Autor Cointelegraph By Jordan Finneseth

3 reasons why Bitcoin is struggling to flip $20K to support

The positive gains recorded in the first ten days of July have all but disappeared on July 13 as Bitcoin (BTC) and the wider market slid back toward new yearly lows.Subdued action in the market can be traced back to a variety of factors ranging today’s record-high Consumer Price Index print and a raging US dollar that recently hit its highest level since October 2002.Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that July 13 marked the fifth consecutive day of a declining BTC price, which hit an intra-day low at $18,910, following the declines across the major stock market indices. BTC/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingViewAs the world awaits a catalyst that can bring positive momentum back into global financial markets, here is what several analysts have to say about what’s next for Bitcoin. Was Bitcoin’s latest surge the result of wash trading?Bitcoin’s gains over the past week had sparked a new wave of optimism for some traders, but that optimism is likely to fade in the near term.  Data from Arcane Research shows that a majority of the momentum came from the removal of trading fees for certain Bitcoin pairs on Binance cryptocurrency exchange. Real Bitcoin daily volume (7-day average). Source: Arcane ResearchAccording to Arcane Research, after the fee was removed, trading volumes on the exchange surged and it can be most likely attributed to “wash trading from traders seeking to exploit the fee removal to reach higher fee tiers.”When looking at the crypto exchange ecosystem as a whole, however, activity remains subdued which is indicative of diminished interest in buying cryptos at the present moment. Arcane Research said, “All other exchanges saw muted trading volume last week, with the seven-day average trading volume sitting near 1-year lows, illustrating that the organic trading activity in the market is very muted at the moment.”Extreme fear persistsFurther evidence highlighting the lack of interest in buying Bitcoin can be found from the Crypto Fear and Greed Index, which is currently experiencing a “record-long 68-day streak” in the extremely fearfully territory. Crypto Fear & Greed Index. Source: AlternativeAs noted by Arcane Research, the spike to a score of 24 on July 10 was largely influenced by Binance’s decision to remove trading fees, which “led the metric to overstate the current market sentiment fearfulness.”After the novelty of fee-less Bitcoin trading on the top exchange subsided and volumes returned to normal, the Fear and Greed index has descended back into the extreme fear zone. Exchange outflows provide further evidence of the state of the market. Following the liquidation of Three Arrows Capital and the freezing of funds at platforms like Celsius, the rate that users have been pulling BTC off exchanges hit its highest level ever on June 26.Since the start of 2020, BTC outflows from exchanges have far outpaced BTC inflows, with a sharp increase between June & July 2022.On June 26th, we saw the largest outflow of BTC, with 153k BTC (worth approximately $3.2 billion) scurrying for an exit from centralized exchanges. pic.twitter.com/FQp2E2YkSw— Delphi Digital (@Delphi_Digital) July 12, 2022Related: 3 key metrics suggest Bitcoin and the wider crypto market have further to fallLeveraged liquidity increases above $25,000A final bit of insight into the factors keeping Bitcoin in its current trading range was offered by researchers at Jarvis Labs, who provided the following chart showing the dark bands of liquidity that exist below $18,000 and above $25,000. Bitcoin liquidation map. Source: Jarvis LabsAccording to Jarvis Labs, the appearance of highly leveraged liquidity signaled the possibility that BTC could make a run for $25,000 barring any unforeseen negative developments. Jarvis Labs said, “The caveat here is that for price to threaten that level, no more skeletons can get exposed within the cryptocurrency market, otherwise more forced selling can be triggered.”While it remains to be seen which way the price of BTC will move, the one thing that traders should prepare themselves for is the potential for increased volatility in the months ahead as rising global tensions, surging inflation and widespread pessimism suggest that the crypto market and world at large may be in for an extended bear market.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Nervous Network (CKB) price posts double-digit gain after Godwoken layer 2 launch

