Autor Cointelegraph By Joseph Hall

Bitcoin’s rocky road to becoming a risk-off asset: Analysts investigate

Thursday was a bloodbath for traditional and cryptocurrency markets. On the worst day of trading since 2020, Bitcoin (BTC) dropped over 7%, while the Nasdaq slipped over 5%. Many hoped for capitulation in the trade and crypto markets, and although the short-term outlook for Bitcoin looks weak, one analyst and some evidence would suggest that Bitcoin is still on course to becoming a risk-off asset.Markets are by no means math-based or infallible, but a risk-off asset describes an asset that performs well–or is an asset that investors flock to–when overall market sentiment wanes. Government bonds are risk-off assets. Conversely, tech stocks and cryptocurrencies are considered risk-on assets. Risk-on assets perform well when the overall “mood” in the market is up and when the United States Federal Reserve isn’t hiking interest rates.Nonetheless, one Bloomberg analyst shared an interesting graph describing “adoption, maturation and Bitcoin beating equities,” implying that Bitcoin may finally be showing its colors as a safe harbor during troubled waters.The graph shows that volatility in Bitcoin and the performance of Bitcoin is outcompeting that of the Nasdaq 100 stock index: Source: Bloomberg IntelligenceCrucially, Mike McGlone explained that “the crypto market at the start of May appears as a nascent revolution in fintech and money.” “The fact that the world’s most fluid, 24/7 trading vehicle — Bitcoin — was down only about 15% in 2022 to May 3 vs. 20% for the Nasdaq 100 Stock Index may portend the crypto transitioning to a risk-off asset.”Mike McGlone, the author of the report interviewed with Cointelegraph in January this year. McGlone suggested that the transition of Bitcoin to become a risk-off asset “will propel it to $100K in 2022.”[embedded content]Crucially, he described that “what’s happening to advance money and finance into the 21st century is unstoppable.”To back up the argument, according to one chart provided by InvestAnswers YouTube, over the past 90 days, Bitcoin is up 6% vs. the Nasdaq’s 12% lowsSource: InvestAnswers YoutubeUltimately, Bitcoin has slowly proved itself as a store of value, or Gold 2.0, as the Winkelvoss twins describe it. However, with the worsening macroeconomic backdrop, popular YouTuber Benjamin Cowen said that Bitcoin may not hit $100,000 this year in the current “risk-off” environment–not “until inflation is under control.”Related: Bitcoin celebrates halfway to the halving with new hash rate recordResultantly, it may still be a tad prescient to call Bitcoin a “risk-off” asset, especially as it wallows in the mid $30,000s. That said, there are a couple of certainties. Do Kwon will continue to buy Bitcoin in the billions, Michael Saylor will continue to orange pill big-name investors and there will only ever be 21 million Bitcoin.

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Number goes up: A third of Brits have bought crypto, says Coinbase report

Bitcoin (BTC) number go up technology is boosting crypto adoption in the United Kingdom. More and more Brits are buying cryptocurrency, according to a Coinbase research piece carried out by Qualtrics.The key takeaways indicate that 33% of British people own crypto, up from 29% in October 2021. Plus, over half, or 61%, of those surveyed intend to increase their holdings over the next 12 months. For Danny Scott, CEO of the United Kingdom’s leading Bitcoin exchange, CoinCorner, the statistics “seem incredibly high.” Scott suggested that “we’re seeing a quiet period from the retail market right now,” adding that “when the price settles, so does the interest from newbies.” “Without knowing the source for this, I’d hazard a guess the survey size was small and fell luckily in the direction of more adoption than the reality.”Statistics from Statista suggest that crypto ownership in the United Kingdom is much lower—around the 7% mark, whereas previous Cointelegraph reporting suggested that U.K. crypto ownership was under 10%. For Scott, “rather than look at this in a negative way, we should see this as an opportunity to take a breather and build out the infrastructure for the next wave, as we all know the industry continues to operate in the cycles.” Indeed, Bitcoin recently crossed the halfway point on the way to its next halving.The Coinbase report also highlighted that Bitcoin is the king of crypto among U.K. consumers as it is the most commonly owned cryptocurrency. Ethereum (ETH) is held by 52% of those surveyed with Dogecoin (DOGE) and Binance Coin (BNB) at 34% and 33%, respectively.In the United Kingdom, it’s not just the retail market that’s interested in crypto: Her Majesty’s Treasury also appears to be sticking through sluggish Bitcoin price action. HM Treasury’s decision to create a royal NFT by the summer caught the crypto community’s attention in April amid discussion surrounding stablecoin regulation in the U.K. Chancellor @RishiSunak has asked @RoyalMintUK to create an NFT to be issued by the summer.This decision shows the the forward-looking approach we are determined to take towards cryptoassets in the UK. pic.twitter.com/cd0tiailBK— HM Treasury (@hmtreasury) April 4, 2022A Coinbase spokesperson told Cointelegraph that the population of 67 million Brits creates a “leading European hub of crypto investment,” highlight that there is a growing proportion of people engaging with these assets.”Recent survey work suggests that the adoption trend may continue, with many sharing ambitions to expand the size and diversification of their portfolios.”Adding a note of caution, the spokesperson suggested that “it is clear that there is more work to be done around boosting understanding and awareness of these assets.” An experienced Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) employee recently took up a post at the digital assets department to support the government’s “vision for crypto.”For Coincorner, it’s about “actual real-world, everyday use case, rather than focus on customers who want to speculate on hundreds of different cryptocurrencies that don’t offer anything of real world use.”Related: Home sweet hodl: How a Bitcoiner used BTC to buy his mom a houseCointelegraph has compiled an analysis of changes to the U.K.’s financial and crypto landscape in light of the recent changes to the FCA’s crypto stance.

