Autor Cointelegraph By Felix Ng

Elon Musk gets hit with ‘ridiculous’ $258B Dogecoin lawsuit

Billionaire Elon Musk, along with his companies SpaceX and Tesla Inc, are all being sued for an astonishing $258 billion in damages for being “engaged in a crypto pyramid scheme” involving Dogecoin (DOGE).The damages sought are more than 34 times Dogecoin’s current market cap of $7.5 billion and nearly three times its ATH market cap of $88.68 billion in mid-2021. Filed in the New York District Court by an attorney at Evan Spencer Law on Thursday, the class-action lawsuit alleges that Musk “used his pedestal as World’s Richest man to operate and manipulate the Dogecoin Pyramid Scheme for profit, exposure, and amusement.”In the filing, plaintiff Keith Johnson, a U.S. citizen, alleges that Musk and his corporations were “unjustly enriched” by $86 billion as a result of wire fraud, gambling enterprise, false advertising, deceptive practices, and other unlawful conduct.Johnson claims that he and others in the class-action have lost approximately $86 billion between May 2021 and June 2022  and is demanding that figure in monetary damages along with another $172 billion in damages and fees. Defendant Musk is the self-appointed ‘Dogefather,’ ‘former CEO of Dogecoin,’ partner, developer, spokesperson, publicist, salesman, marketer, and promoter of Dogecoin, who assembled the ‘Doge Army’ including his corporations and various billionaires, influencers, and celebrities to increase the price, market cap and trading volume of Dogecoin.”In January, Musk announced that his electric vehicle company Telsa would accept Dogecoin as payment for the company’s merchandise. In May, he announced that Dogecoin payments would also be accepted by his space exploration company SpaceX. The lawsuit also demands an order declaring the trading of Dogecoin to be constituted as gambling within New York and federal law, and also alleges that Musk and his companies have violated state and federal gambling laws.“Since Plaintiff and the class were not advised that the trading of Dogecoin was nothing more than a gambling enterprise, Plaintiff and the class demand the return of all wagers lost trading Dogecoin.”It also seeks to order Musk and his companies, and any other unlicensed professionals from advertising, marketing, or promoting Dogecoin in the future.Community reactsThe crypto community has ridiculed the lawsuit.Related: Dogecoin’s parents are fighting: Musk and Jackson Palmer exchange barbsDogecoin creator Shibetoshi Nakamoto, a Tweet of whose was cited in the lawsuit as supporting evidence, called the lawsuit “stupid as fuck” on Twitter on Thursday, but admitted that crypto trading isn’t much different from gambling. i mean dogecoin is the same as everything else, they wanna make all crypto into gambling?the lawsuit is obviously stupid as fuck, but i don’t think crypto trading is much different than gambling— Shibetoshi Nakamoto (@BillyM2k) June 16, 2022Rahul Sood, CEO, and co-founder of Irreverent Labs, which builds blockchain games called it a “stupid class-action lawsuit” “Amazing that in the US someone could launch such a stupid class-action lawsuit. These guys all knew what they were getting into. Ridiculous.”Ron Coleman, a commercial litigator and partner at Dhillon Law Group with 196,000 Twitter followers replied to a Tweet about the news, noting that “anyone can say anything in a lawsuit.” Anyone can say anything in a lawsuit— Ron Coleman (@RonColeman) June 16, 2022

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126% return for stock market short-sellers who smelled blood in crypto waters

Short-sellers have made a killing on various sectors of the U.S. stock market this year, but no other sector “held a candle” to the blockchain industry, with crypto company short-sellers profits up 126% in 2022, according new data.On Thursday, technology and data analytics firm S3 Partners published a video summarizing its recent report, which found that overall, U.S. equity short-sellers are up on average more than 30% for the year. Some of these profit gains were attributed to the short-selling of automobiles and components stocks (up 54%), software and services stocks (up 50%), media and entertainment stocks (up 46%) and retail stocks, (up 46%) in the year, though these all paled in comparison to crypto stocks, which saw short-selling profits up 126% in 2022. “But none of these industries holds a candle to short sellers in the crypto sector, up 126% on an average short interest of $3 billion dollars.”Crypto stocks with the highest short interest include exchange Coinbase Global (COIN), Bitcoin miner Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA), and MicroStrategy (MSTR), a software company that is also known for being the largest publicly traded holder of Bitcoin.#Crypto short sellers are up over 30% in 2022! ⁰⁰Want to know what’s on the horizon? Check out the video below to learn more.⁰#s3data #markets #shortinterest #trading #hedgefunds #sentiment $COIN $MSTR $MARA @ihors3 pic.twitter.com/LQLmAwjZFk— S3 Partners (@S3Partners) June 16, 2022Short selling occurs when an investor borrows a security and sells it on the open market with the expectation to buy it back in the future for less, pocketing the difference. This is profitable when prices decline. Short interest is the total number of shares of a particular stock that has been short-sold by investors but has not yet been covered or closed out. High or increasing short interest could indicate that investors are pessimistic about a certain stock. At the time of writing, Coinbase stocks are down 79.67% year-to-date (YTD), Marathon Digital is down 80.02% YTD, and MicroStrategy is down 71.10% YTD, according to Google Finance. However, S3 Partners says that while the pace of crypto short-selling has remained high, with $71 million of new short-selling over the time period, the pool of stock available to borrow is drying up — meaning that “prospective short sellers may be late to the party.”“With stock borrower utilization at 91%, short sales in size may be difficult to execute, and borrow rates may make it expensive for new and existing short sales.”Utilization is measured by the number of loaned shares divided by the available shares in the securities lending market, with a high utilization rate indicating that the demand for the stock from short sellers is elevated. On Tuesday, S3 Partners’ managing director of predictive analytics Ihor Dusaniwsky told his 82,000 Twitter followers that Coinbase’s short interest reached $1.52 billion on June 14, whilst MicroStrategy’s short interest hit $689 million. Marathon Digital Holdings’ short interest amounted to $181 million.Related: Further downside is expected, but multiple data points suggest Bitcoin is undervaluedThe falling prices of crypto stocks accompany the crash in crypto prices and the downturn in traditional markets amid sharp interest rate hikes and high inflation. On Thursday the price of Bitcoin fell to $20,205 as rumors swirled of a possible collapse of crypto hedge fund Three Arrows Capital (3AC). The recent price movements have prompted some analysts to believe a very long consolidation and accumulation period for the crypto market is to come.

