Autor Cointelegraph By Joseph Hall

Bitcoin leverage ratio reaches new highs

The estimated leverage ratio for Bitcoin (BTC) hit a new all-time high last night according to CryptoQuant. Further metrics point to growing leveraged interest, but liquidations have remained relatively low. According to on-chain analytics resource CryptoQuant, while the Bitcoin price fell off a cliff over the past 24 hours, the estimated leverage ratio reached 0.224, an all-time high. The metric works by dividing exchanges’ open interest by their coin reserve. The result shows how much leverage traders are using on average. A higher ratio, such as 0.22, indicates that more investors are taking high leverage risks. Conversely, lower values mean traders are increasingly risk-averse in their derivative trading. The blue line on the graph below, it’s trended upwards since June 2019. Estimated leverage ratio for Bitcoin. Source: CryptoQuantMost cryptocurrency exchanges offer leverage trading with FTX, Huobi and Binance leading the way. They have all agreed to reduce the amount of leverage available to traders in order to prevent mass liquidation events, such as the one seen in September last year when $3.5 billion longs and shorts were liquidated.Nonetheless, it hasn’t slowed exchanges plans to bring leverage trading to a wider audience. Sam Bankman-Fried, CEO of FTX exchange, tweeted that his “FTX 20x Leveraged Bitcoin Index” has been listed on the Vienna Stock Exchange. According to the Wienerborse, Austrian daredevils will soon be able to access up to 20x leveraged BTC trades. Related: Here’s why Bitcoin traders say a drop to $38K is the worst case scenarioMeanwhile, despite a circa 10% price drop over the past three days, a mere half a billion dollars worth of liquidations took place across all exchanges according to coinglass.com data (formerly ByBt), less than the $600 million worth of liquidations that took place in minutes in March last year. It’s eery to observe the leverage ratio hit all-time highs and liquidations remain steady, all while the price stoops lower. Could more volatility be in the cards? Analyst Will Clemente summed it up adequately in a tweet. “Could still resolve to the upside. All I know for sure is that this party is just getting started.”

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‘Dip,’ ‘Buy’ and ‘Fed’ top trending topics on social media, per survey

Over the past seven days, the top trending words on cryptocurrency social media are “dip,” “buy” and “Fed.” Plus, the word “sell” fell out of the top 10 trending topics on Thursday despite spiking sharply on Tuesday. According to crypto market data aggregator Santiment, social media users from Meta to Telegram to Twitter have formed a choir, and they’re all singing from the same hymn sheet. “Dip” and “buy” are the No. 1 and No. 3 trending words, respectively, while “Fed,” or Federal Reserve, sits at number six.The behavior analysis from the monitoring platform sheds light on social volumes for words on crypto social media, which can be indicative of overall sentiment. It works in a similar way to the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, which currently shows a score of 18, “extreme fear.”In contrast to the Index and some trader fears of a $30,000 price per Bitcoin (BTC), social media buy sentiment remains strong. It is still just one-third of the score of 1,875 points that spiked on Dec. 4, 2021, when BTC’s price flash-crashed to $42,000.The United States Federal Reserve features high up on the list due to discussion surrounding a potential rate increase in 2022. Bitcoin bull Vijay Boyapati is nonplussed. In a tweet on Wednesday, he suggested that BTC will fly when the Fed “loses control of the bursting bubble they’ve inflated for the last decade.”Related: Cardano became the most developed crypto project on GitHub in 2021 — SantimentCuriously, there was a spike in “sell” sentiment activity on Tuesday. The clamoring to sell three days ago was just as intense as those chiding investors to buy on Nov. 29, 2021, at 4,828 Santiment points. However, back then the bull run appeared to be in full swing.Overall, crypto sentiment seems optimistic that the current market action is just a dip. However, the topic “bear” has crept up from the No. 10 position Thursday evening to number eight on Friday. With BTC prices dipping as low as $41,000, there could be more volatility to come.

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Binance buys the dip adding over 43K Bitcoin to wallet

