Autor Cointelegraph By Helen Partz

Kalshi US visits soar 1,500% as regulatory pressure mounts

Major prediction market platform Kalshi has seen its US web traffic explode over the past year, underscoring the platform’s rapid growth while regulators and courts scrutinize its expanding event-contract business.Kalshi recorded 15.4 million visits from the United States in July, up about 1,520% from just under 1 million in August 2025, according to Similarweb traffic estimates reviewed by Cointelegraph on Friday.US traffic accounted for nearly 80% of Kalshi’s traffic in July, up from 72.8% in August 2025, showing that its growth has remained heavily concentrated in the country.The surge comes as Kalshi faces mounting legal challenges over whether its sports contracts fall under federal oversight or state gambling laws, with New Jersey taking the dispute to the US Supreme Court.Trading volume outpaces traffic growthKalshi’s surge in web traffic has come alongside even faster growth in trading activity, as prediction markets have expanded rapidly over the past year.Kalshi recorded about $40 billion in monthly notional trading volume in August, up from $874 million a year earlier, an increase of roughly 4,500%, according to a Dune Analytics prediction market data dashboard.Source: Dune AnalyticsAcross the prediction-market industry, monthly notional volume rose to $50.7 billion from about $2 billion over the same period, with Kalshi accounting for nearly 79% of the latest total.Related: Michigan authorities continue pursuit to block Kalshi as Supreme Court fight loomsSports contracts accounted for 83% of Kalshi’s trading volume in July, Barron’s reported Thursday.Kalshi draws growing traffic from restricted jurisdictionsCanada generated about 450,000 visits to Kalshi’s website in July, up from roughly 50,000 in August 2025, while UK traffic increased to 296,000 from 31,000.Both Canada and the UK are among the jurisdictions where Kalshi’s member agreement currently prohibits users from directly accessing or trading on Kalshi’s platform. Kalshi partnered with Canadian financial services company Wealthsimple in June to provide access to nearly 4,000 eligible Kalshi contracts through a separate app.Kalshi website traffic by country in July 2026 and August 2025. Source: SimilarwebFrom August 2025 to July 2026, Canada’s share of Kalshi’s traffic slipped to 2.3% from 3.8%, while the UK’s share fell to 1.5% from 2.4%, even as visits from both countries increased.Cointelegraph contacted Kalshi for comment on the traffic from restricted jurisdictions but had not received a response by publication.Magazine: BTC will hit $1M by 2030… but Arthur Hayes is buying ETH instead

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Bitcoin ETF inflows hit $731M, highest since January as BTC reclaims $80K

US-listed spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) notched their biggest inflows in nearly eight months as BTC reclaimed $80,000.Bitcoin ETFs recorded $730.9 million in net inflows on Thursday, the largest daily haul since Jan. 14, when the funds attracted $843.6 million, according to SoSoValue data.The surge followed $101.2 million inflows on Wednesday and came as Bitcoin reclaimed the $80,000 level after trading in a range between roughly $76,000 and $81,000 this week, according to CoinGecko.Despite the spike in ETF inflows, CryptoQuant remained cautious about Bitcoin’s rally, citing weaker spot demand and heavy short covering as $83,000 emerges as a key bull market threshold.BlackRock’s IBIT draws $454 million in a dayBlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), the largest US spot Bitcoin ETF by net assets, led Thursday’s buying with $454 million in inflows, accounting for about 62% of the total, according to Farside Investors data.While total spot Bitcoin ETF inflows reached their highest level since January, IBIT alone drew a larger $503 million inflow as recently as Aug. 20.Daily US spot Bitcoin ETF flows since Tuesday. Source: Farside InvestorsARK Invest and 21Shares’ ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) followed with $137.7 million, while Fidelity’s Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) drew $74.4 million.VanEck’s Bitcoin ETF (HODL) and WisdomTree’s Bitcoin Fund (BTCW) were the only funds to record outflows on Thursday, at $19.6 million and $5.2 million, respectively.Bitcoin rally still needs fresh buyersBitcoin’s recent rally was driven largely by traders closing short positions rather than opening new long positions, pointing to limited fresh buying demand, CryptoQuant said in a Thursday report shared with Cointelegraph.The report mentioned that Bitcoin holders realized 23,000 BTC in net profits on Aug. 21, the highest daily amount this year, and about 110,000 BTC in total since Aug. 19, reflecting substantial profit-taking during the rally.Related: Bitcoin’s apparent demand turns negative as price struggles with $77KAccording to CryptoQuant, Bitcoin’s next major test sits around its 365-day moving average, which CryptoQuant placed at roughly $82,300.Source: CryptoQuantThe company said the moving average has historically marked the divide between Bitcoin bull and bear markets, with Bitcoin reaching $81,400 on Aug. 28 before retreating below the threshold.“A decisive close above $83K would confirm the new bull market,” CryptoQuant said, while a rejection could trigger a pullback toward the 200-day moving average near $69,000.Magazine: Bitget CEO isn’t buying the Bitcoin rally — She’s waiting for $50K

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