Positive price movement during bear markets are notoriously hard to come by due to the non-stop FUD of media and lackadaisical interest from crypto investors.One crypto that managed to flash green on June 12 is the Nervos Network (CKB), an open blockchain protocol designed for universally accessible decentralized applications (DApps). Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that CKB put on a 50% gain in July after climbing from a low of $0.0033 on June 30 to a daily high of $0.005 on July 12. CKB/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingViewThree reasons for the positive gains for the Nervos Network include the launch of the network’s layer-2 (L2) solution Godwoken, the integration of the Celer c-Bridge within the Godwoken protocol and the launch of a new nonfungible token (NFT) marketplace on the Nervos mainnet. Nervos launches a layer-2 solutionThe recent price rally for CKB was ignited on June 29 when the protocol announced that its L2 solution “Godwoken” had officially launched on the Nervos Network mainnet. According to the announcement, Godwoken is an Ethereum (ETH) Virtual Machine (EVM)-compatible Optimistic rollup that allows projects building across the various sectors of the market to easily create and port their DApps to the Nervos Network. The addition of EVM compatibility also makes it possible for any project launched on Godwoken to be instantly interoperable with other EVM chains, which can help increase their reach and grow their user-base. Celer cBridge integrates with GodwokenPrior to the spike in CKB price, the developers announced that Godwoken had been integrated with the Celer cBridge to enable the bridging of certain assets between Nervos and the Ethereum network. Excited to announce that we’ve completed integrations and now support bridging on @NervosNetwork’s #Godwoken! ⛓️⛓️You are now able to bridge $USDT, $USDC, $ETH, $WBTC, and $DAI between @ethereum and #Godwoken in a fast, secure, and low-cost fashion!https://t.co/swiAJ2WZLa— CelerNetwork (@CelerNetwork) July 12, 2022According to the announcement from Celer, the first assets available to bridge between Godwoken and Ethereum are Tether (USDT), USD Coin (USDC), Ether, Wrapped Bitcoin (WBTC), and Dai (DAI).Godwoken’s main selling point is that its use “enables developers to employ Ethereum contracts while keeping transactions scalable, fast and low-cost.”Related: US trademark and copyright offices to study IP impact of NFTsNervos launches a new NFT marketplaceAnother development that has brought added attention to the Nervos Network was the launch of the Oblivion nonfungible token (NFT) marketplace on the protocol’s mainnet. annnd we’re live! Using @NervosNetwork mainnet? head over to https://t.co/U5gBEd5a3Q. Note: there are a few “test” NFTs. No need to purchase these, they offer no utility, and were simply created to demonstrate/test functionality.— Oblivion NFT Marketplace by Dead Games, Inc (@OblivionNft) July 9, 2022

Despite a collapse in the prices of NFTs, nonfungible tokens remain a popular buzzword and there is still a lot interest in increasing the adoption of blockchain and NFT technology by traditional business and finance.In addition to the launch of its first NFT marketplace, Nervos and its L2 solution Godwoken have also welcomed several new decentralized finance platforms including YokaiSwap, which deployed on Godwoken v1, and a cross-chain protocol called JioSwap.The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Blockchain-based games see an uptick in users despite bear market conditions

Bear markets are always tough, but one of the positives is they clear the clutter and this allows legitimate projects to stand out. While most investors are focused on the latest centralized finance (CeFi) and decentralized finances (DeFi) scandal, the blockchain gaming sector has quietly weathered the storm better than other niches of the market.Total number of unique active wallets interacting with smart contracts. Source: DappRadarAs shown on the chart above, all sectors of the market have experienced a noticeable decline in active users, but the gaming sector has proven to be the most resilient at retaining users as the bear market intensified. Transactions continue to riseFurther proof of the continued engagement by gamers can be found by looking at the number of transactions occurring in the top sectors of the market. Total number of transactions sent to smart contracts. Source: DappRadarWith a current count of 173.17 million, the number of gaming-related transactions is significantly higher than any other sector of the market, with the second closest sector being decentralized finance with 8.86 million. As for which protocols contribute the most to the transaction count, WAX, Hive, BNB Smart Chain (BSC), Solana (SOL) and Ronin are the most active, led by WAX with a current transaction count of 158.23 million. Total number of transactions per protocol. Source: DappRadarWhile the total value transacted remains dominated by exchanges, a growing number of users currently active in the crypto ecosystem can be found in the gaming sector. WAX and BSC attract new usersData shows that users are specifically drawn to WAX and Binance Smart Chain, which saw 2.94 million and 2.49 million users. Total number of unique users per protocol. Source: DappRadarAlien Worlds on WAX and BNB Chain currently holds the top spot with 196,700 users, followed by Splinterlands with 147,820 active users. It’s also worth noting that the top three games in terms of active users operate on WAX. Top 6 games by the number of active users. Source: DappRadarWhile it has fallen far down the list, Axie Infinity (AXS) has consistently been one of the most active games for the past year and a leader in terms of the value transacted. Related: Volumes surge 205% in Axie revival as co-founder claims project is ‘healing’Gaming is bigger than music, movies, and TV combined. It’s compounding 10% year on year.The $100bn a year spent “renting” items is going to turn into a trillion dollar ownable economy. All of it will be built on web3. pic.twitter.com/TQz6xxa8hx— Robbie Ferguson ⓧ – Hiring! (@0xferg) June 30, 2022Despite the sharp correction in blockchain gaming-related altcoins, gaming has proven to be one of the more resilient sectors in terms of retaining active users. This fact, combined with the rising popularity of the gaming industry, suggests that it’s one sector that has the potential to lead the way into the next bull market. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Analysts say Bitcoin range ‘consolidation’ is most likely until a ‘macro catalyst’ emerges

