Autor Cointelegraph By Marco Castrovilli

What does the Fed’s fight against inflation mean for crypto? Macro analyst explains

The Federal Reserve’s efforts to battle inflation by rising interest rates and killing demand may have limited results as long as the supply side of the inflation problem won’t be fixed, according to macro analyst Lyn Alden. “Until they actually fix the supply side of certain things, like energy especially, but commodities broadly and logistics infrastructure, until that is improved, it’s hard to have a more persistent fix to the inflationary problem,” Alden told Cointelegraph in an exclusive interview. Jerome Powell’s speech at Jackson Hole sent a clear signal that the Federal Reserve is determined to continue its efforts to tame inflation, bringing it down to a target of 2%. That will be achieved at the cost of more pain inflicted on the economy, higher unemployment and the risk of a recession. “They’re going to tighten until they break something or until they cause recessionary enough conditions. And at that point, they might pivot,” Alden explained.Until the Fed won’t pivot its interest rates policy, the crypto markets are unlikely to recover, pointed out Alden. In the long run, the central banks will be unable to preserve positive interest rates, mainly because of the high level of public debt that is burdening the most developed economies. “A lot of the major developed countries have an inability to get to positive real rates and hold it there,” said Alden. That, according to Alden, will favor scarce assets such as Bitcoin in the long run. Check out the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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Will Ethereum 2.0 be vulnerable to censorship? Industry professional explains

The Ethereum network will be able to withstand censorship risks both in the short and long term, according to Ethereum community member and investor, Ryan Berckmans. The ban of Ethereum-based privacy tool ornado Cash by U.S. authorities earlier this month left many wondering whether Ethereum transactions could be also at risk of censorship, especially after Ethereum’s imminent transition to a proof-of-stake system. A widespread concern is that entities controlling a large chunk of staked Ether (ETH), such as Coinbase or Kraken, would start censoring transactions to comply with U.S. sanctions. That is an unlikely scenario according to Berckmans, who sees the high centralization of staked ETH as a temporary issue. With time, the costs of entry to the staking business will be dropping due to the “maturity of open source tools and industry expertise as well as the generally reduced risk profile,” said Berckmans. That will allow more and more players to enter the staking business, thus reducing the dominance of large staking pools. “The idea that these will be able to somehow sustainably censor user transactions or affect the fork choice in Ethereum, it’s just not a credible idea”, Berckmans pointed out. Moreover, according to Berckmans, the Tornado Cash ban in the United States was a policy mistake that is unlikely to result in more government sanctions.  He said that U.S. policymakers are likely to acknowledge the mistake and take a more favorable approach to Ethereum, which is “inherently aligned with America’s interests.” “Ethereum is about permissionless innovation, free enterprise, property rights, globalization,”, Berckmans explained. Check out the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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Is Bitcoin really a hedge against inflation?

While Bitcoin (BTC) has failed in countering this year’s rampant global inflation, it should still be considered as an inflation hedge, says Steven Lubka, the managing director of private consumers at Swan Bitcoin. According to Lubka, Bitcoin works well as a hedge against rising prices when inflation is caused by monetary expansion. It is less effective when inflation is caused by the disruption of the food supply and energy, which he sees as the leading cause of this year’s rampant inflation. [embedded content]”In a world where the price of goods is going up because there’s been a radical loss of abundance, Bitcoin isn’t going to protect investors from that,” Lubka said. He also points out that Bitcoin is a better hedge against inflation than stocks or real estate since it doesn’t need maintenance, nor is it affected by the risk involved in stock-picking. “Bitcoin has none of those risks that I just identified as stocks or housing have. It’s a pure store of value,” he explained. Check out the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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Bitcoin likely to transition to a risk-off asset in H2 2022, says Bloomberg analyst

Bitcoin is likely to transition from a risk-on to a risk-off asset in the second half of 2022, as the macroeconomic environment is rapidly shifting towards a recession, said Mike McGlone, senior commodity strategist at Bloomberg, in a recent interview with Cointelegraph. McGlone predicted:“ I see it transitioning to be more of a risk-off asset like bonds and gold, then less of a risk-on asset like the stock market.”According to the analyst, the crypto market has flushed out most of the speculative excesses that marked 2021 and it is now ripe for a fresh rally. McGlone also pointed out that the Fed’s aggressive hiking of interest rates will lead the global economy to a deflationary recession, which will ultimately favor Bitcoin:“I fully expect we’re going to have a pretty severe recession globally, which probably will make Bitcoin shine […] along with gold and U.S. Treasury long bonds.”Don’t forget to check out the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe! 

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Ethereum will outpace Visa with zkEVM Rollups, says Polygon co-founder

zkEVM Rollups, a new scaling solution for Ethereum, will allow the smart contract protocol to outpace Visa in terms of transaction throughput, said Polygon co-founder Mihailo Bjelic in a recent interview with Cointelegraph. Polygon recently claimed to be the first to implement a zkEVM scaling solution, which aims at reducing Ethereum’s transaction costs and improving its throughput. This layer-2 protocol can bundle together several transactions and then relay them to the Ethereum network as a single transaction.The solution, according to Bjelic, represents the Holy Grail of Web3 as it offers security, scalability and full compatibility with Ethereum, which means developers won’t have to learn a new programing language to work with it. “When you launch a scaling solution, you ideally want to preserve that developer experience. Otherwise, there will be a lot of friction,” explained Bjelic. According to Sandeep Nailwal, Polygon’s other co-founder, this solution will slice Ethereum fees by 90% and increase transaction throughput to 40–50 transactions per second. As Bjelic pointed out, if further upgraded, ZkEVM Rollups could one day handle thousands of transactions per second, thus outpacing mainstream payment systems like Visa. Watch the full interview on our YouTube channel and don’t forget to subscribe!

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