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Bitcoin celebrates halfway to the halving with new hash rate record

Bitcoin (BTC) marks a milestone mining journey on Thursday, crossing the halfway point on the way to its next halving. In Block number 735,000, mined at approximately 10:29 UTC, Bitcoin crossed the halfway point to the next halving. The block was mined by Poolin, earning 0.16215354 BTC ($6,402.45) in fees. Halvings occur every 210,00 blocks, and May 5 marks the cross-over point into the second leg of 105,000 blocks. For some Bitcoiners, such as Samson Mow, the Bitcoiner pioneering Bitcoin nation-state adoption, the halving is a reminder to stack more SATs:WE ARE HALFWAY TO THE NEXT HALVING AND YOU HAVEN’T STACKED ENOUGH #BITCOIN YET.— Samson Mow (@Excellion) May 5, 2022The halving cycle is a unique device that envelops the Bitcoin issuance rate. As the Cointelegraph Cryptopedia explains, “As a result of the halving cycle, the supply of available Bitcoin decreases, raising the value of Bitcoins yet to be mined.” The halving is key in determining the supply of Bitcoin –which recently crossed the milestone 19 million mark– and the issuance rate, currently at 6.25 new BTC per roughly 10 minutes. In essence, roughly $250,000 worth of BTC is minted with every new block. The next halving is due to take place in April 2024, and the previous halving occurred on 11th May 2020 as Bitcoin entered its fourth “epoch.” The system will continue until roughly 2140 when the last Bitcoin is mined.The issuance rate and the “supply shock” that accompanies the halving have a significant impact on the price:As shown in the box above, the Bitcoin price has increased by a factor of 100 since the 2012 halving to reach the previous halving price. With current price levels around the $40,000 mark, the price has done another 4x. Related: Happy birthday, Hal Finney: Crypto community honors world’s first known BitcoinerWith typical Bitcoin “honey badger” aplomb, the decentralized peer-to-peer electronic cash system also struck a new record: the mining hash rate hit an all-time high. Bitcoin hash rate keeps soaring higher and higher. Source: GlassnodeThe hash rate hit 249.1 exahashes per second (EH/s) overnight on May 4th, pipping the previous all-time high by 1 exahash. In essence, with the hash rate consistently setting new highs, Bitcoin security–as these computers or ‘miners’ work to secure the network–has never been stronger. Halfway to a halving and another ATH for the hash rate; it’s another small celebration for Bitcoin amidst mini bear market woes.

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Happy birthday Hal Finney: Crypto community honors world's first known Bitcoiner

Finney was also the first person to publicly run Bitcoin (BTC), going down in the annals of crypto Twitter history with a famous tweet that often resurfaces: Raise a glass to the world’s first Bitcoiner today. Hal Finney, the first person to receive a Bitcoin transaction from none other than Satoshi Nakamoto would have celebrated his birthday today.Running bitcoin— halfin (@halfin) January 11, 2009On Bitcointalk.org, Hal Finney explained that when Satoshi first released the software, he “grabbed it right away.”“I think I was the first person besides Satoshi to run bitcoin. I mined block 70-something, and I was the recipient of the first bitcoin transaction, when Satoshi sent ten coins to me as a test.”The wallet address for the 10 Bitcoin transaction tells a story: surging to 10 Bitcoin in value in 2009 (roughly $400,000 in today’s terms), but before Bitcoin had a dollar-denominated value.Finney’s wallet address which received 10 Bitcoin in 2009. Source: BitinfochartsFor Pete Rizzo, editor at Kraken and Bitcoin magazine, Finney was a “visionary”:✨ Today is Hal Finney’s 66th birthday. RIP to a true legend — the recipient of the first #Bitcoin transaction and a visionary who embraced its invention when others wouldn’t dare pic.twitter.com/rKNJ0m3ftI— RIZZO (@pete_rizzo_) May 4, 2022