From a historical perspective, the loss in value realized across the cryptocurrency market over the past several months has been one for the record books and the total cryptocurrency market cap has declined from $3 trillion to $991 million. June was especially painful for investors after the price of Bitcoin (BTC) fell nearly 40% to mark one of its worst calendar months on record according to a recent report from cryptocurrency research firm Delphi Digital. BTC/USD monthly candles vs. MoM% change. Source: Delphi DigitalIn light of the strong market correction, a number of BTC price and on-chain metrics have begun to reach levels similar to those seen during previous market bottoms, but this doesn’t mean traders should expect a turnaround anytime soon because history shows that periods of weakness can drag on for months on end. Macro headwinds weigh on BTC priceOne of the most significant factors weighing on cryptocurrencies and other risk assets has been the strength of the United States Dollar.DXY index YoY% change vs. BTC/USD price YoY% change. Source: Delphi DigitalCombined with rising inflation and falling economic indicators, DXY strength is a signal that an economic slowdown is all but inevitable, with forecasts now predicting a recession in early to mid-2023. Against this backdrop, BTC now finds itself attempting to form a local bottom around the 2017 cycle high near $20,000, “the last clear structural support on the high timeframe bitcoin chart.”BTC/USD price-performance 1-week chart. Source: Delphi DigitalThis current cycle marks the first time in Bitcoin’s history that its price has fallen below the all-time high set during a previous bull market cycle. Should BTC fail to hold support near $20,000, Delphi Digital pointed to an expected “support around ~$15K, and then ~$9K to $12K if that level failed to hold.”While those estimates may seem bleak, it should be noted that BTC price fell roughly 85% from peak to trough during each of the previous two major bear markets. If the same were to occur during the current bear market cycle, that would put BTC at $10,000, marking another 50% drawdown from the current levels and falling in line with the 2018 to 2019 price range. For this reason, analysts at Delphi Digital believe that “there’s still more pain ahead for risk assets.”Related: Bitcoin risks new lows as $20K looms amid dollar euro parityWhere is the bottom?The percentage of Bitcoin supply held in profit and Bitcoin’s realized profit/loss ratio are nearing levels seen during previous bear markets, but each has “a bit more room to go” before they reach their lows for this cycle according to Delphi Digital. BTC/USD price vs. realized P/L ratio. Source: Delphi DigitalAccording to the firm, “momentum indicators and valuation metrics can remain oversold or undervalued for an extended period of time,” which makes them “poor timing tools” that are not capable of predicting immediate reversals. Contrarian investors might also want to keep an eye on the market sentiment as well as the Fear and Greed Index which has now reached historic lows. BTC/USD price vs. Fear and Greed Index. Source: Delphi DigitalWhen it comes to a potential move to the upside, Delphi Digital indicated that “BTC has room above due to the previous liquidation cascade in the wake of 3AC,” and identified the next major resistance level as $28,000. Delphi Digital said, “BTC will likely continue to consolidate until we get some kind of macro catalyst.”The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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Lido DAO price moves higher as the Ethereum Merge moves a step closer to completion

The upcoming Ethereum (ETH) Merge is one of the most talked about developments in the cryptocurrency ecosystem as the world’s second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap undergoes the difficult transition from proof-of-work (PoW) to proof-of-stake (PoS). One protocol whose fate is largely tied to the successful completion of the Merge is Lido DAO (LDO), a liquid staking platform that allows users to tap into the value of their assets for use in decentralized finance and earn yield from staking. Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that since LDO hit a low of $0.42 on June 30, its price has climbed 107.6% to hit a daily high of $0.874 on July 9, but at the time of writing the altcoin has pulled back to $0.65.LDO/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingViewThree reasons for the sharp turnaround for LDO include the successful Merge on the Sepolia testnet, the continued increase in Ether deposits on the platform and the slow recovery of staked Ether (stETH) price in comparison to Ether’s spot price. Sepolia testnet mergeMigrating to proof-of-stake has been a challenging process, but it came one step closer to completion on July 6 with the successful Merge of the PoW and PoS chains on Ethereum’s Sepolia testnet. BREAKING – Ethereum completes another successful test of The Merge on Sepolia Goerli next.Mainnet after. Don’t sleep. pic.twitter.com/YeQfghmm5O— bankless.eth (@BanklessHQ) July 6, 2022Following this development, there is only one more Merge trial to conduct on the Goerli testnet, and if that goes down without any major issues the Ethereum mainnet will be next. Since Lido specializes in providing liquid staking services for Ethereum, each step closer to the full transition to PoS benefits the liquid staking platform because Ether holders who want a less complicated way to stake their tokens can utilize Lido’s services and not have to worry about token lock-ups. Ether deposits continue to riseProof that interest in staking on Lido has continued to climb can be found in data provided by Dune Analytics which shows an increasing amount of Ether deposited on the protocol. Ether staked on Lido. Source: Dune AnalyticsAs shown on the chart above, as of July 7 there were 4.128 million Ether staked through Lido. Ether staking statistics. Source: Lido DAORelated: Ethereum testnet Merge mostly successful — ‘Hiccups will not delay the Merge.’stETH begins to recoverAnother factor helping to boost the value of LDO has been the recovery of stETH price, which lost its peg to Ether over the past few months as distressed funds sold their stETH in an attempt to stave of insolvency. According to data from Dune Analytics, the price of stETH is now trading at about 97.2% of the price of Ether, up from a low of 93.6% which occurred on June 18. ETH:stETH price 1-hour chart. Source: Dune AnalyticsWhile stETH has not fully recovered its price parity with Ether, its move in the right direction combined with less selling pressure from forced liquidations appears to have helped restore some investor faith in the token. This, in turn, has benefited LDO since the protocol is the largest liquid Ether staking provider and issuer of stETH. The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

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