Autor Cointelegraph By Rakesh Upadhyay

The 10-year Treasury yield in the United States rose to its highest level since 2008. Although this type of rally is usually negative for risky assets, the U.S. stock markets recovered ground after the Wall Street Journal reported that some officials of the Federal Reserve were concerned about the pace of the rate hikes and the risks of over-tightening.While it is widely accepted that the U.S. will enter a recession, a debate rages on about how long it could last. On that, Tesla CEO Elon Musk recently said on Twitter that the recession could last “probably until spring of ‘24,” and added that it would be nice to spend “one year without a horrible global event.”Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has witnessed a massive drop from its all-time high but its hash rate remains strong. This has increased Bitcoin’s discount relative to its hash rate in October to its highest since the first quarter of 2020, according to Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodity strategist Mike McGlone. The previous instance of the huge discount was followed by a massive rally that lasted till 2021. McGlone believes the same could happen again this time and Bitcoin may outperform most major assets.Let’s study the charts of the S&P 500 index (SPX), the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and the major cryptocurrencies to spot any reversals.SPXThe S&P 500 index rose above the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) (3,702) on Oct. 18 but the bulls could not build upon this strength and challenge the downtrend line. This suggests that the bears have not given up and are active at higher levels.SPX daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe 20-day EMA is trying to flatten out and the relative strength index is above 46, suggesting a possible range-bound action in the near term. Buyers are likely to defend the zone between 3,568 and 3,491 while the bears will try to stall the recovery in the 3,762 to 3,800 zone.If the price turns up and breaks above 3,800, it will break the lower lows and lower highs pattern. The index could then rise to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA)(3,885).The bears will regain their hold if they manage to sink the price below 3,491. That could start the next leg of the down move to 3,325. DXYThe U.S. dollar index remains in a strong uptrend as the bulls are not allowing the price to break below the 20-day EMA (112). DXY daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe bulls will have to propel the price above the 113.92 to 114.77 zone to resume the uptrend. Buyers tried to do that on Oct. 21 but the long wick on the day’s candlestick shows that bears are aggressively defending the overhead zone.The sellers will attempt to gain the upper hand in the near term by pulling the price below the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the index could sink to 110. Buyers are likely to defend this level and a bounce off it could keep the index range-bound between 110 and 114.77 for some time.On the downside, a break and close below the uptrend line could point to a trend change. Alternatively, a rally above 114.77 could indicate the start of the next leg of the uptrend to 117.14.BTC/USDTBitcoin bounced off the nearest support at $18,843 on Oct. 20 but the bulls could not overcome the obstacle at the 20-day EMA ($19,318). This suggests that the bears want to further cement their hold.BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewIf the price slips and sustains below $18,843, the BTC/USDT pair could drop to $18,125. The bulls are expected to defend the zone between $18,125 and $17,622 vigorously because if they fail to do that, the pair could resume its downtrend. The next stop on the downside could be $15,750.The long tail on the Oct. 21 candlestick shows that buyers purchased the dip below $18,843. They will try to propel the price above the moving averages. A break above the 50-day SMA ($19,616) could clear the path for a possible rally to $20,500. This is an important level to keep an eye on because a break above it could signal the start of a strong recovery to $22,800 and then $25,211.ETH/USDTEther (ETH) is struggling to rise above the 20-day EMA ($1,313) but a minor positive is that the bulls have not allowed the price to sustain below the immediate support at $1,263.ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewIf the price turns up from the current level and breaks above the 20-day EMA, the ETH/USDT pair could rally to the downtrend line of the descending channel. Buyers will have to thrust the price above this resistance to indicate the start of a new up-move.On the contrary, if the price continues lower and breaks below the $1,220 to $1,190 support zone, the selling could intensify and the pair could drop to the psychological level at $1,000 and then to the support line of the channel.BNB/USDTBNB (BNB) has been trading below both the moving averages and the bears are trying to sink the price to the support of the range at $258. BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe gradually downsloping 20-day EMA ($274) and the relative strength index (RSI) in the negative territory indicate advantage to bears. The $258 level is likely to witness a tough battle between the bulls and the bears. If sellers come out on top, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to $216.Instead, if the price turns up from the current level or the $258 support, the bulls will try to push the pair above the moving averages. If that happens, the pair could attempt a rally to $300. This level is likely to act as a strong barrier but if bulls overcome it, the pair could rally to $338.XRP/USDTXRP (XRP) plunged below the developing symmetrical triangle pattern on Oct. 20 but the long tail on the candlestick shows that the bulls are buying the dips to the 50-day SMA ($0.43). Buyers again defended the 50-day SMA on Oct. 21.XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe 20-day EMA ($0.46) has started to turn down and the RSI has slipped into negative territory, indicating that the bears have a slight edge. If the price turns down from the current level or the 20-day EMA, the bears will try to pull the XRP/USDT pair to the breakout level of $0.41. This level is likely to attract strong buying.On the upside, a break and close above the 20-day EMA will be the first indication of strength. The pair could then rise to $0.51 and later to the resistance line. A break and close above the triangle could improve the prospects of the resumption of the uptrend.ADA/USDT Cardano (ADA) has been in a downtrend for the past several days. After a two-day relief rally, the selling resumed on Oct. 18 and the bears have pulled the price to the support line of the wedge.ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe sharp selling of the past few days has sent the RSI tumbling deep into the oversold territory. This suggests that the selling may have been overdone in the near term and a relief rally or consolidation may be around the corner.If the price rebounds off the support line, the ADA/USDT pair will attempt to rise to $0.36 and then to the 20-day EMA ($0.38). A break above this level will be the first indication that the bears may be losing their grip.On the downside, if the price breaks below the support line, the selling could further pick up momentum and the pair could plummet to $0.30.Related: 3 historically accurate Bitcoin on-chain metrics are flashing ‘bottom’SOL/USDTSolana (SOL) dropped below the $29.42 support on Oct. 19, indicating increased selling pressure from the bears. The selling continued and the $27.87 support was taken out on Oct. 21. This clears the path for a retest of the crucial support at $26.SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe downsloping moving averages and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that bears are in control. If the SOL/USDT pair does not rebound sharply off $26, the possibility of a break below it increases. The pair could then decline to the next support at $22.Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns up from the current level or $26 and breaks above $30, it will signal accumulation at lower levels. The bullish momentum could pick up in the near term after the pair breaks above the 50-day SMA ($32.28).DOGE/USDTAttempts by the bulls to push Dogecoin (DOGE) above the moving averages have met with significant resistance from the bears. The sellers will now try to sink the price to the support near $0.06.DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.06) and the RSI below 45 suggest that bears have the upper hand. If sellers sink the price below the support, the DOGE/USDT pair could plunge to the June low near $0.05. The bulls will have to defend this level with all their might because if the support cracks, the pair could start the next leg of the downtrend.If bulls want to prevent a collapse, they will have to quickly push the price above the moving averages. The pair could then rise to $0.07 where the bears may again mount a strong resistance. MATIC/USDTPolygon (MATIC) turned down from $0.88 on Oct. 19 and broke below the moving averages on Oct. 21. The failure of the bulls to defend the moving averages on the retest is a negative sign.MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewIf the price sustains below the moving averages, the likelihood of a drop to the $0.71 to $0.69 support zone increases. If the price rebounds off this zone, it will suggest that the MATIC/USDT pair may consolidate in a tighter range between $0.69 and $0.88 for a few days. The flattish moving averages and the RSI just below the midpoint also suggests a consolidation in the near term.On the other hand, if the price quickly reverses direction and breaks above $0.88, it will suggest a change in sentiment from selling on rallies to buying on dips. The pair could then climb to $0.94 and later to $1.05. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

The United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 8.2% annually in September, beating economists’ expectations of an 8.1% rise. The CPI print lived up to its hype and caused a sharp, but short-term increase in volatile risk assets. The S&P 500 oscillated inside its widest trading range since 2020 and Bitcoin (BTC) also witnessed a large intraday range of more than $1,323 on Oct. 13. However, Bitcoin still could not shake out of the $18,125 to $20,500 range in which it has been for the past several days.Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360Both the U.S. equities markets and Bitcoin tried to extend their recovery on Oct. 14 but the higher levels attracted selling, indicating that the bears have not yet given up.Could the increased volatility culminate with a breakout to the upside or will it start the next leg of the downtrend? Let’s study the charts of the S&P 500 index, the U.S. dollar index (DXY) and the major cryptocurrencies to find out.SPXThe S&P 500 index (SPX) gapped down on Oct. 13 and dropped to $3,491 but lower levels attracted huge buying by the bulls. That may have caught several aggressive bears on the wrong paw and they might have scrambled to cover their short positions. That propelled the index back above the breakdown level of $3,636. SPX daily chart. Source: TradingViewBuyers tried to extend the recovery on Oct. 14, but the bears had other plans. The sellers vigorously defended the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($3,715), indicating that the sentiment remains negative and relief rallies are being sold into. The bears will try to sink the index to $3,491, which is an important level to keep an eye on. If this support cracks, the index could dive to $3,325.Alternatively, if the index rebounds off the support zone between $3,636 and $3,491, it will suggest that bulls may be accumulating on dips. Buyers will then attempt to overcome the barrier at the 20-day EMA and challenge the downtrend line. If this resistance collapses, it will signal that the corrective phase may be over.DXYThe U.S. dollar index turned down from 113.92 on Oct. 13 but the bulls arrested the decline at the 20-day EMA (112). This suggests that the sentiment remains positive and traders are viewing the dips as a buying opportunity.DXY daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe bulls will try to pierce the overhead resistance zone between $113.92 and $114.77. An acceptance above this zone will signal the resumption of the uptrend. The index could then rally to $117.14.Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the overhead resistance, the bears will try to pull the index below the 20-day EMA. A break below this support will be the first indication that the bullish momentum is weakening. The index could then decline to the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) (109). A trend change will be signaled if bears sink the price below the uptrend line.BTC/USDTBitcoin sliced through the support at $18,843 on Oct. 13 and dipped close to $18,125. This level attracted buying which started a sharp recovery as seen from the long tail on the day’s candlestick.BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewBuyers pushed the price above the moving averages on Oct. 14 but the up-move is facing stiff resistance at the downtrend line. The 20-day EMA ($19,466) is flattening out and the relative strength index (RSI) is near the midpoint, indicating equilibrium between buyers and sellers.This balance will tilt in favor of the bulls if they push and sustain the price above the overhead resistance at $20,500. The BTC/USDT pair could then rally to $22,800. The bears are expected to mount a stiff resistance at this level.If the price sustains below the 20-day EMA, the bears will again try to pull the pair below $18,843 and challenge the support at $18,125.ETH/USDTEther (ETH) broke below the support at $1,220 on Oct. 13 but the bears could not keep the price down. The bulls vigorously purchased the dip, forming a hammer candlestick pattern.ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewBuyers have sustained the positive momentum on Oct. 14 and are trying to push the price above the overhead zone between the 20-day EMA ($1,331) and the resistance line of the triangle. If they can pull it off, the ETH/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the downtrend line of the descending channel pattern. The bulls will have to clear this obstacle to signal a potential trend change.The bears are likely to have other plans. They will attempt to halt the recovery in the overhead zone and then try to pull the pair below $1,190. BNB/USDTBNB has been range-bound between $300 and $258 for the past several days. In a range, traders usually buy near the support and sell close to the resistance.BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThat is what happened on Oct. 13 as the bulls purchased the dip to $258. Buyers tried to push the price above the moving averages on Oct. 14 but the long wick on the candlestick shows that bears are selling near resistance levels. The bears will again try to pull the price below $258 and extend the decline to $216.On the contrary, if the price turns up and breaks above the moving averages, the BNB/USDT pair could attempt a rally to the overhead resistance at $300. A break above this level could set the stage for a rally to $338.XRP/USDTXRP (XRP) broke below the 20-day EMA ($0.47) on Oct. 13 but the bears could not sustain the lower levels. The bulls purchased the dip and pushed the price back above the 20-day EMA.XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewBoth moving averages are sloping up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating advantage to buyers. The bulls will attempt to push the price above the overhead resistance at $0.56. If that happens, the XRP/USDT pair could resume its uptrend and rally toward the next overhead resistance at $0.66.The first sign of weakness will be a break and close below the 20-day EMA. That would indicate that traders may be booking profits at higher levels. The pair could then slide to the breakout level of $0.41.ADA/USDT Cardano (ADA) found buying support at $0.35 on Oct. 13 but the bulls are struggling to push the price above the breakdown level of $0.40 on Oct. 14.ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe 20-day EMA ($0.41) continues to slope down and the RSI is in the oversold territory, indicating that bears are in control. If the price continues lower and breaks below $0.35, it will suggest that bears have flipped $0.40 into resistance. That could increase the likelihood of a drop to $0.33.This bearish view could be negated in the near term if buyers push the price above the moving averages. That will indicate strong accumulation at lower levels. The ADA/USDT pair could then climb to the downtrend line.Related: Bitcoin bear market will last ‘2-3 months max’ —Interview with BTC analyst Philip SwiftSOL/USDTSolana (SOL) plunged below the $30 support on Oct. 13 but the bears could not build upon this strength and sink the price to the vital support at $26. The bulls arrested the drop at $27.87 and pushed the price back above $30. SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewBuyers tried to extend the positive momentum on Oct. 14 but ran into heavy selling near the downtrend line as seen from the long wick on the candlestick. The bears will now again try to pull the price below $30 and extend the decline to $26.If bulls want to invalidate this bearish view, they will have to quickly push the SOL/USDT pair above the downtrend line. That could clear the path for a possible rally to $35.50 and thereafter to $39 where the bears may again offer a strong resistance.DOGE/USDTDogecoin (DOGE) rebounded off the strong support near $0.06 on Oct. 13, indicating that the bulls are defending the level aggressively. Buyers are trying to propel the price above the moving averages on Oct. 14.DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewIf they manage to do that, the DOGE/USDT pair could rise to $0.07. This level is again likely to act as a strong resistance but if bulls push the price above it, the pair could attempt a rally to the overhead level of $0.09.Contrarily, if the price turns down from the moving averages, the bears will again attempt to sink the price below the support near $0.06. This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the pair could retest the June low near $0.05.MATIC/USDTThe long tail on Polygon’s (MATIC) Oct. 13 candlestick shows that bulls are aggressively buying near the $0.71 to $0.69 support zone. Buyers continued their momentum on Oct. 14 and tried to push the price above the downtrend line but the bears held their ground.MATIC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingViewThe flattish moving averages and the RSI near the midpoint suggest a balance between supply and demand. This equilibrium could tilt in favor of the buyers if the price rises above the downtrend line. The MATIC/USDT pair could then rise to $0.86 and if this level is crossed, the next stop could be $0.94. On the other hand, if the price reverses direction from the downtrend line, it will show that bears continue to sell on rallies. The pair could then remain stuck between the downtrend line and the support at $0.69.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.