Finney sadly passed away from Amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), also known as motor neuron disease, in Phoenix in 2014. However, an eternal technologist, he was cryopreserved by the Alcor Life Extension Foundation and may be brought back to life via a technological medium in the future. Prior to the diagnosis of the debilitating illness, Finney was known for more than just running Bitcoin: he ran half-marathons up until September 6th, 2009. Happy Birthday to the one and only Hal Finney!!Your spirit shall always live on…@halfin@franfinney pic.twitter.com/GHkODO8sqM— PU₿LORD (@publordhodl) May 4, 2022

As a part of his legacy, many Bitcoin foundations and charities organize running events including “Running Bitcoin” to fight ALS.Related: ‘How I met Satoshi’: The mission to teach 100M people about Bitcoin by 2030For some Bitcoin supporters, it’s a time to look back on his life and celebrate his achievements. But in typical Bitcoin Twitter fashion, it’s also an opportunity to make light of the situation:Just imagine what we could have done with a Full Inney— Bitcoin Lebowski (@DudeJLebowski) May 4, 2022

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‘They didn't see it coming:’ Podcaster Joe Rogan sees Bitcoin as a viable form of currency

Popular podcaster Joe Rogan just gets Bitcoin (BTC). In his most recent podcast with Khalil Rountree, a renowned mixed martial (MMA) fighter, Rogan explained that BTC is something that the “government didn’t see coming.”“I think of Bitcoin the same way I think of the early internet. They [the government] didn’t see it coming and now it’s a viable form of currency–you can actually buy things with it.”Rogan explained that there will be a time when “some government” will implement a “centralized currency that they can control,” with the intention to “limit what you spend your money on.” Bitcoin is outside of government control, as it is a decentralized and permissionless payment network. Rogan is a vocal Bitcoin supporter, having first spoken about the world’s largest cryptocurrency in 2014. Rogan explained to Andreas Antonopoulos in 2016 that he was “all in” on team Bitcoin when the price was under $1,000. While 2021 was the year that popular celebrities clamored for crypto, Joe Rogan’s conviction for Bitcoin ossified and evolved.Rogan has ventured deeper down the Bitcoin rabbit hole: In only January this year, Rogan had hope for Bitcoin but explained it could still “fall apart.” In yesterday’s MMA podcast, Rogan’s conviction shined. The Joe Rogan Experience is Spotify’s most popular show, reportedly reaching over 11 million listeners per episode. Anthony Pompliano claims that he show is bigger than Fox News and CNN combined. His MMA podcast is part of the “experience,” and Khalil Rountree has been a previous guest. In the YouTube excerpt with focuses on Bitcoin, Khalil Rountree shares his “Bitcoin awakening,” discussing how his family never had “generational wealth” before BTC. [embedded content]Rountree is an American mixed martial artist who currently competes in the light heavyweight division of the Ultimate Fighting Championship. While admitting he’s not a tech or finance guy, he is “excited” about the technology, and attended Bitcoin Miami 2022.Rountree cited the North Korean defector china Yeonmi Park, a speaker at Bitcoin Miami 2022 who escaped the regime thanks to Bitcoin and its freedom properties.YouTube comments on the episode are hopeful that Jack Mallers, the CEO of Strike, will be featured soon, or failing that, another Bitcoin-maxi, Jack Dorsey, the former CEO of Twitter. Related: Crypto Stories: Ethan Lou shares experience of crypto conference in North KoreaFor one Bitcoiner on Twitter, Michael Saylor appearing on the JRE would create the same hype as a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF):Exactly right – @saylor going on the @joerogan podcast is the next big catalyst for increased awareness and adoption of #Bitcoin as the most sound money in the world. Or the SEC allowing $GBTC to convert to a spot ETF. @GaryGensler @BarrySilbert @Sonnenshein— Dr. Ben Kim (@Ben_Kim) May 3, 2022The “Bitcoin awakening” video has already been viewed over 100,00 times, while Joe Rogan is still at the top of the Spotify United States podcast charts. 

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