Bitcoin billionaires continue to accumulate during the dip. As Bitcoin (BTC) filled the $42 thousand December price wick this morning, Bitcoin whales were busy stacking sats.One address belonging to Binance added 43,000 BTC on Tuesday at an average price of $46,553.68, bringing the wallet’s total value to $5.5 billion. Elsewhere, the third-largest Bitcoin address continued its spending spree, adding another 551 BTC since Cointelegraph last reported it bought the dip, just two days ago. The wallet continues to aggressively accumulate in the $40 thousand range, now owning a total of 121,396 BTC or roughly $5 billion. There was some consternation on social media platforms about the wallet owner behind the $43,000 BTC buy, but Binance confirmed ownership of the address in a tweet sent out in 2019. For $BTCB, the $BTC reserve address is: 3LYJfcfHPXYJreMsASk2jkn69LWEYKzexbWe have just reserved 9001 BTC and minted 9001 BTCB. https://t.co/344lxlqsMaA trading pair on #Binance .com for BTCB/BTC will follow in a day or so, and we will issue a proposal on @Binance_DEX— Binance (@binance) June 17, 2019Related: Bitcoin Twitter flips bearish, community respondsThe intended use of wallet address “3LYJfcfHPXYJreMsASk2jkn69LWEYKzexb” was for the company to issue a number of crypto-pegged tokens on Binance Chain, starting with BTCB, a BEP2 token pegged to BTC. However, the wallet appears to have evolved into a cold storage wallet for the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange. In a tweet by advanced blockchain tracker @whale_alert in April last year, the wallet was again labeled as the Binance BTC reserve wallet address. Although the wallet has been used to mint 13,001 BTC onto the Binance Smart Chain, the owner has never sold a single Satoshi. Since June 17, 2019, it has accumulated a whopping 116,601.13647202 BTC. At the time of writing, the wallet is valued at roughly $4,982,770,577 or just shy of $5 billion. Talk about diamond hands.

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Billionaire Ray Dalio recommends ‘reasonable’ 1%–2% Bitcoin allocation

Hedge fund manager Ray Dalio remains bullish on Bitcoin (BTC) in 2022, listing three primary reasons why Bitcoin is “impressive.” In a recent interview with The Investors Podcast, he talked up gold and BTC as an inflation hedge.When prompted by interviewer William Green about what a sensible allocation for a layperson would be, Dalio said that he agrees with fellow billionaire Bill Miller’s suggestion that 1%–2% is the right allocation. He explained that the network has never been hacked; it has no better competitor; and BTC adoption rates would suggest that it could further chip away at gold’s market capitalization:“Bitcoin now is worth about $1 trillion, whereas gold that is not held by central banks and not used for jewelry is worth about $5 trillion. When I look at that, I keep that in mind because I think, over time, inflation hedge assets are probably likely to do better.”The founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, Bridgewater Associates, Dalio echoed comments made last year during the recent interview with the podcast, saying he was impressed that Bitcoin has survived the past decade while reiterating that he is “not favorable to cash.” Related: There’s a Bitcoin boom among Baby Boomers, reports BTC MarketsDalio did caveat his musings on the rise of Bitcoin, highlighting the zealotry surrounding the Bitcoin community as being a possible Achilles heel, and as is to be expected for the investor known as “Mister Diversification,” he also asked a broader question regarding digital assets:“When does somebody collect, take the money they made in Bitcoin and then diversify that and, in other words, move to other things?”He waxed lyrical about nonfungible tokens and other coins as potential diversification destinations. For the moment, however, BTC occupies a place in his “inflation hedge asset class” alongside gold.

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Bitcoin Twitter flips bearish, community responds

As the Bitcoin (BTC) price slides to 2022 lows, the Bitcoin bears have come out to play. Popular names in the BTC space including Sam Bankman-Fried and John Carvalho heeded words of caution overnight, while gold bug Peter Schiff and eternal pessimist CryptoWhale were keen to kick the coin while it was down. A liquidation cascade on Jan. 6 took out more than $318 million BTC positions of which over 88% were long. The price corrected to circa $42,500 per BTC. News of a mining ban in Kazakhstan and the Federal Reserve’s decision to hike rates were likely causes for the slump in crypto market confidence.Long-standing gold proponent and crypto skeptic Peter Schiff tweeted that if “Bitcoin breaks $42K it’s headed to $30K. If it breaks $30K it could crash to $15k. All this might happen very soon.” He encouraged BTC leveraged investors to sell now to avoid liquidation at lower prices. CryptoWhale, a self-proclaimed crypto analyst and perma-bear with upwards of 400,000 Twitter followers, said, “Bitcoin is going under $10K this year. Don’t forget that.” A relentless Bitcoin bear, the account has called for a sub-$10,000 BTC since as early as October last year. Related: Raoul Pal says ‘reasonable chance’ crypto market cap could 100X by 2030The Bitcoin Fear & Greed Index is at lows not seen since 2021 which is usually the time that BTC OG’s clarion calls are sounded. It registered a score of 15 or extreme fear this morning.Sam Bankman-Fried, the CEO of FTX crypto exchange, didn’t exactly assuage investors’ concerns about the bearish woes. He recommended that the best thing to do in a bear market is to build, before hastily clarifying that “down today doesn’t mean down tomorrow.”Finally, the CEO of recently launched Synonym Software, John Carvalho, didn’t mince his words when referring to the recent BTC price movements: EVERYONE must endure the brutal Bitcoin rite of passage of a bear market where their investments are severely under water.This includes Elon, Jack, and Saylor.And you.— John Carvalho (@BitcoinErrorLog) January 5, 2022As he points out, the BTC market can be a baptism of fire for newcomers. It could be some time before the bears return to hibernation.

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