of 1933 act rather than the Investment Company Act of 1940 previously used. This was a milestone, Sonnenshein told CNBC this month, as it effectively backs the SEC into a corner with fewer and fewer excuses for not breaking down the barriers to entry for a spot ETF alternative.“It really is, in our opinion, a matter of ‘when’ and not ‘if,’” he explained to the network. “If the SEC can’t look at two like issues, the futures ETF and the spot ETF, through the same lens, then it is, in fact, potentially grounds for an Administrative Procedure Act violation.”Matt Hougan, CEO of ETF provider Bitwise, said in the same interview that a spot ETF “is what people actually want” in terms of institutional investment products linked to Bitcoin.As Cointelegraph reported, futures ETFs have previously faced criticism of their own as commentators argue that they solve none of the pain points that a spot product would while potentially bringing new ones of their own.Nasdaq highlights “surging” institutional demandMeanwhile, a survey by Nasdaq of prospective U.S. investors revealed at over 70% of those asked would consider gaining exposure to Bitcoin via a spot ETF should one be made available.Related: Bitcoin spot vs. futures ETFs: Key differences explained“The vast majority of advisors we surveyed either plan to begin allocating to crypto or increase their existing allocation to crypto,” Nasdaq’s head of digital asset index research, Jake Rapaport, commented in an accompanying press release issued April 11. “As demand continues to surge, advisors will be looking for an institutional solution to the crypto question that now dominates client conversations.”The survey also found that 86% of advisors already invested in crypto planned to increase that exposure in the coming year.GBTC had 640,930 BTC in holdings as of Thursday, worth $26.9 billion.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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BTC price hits 10-day high as trader says $42K is where Bitcoin 'gets interesting'

Bitcoin (BTC) bulls kept up the pressure on April 20 as the Wall Street open saw a return to $42,000.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView$42,000 proves troublesomeData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD reaching $42,220 on Bitstamp, its highest since April 11.After adding as much as 9.3% versus local lows from Monday, the pair was now in line for “interesting” behavior, according to Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe.”Things get interesting at $42K,” he told Twitter followersLike others on the day, Van de Poppe highlighted declining U.S. dollar strength as a boon for BTC price performance.Bearish divergence on the Dollar $DXY, which is a great sign for further upwards momentum for #Bitcoin. pic.twitter.com/4BGSatk6f4— Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) April 20, 2022Volatility was nonetheless heavily in evidence on the return to the significant $42,000 level, as others voiced a lack of faith in Bitcoin’s gains continuing.For popular trader Josh Rager, however, Monday’s dip to $38,600 and subsequent recovery was a pattern to keep an eye on.”The last couple of fake-outs led to over 30%+ uptrends,” he noted Tuesday. “Yesterday caught a lot of people off guard, though it wasn’t as deep of a pullback as prior. Could still see Bitcoin push up here over the next week – take it day by day.”An accompanying chart highlighted price performance after wicks down to support through 2022. This time, the target lay at around $48,000 — the site of Bitcoin’s 200-day moving average.BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Josh Rager/ TwitterU.S. stocks fail to impress post-earningsOn macro, fluctuations in stocks came in for criticism from Rager, who argued that performance was being hampered by sentiment changes.Related: US dollar strength mimics 2020 coronavirus crash — 5 things to know in Bitcoin this weekUnusual moves in Netflix stock had become a talking point on the day after missed earnings sparked a mass sell-off.According to sentiment gauge the Fear & Greed Index, however, the mood was better overall on Wednesday, the Index reaching its highest score of April so far — 50/100.The Crypto Fear & Greed Index, by contrast, languished in the “fear” zone at 27/100.Crypto Fear & Greed Index (screenshot). Source: Alternative.meThe views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin 'buy' signal excites as dollar, gold extend losses, BTC price heads past $41.5K

