Autor Cointelegraph By Marco Castrovilli

Analysts assess the aftermath of the Terra (LUNA) collapse | Cointelegraph interview

Financial commentator Frances Coppola is convinced that algorithmic stablecoins such as TerraUSD (UST) will always be vulnerable to sudden collapses, no matter how much the technology improves. “They can improve their game theory, they can improve their risk assessment, but I think there will still always be some states of the world that they won’t have thought of,” pointed out Coppola in a discussion with Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg.Terra’s UST stablecoin, which relied on an algorithm to maintain a peg to the U.S. dollar, collapsed last week, sparking turmoil in the crypto markets.According to McGlone, Terra’s collapse is part of a natural “purge” of the crypto space that happens in every bear market. According to the analyst, the concerns around leading stablecoin Tether (USDT), which briefly lost its peg to the dollar as a result of Terra’s collapse, shouldn’t be overestimated. As McGlone pointed out, Tether already depegged briefly in April 2019 when the New York state attorney general filed a lawsuit against its sister company, Bitfinex. “The market said, ‘We don’t care. This is a better way to transact dollars,‘” said McGlone. Coppola, on the other hand, pointed out that while investors were redeeming Tether en mass amid Terra’s collapse, other stablecoins such as USD Coin (USDC) and Binance USD (BUSD) performed as safe-haven assets, thus proving to be more trusted. Still, Coppola thinks Tether is unlikely to suffer a collapse similar to the one experienced by Terra, as it is backed by real assets held in its reserves. She pointed out that in the event of a crisis, Tether would be able to avoid a mass bank run by suspending redemptions according to its policy. According to Coppola, the primary source of systemic risk for the crypto market is not stablecoins but crypto exchanges. “In the event of a Coinbase failure, a lot of people are potentially going to lose a lot of money,” she said. “It would cause kind of a Lehman moment, if you like, in the crypto space.”Check out the full discussion on our YouTube channel, and don’t forget subscribe!

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How long will the crypto bear market last? Raoul Pal's macro analysis

Macro investor Raoul Pal is convinced that the current crypto bear market will end only once the Fed eases its hawkish monetary policy by halting interest rate hikes. That could happen in the next couple of months, according to Pal’s predictions. “The Fed are unlikely to raise rates as far and as fast as people expect. My guess is they probably stop raising rates sometime in the summer and that will be it,” he said in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph. Pal sees the combination of high interest rates and fear of an upcoming recession as the main macro factors that are causing the current crypto bear market. “Retail investors’ income has not gone up as much as prices, so they’ve lost discretionary income. So, people can only dollar cost average less, can get less involved,” he said. Pal thinks that the market’s bottom has not yet been reached and that a mass liquidation phase involving crypto and legacy assets could be coming soon. “[Crypto] could see liquidation spike at some point if we see one in equities and then eventually that will be the final capitulation of the market,” he said.At that point, according to Pal, the Fed will ease its monetary policy, allowing some liquidity to flow into financial markets, thus sparking the next crypto rally. “We’ll see bonds rally, crypto rally, maybe some of the technology stocks rally,” said Pal. Besides the macro picture, other factors that could facilitate the next bull run are the approval of a Bitcoin spot ETF and Ethereum’s switching to a proof-of-stake system, which is expected for Q3. Check out the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe! 

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“DeFi is not decentralized at all,” says former Blockstream executive

Samson Mow, former chief strategy officer at Blokstream and founder of JAN3, is convinced that most decentralized finance protocols can’t compete with Bitcoin when it comes to providing an effective monetary network because of their lack of decentralization. As Mow pointed out, DeFi projects are governed by entities that can modify the protocol at will. “At the fundamental level, money should be immutable,” explained Mow. “If you can change it at will, then you’re no better than a fiat currency governed by the Fed.” Bitcoin’s decentralization makes it very difficult to modify its protocol, which is why Mow considers it a unique candidate for becoming a truly global monetary system.Mow pointed out that despite the immutability of Bitcoin’s base layer, developers can still build applications on the Bitcoin blockchain by working with its layer-2 scalability solutions. In particular, Mow is a strong proponent of the Lightning Network, which allows instantaneous, cheap Bitcoin transactions. By promoting Lightning technologies, Mow is trying to accelerate the path toward hyperbitcoinization — a situation where people will be exchanging Bitcoin without the need to convert it into fiat currency. “Lightning will displace Visa, Mastercard and everything else,” he stated. “And it reduces costs for merchants, which means better experience and savings for consumers.”Check out the full interview on our YouTube channel, and don’t forget to subscribe!

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Tether is gaining momentum against competing stablecoins, says Tether CTO

Paolo Ardoino, the chief technology officer of Tether and Bitfinex, is confident that Tether will preserve its status as the most used stablecoin, despite the rapid growth of competitors such as USD Coin (USDC). “If you see the volumes of Tether compared to the rest of stablecoins, they are insanely higher. They are even 10 times higher on a bad day,” he pointed out. According to a report from Arcane Research, USDC, the second-largest stablecoin, has been growing at an impressive rate over the last year and could soon overtake Tether in terms of market cap. Ardoino is not worried about this possibility and pointed out that USDC’s growth has been slowing down in the last month. “In the last 30 days, Tether regained momentum,” he said. According to Ardoino, one of Tether’s main competitive advantages is its focus on people that have difficulties accessing financial services. “Tether is really perceived as an instrument of freedom, a solution, a tool that helps everyone. It’s not a tool built for the banks, it’s not a tool made for Wall Street.”While USDC has gained a reputation of being more transparent and better regulated than Tether, Ardoino considers this a false narrative. As pointed out by the chief technology officer, since January 2021, Tether has been publishing breakdowns of its reserves, including the rating of its commercial papers.   “I think that we, as Tether, in terms of transparency, we’re in a really good shape,” Ardoino argued. The rapid development of central bank digital currencies, or CBDCs, won’t make stablecoins such as Tether irrelevant, according to Ardoino. In his opnion, CBDCs will likely run on centralized blockchains that won’t allow the same flexibility as open, public blockchains. “One of the things that excite people about public blockchains is the programmability. You can build more complex behaviors.”, he said. Don’t miss the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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‘People should invest in all of the major layer-1s,’ says a veteran trader

Scott Melker, veteran trader and pocaster, is convinced that major layer-1 protocols should be part of everyone’s investment portfolio. Instead of picking individual crypto projects, such as NFTs or blockchain games, Melker thinks it makes more sense to bet on the blockchain infrastructure on which these projects are built. “Any of these small projects could absolutely go nuts. But you’re going to have trouble choosing what they are. You should just own the layer-1 and the infrastructure that they’re all built on”, he said in an exclusive interview with Cointelegraph. “You may not own a Bored Ape, but Ethereum holders have certainly benefited from the success of Bored Apes!”, he pointed out. Talking about his portfolio construction, Melker revealed that about 65% of his assets are currently in crypto. Besides Bitcoin, which makes up the bulk of his long-term holdings, Melker is extremely bullish on Ethereum. “Nothing is going to kill Ethereum. I believe Ethereum is here to stay. I believe it’s an extremely important asset and one that everybody should have exposure to”, he said. Melker believes that the upcoming Merge, which should complete Ethereum’s transition to proof-of-stake, will be a massive boost for the asset’s price. “This is a massively bullish event for Ethereum. (…) I think it will be a better chain, more usable after this happens”, he said. “We will eventually see Ethereum at $20K, $30, $40K”. Watch the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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