Bitcoin (BTC) closed above a crucial level into April 20 as the daily chart offered a long-awaited “buy” signal.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewTrader: Bitcoin is a buy at $41,500Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed a daily close at $41,500 on Bitstamp for Tuesday.A strong performance, the sustained gains meant that fresh upside should be incoming, according to one trader eyeing a buy/sell indicator on daily timeframes.Last Sell Signal was at 46K$BTC Dumped 38KNow Buy Signal at 41K. Note: $BTC Needs Daily Candle Close Above 41200 pic.twitter.com/AOh9XECBNI— Trader_J (@Trader_Jibon) April 19, 2022The macro atmosphere was also in Bitcoin’s favor on the day after the U.S. dollar encountered resistance to its own bull run.The U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) reversed after hitting 101 on Tuesday, its highest level since April 2020. “DXY correction as expected, fueling the BTC bounce,” popular trader Crypto Ed responded.U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingViewGold, too, faced teething problems, losing 2.6% from its $1,998 highs from earlier in the week.XAU/USD 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingViewBTC price action, however, stayed near the daily close, as fellow trader and analyst Rekt Capital predicted incoming turbulence on longer timeframes.“Bollinger Bands are tightening on price,” he told Twitter followers, referring to the Bollinger Bands volatility indicator on the weekly chart. “This signals increasing price compression which usually precedes sharp volatility.”BTC/USD 1-week candle chart (Bitstamp) with Bollinger Bands. Source: TradingViewNo shortage of on-chain “buy the dip” signalsOn-chain metrics were just as positive on the day, with several covered by Cointelegraph continuing to suggest a bottoming structure had already completed.Related: Bitcoin hodlers targeting $100K is what’s preventing 40% price drawdown, data suggestsAmong them was Bitcoin’s Reserve Risk chart, now firmly in its launch zone in what has historically preempted the start of bullish phases.When it first returned to the target zone, analyst Philip Swift described it as being in “btfd territory.”More formally, those buying BTC at current Reserve Risk levels have had a better chance of securing “outsized” returns in the long term.Bitcoin Reserve Risk chart. Source: GlassnodeThe views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Bitcoin climbs above $41K on Wall Street open as gold dives, dollar cements highs

Bitcoin (BTC) reclaimed $41,000 on April 14 as the first day of Western stock market trading after Easter painted a more bullish picture.BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingViewAnalysis calls for caution on BTCData from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD spiking above $41,000 during April 19, reaching five-day highs on Bitstamp.In a refreshing change to the gloomy atmosphere over the holiday period, the largest cryptocurrency began to copy what gold had achieved days prior, the latter since declining from $1,998 to $1,960 per ounce at the time of writing.XAU/USD 1-hour candle chart. Source: TradingViewEqually energized, however, was the U.S. dollar, which continued cementing its strength in an ongoing potential headwind for BTC.The U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) remained above the crucial 100 mark on the day, with analysts previously predicting that its next move would be a make-or-break moment for crypto.U.S. dollar currency index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Source: TradingViewAs crypto sentiment exited “extreme fear,” monitoring resource Material Indicators nonetheless called for a level-headed appraisal of BTC price action.Several moving averages, it said on April 19, needed to be reclaimed before the outlook could fundamentally change.Before you get too excited about yesterday’s #Bitcoin PA, remind yourself that bulls need to reclaim these key moving averages to validate a trend reversal. To avoid potential bull trap, watch for volume and wait for confirmations. https://t.co/26BLOFwenL pic.twitter.com/r219S4YYCv— Material Indicators (@MI_Algos) April 19, 2022On April 18, however, the account acknowledged the “bullish” nature of the current chart setup.Pundit pins hopes on RSI bull triggerIn a now rare bull flag from the stock market, meanwhile, the S&P 500 posted a bottom signal on April 19, which has historically spurred BTC price gains.Related: Bitcoin hodlers targeting $100K is what’s preventing 40% price drawdown, data suggestsThe move involves the stochastic relative strength index (RSI) on the three-week chart. Aurélien Ohayon, CEO of software firm XOR Strategy, concluded that a repeat performance was now due.#BITCOIN ONE OF THE MOST ACCURATE BOTTOM DETECTORS I HAVE FOUND. When the 3W-Stochastic RSI K-line of the S&P500 touched the 0 line, a #BTC bottom has been reached and a huge bull run has followed.It just touched the the 0 line.#SPX $SPX $BTC #Crypto pic.twitter.com/DKRJv6FqIq— TAnalyst (@AurelienOhayon) April 18, 2022

Bitcoin’s own RSI chart looked similarly primed for positive performance. On daily timeframes, RSI stood at 44.7, having just climbed above the 14-day moving average in what has been a bullish event throughout 2022.BTC/USD 1-day candle chart (Bitstamp) with RSI. Source: TradingViewThe views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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