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Portfolio in the red? How tax-loss harvesting can help stem the pain

Crypto investors — particularly those that bought in toward the top of the market in 2021 — may be able to find some salvation through a tax-saving strategy called “loss harvesting” according to Koinly’s head of tax. Koinly is one of the most widely-used crypto tax accounting firms online. Head of tax Danny Talwar told Cointelegraph that while most retail investors are aware of their obligation to pay capital gain taxes (CGT) when they make profits, many are unaware that the opposite holds true and that losses can be used to reduce their overall tax bill by offsetting capital gains elsewhere. “Most people are familiar with the concept of tax on gains […] But what they’re not doing is realizing that they can recognize that loss on their tax return to then offset against gains.”Loss harvestingLoss harvesting, also known as tax-loss harvesting or tax-loss selling is an investment strategy where investors either sell, swap, spend or even gift an asset that has fallen into the red — also known as making a “disposal” — allowing them to “realize a loss.” Investors typically do it in the final weeks of the tax year — which in Australia is right now. Talwar notes the strategy works in many jurisdictions with similar CGT laws though, including the US. “Countries like the U.K., U.S. Canada, follow very similar capital gains tax regimes to Australia or have a kind of loss harvesting,” he said. The concept is also embraced by traditional investors in stocks, bonds, and other financial instruments. In the crypto world, a loss can be realized by converting it to fiat, or just trading for another crypto token on the exchange. Talwar believes that the surge of new crypto investors over the last few years will likely have produced quitea number of loss-making portfolios given the current bear market. “A lot of crypto investors got into the market around 2020 and 2021 […] what that means is the majority of these people are actually going to be sitting on losses, so their portfolios are in the red.”Will it work? Talwar noted there are specific nuances in each country’s tax regime such as the treatment of “wash-sales” which could impact an investor’s ability to benefit from tax-loss harvesting, and suggested that investors reach out to their accountants to see how to best execute this strategy. “A wash sale basically means you’re selling the same asset and reacquiring it in the same space of time, just to recognize a loss for your tax return.”This is illegal in some countries or the tax authority could deny the claimant from realizing a tax loss. Koinly has published guidance explaining how the rules regarding wash sales can differ from country to country.As a general rule, Talwar suggests that anyone that has a portfolio in the red should be thinking about loss-harvesting. “The more relevant point is if you’ve made a sale during the tax year, and you’ve sold at a loss, there’s basically a benefit there that people might miss out on if they don’t put it in their tax return.”One “extreme exception” to the case would be if an investor’s portfolio only contains loss-making crypto and nothing else. In that case, they won’t have any gains to offset. Related: Taxes of top concern behind Bitcoin salaries, Exodus CEO says“They should talk to their accountant, do they have other assets that they can offset a lot against? You know, there’s no point recognizing a loss if crypto is your only investment, you have 99.8% of your savings in the bank and you’re never going to invest again.”Tax authorities playing catch upTalwar believes that whilst global tax authorities have made huge strides over the last three years to keep up with the rapidly evolving crypto industry, there’s still a lot to catch up on as more retail investors pile into the market and crypto accessibility continues to rise. “Three years ago, it was rare for a tax authority to actually have some type of guidance on crypto out there. And the crypto space three years ago is a completely different beast from what it is now. It’s become a lot easier to buy and sell crypto for everyday investors.”However, Talwar noted that “not many” tax authorities have yet released guidance on how investors can record and report the use of decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols despite it gaining strong adoption in 2020.“The UK is probably leading the way in some respects because they’ve just released guidance on decentralized finance. Not many tax authorities have released guidance on DeFi.”

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‘Cheaper than it looks’: Fidelity exec says BTC undervalued and oversold

Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity’s director of global macro, has argued that Bitcoin (BTC) may be “cheaper than it looks”, highlighting evidence on Tuesday that the cryptocurrency may be both undervalued and oversold. Addressing his 126,000 Twitter followers, Timmer explained that while Bitcoin has fallen back to 2020 levels, its price-to-network ratio has reeled all the way back to 2013 and 2017 levels, which he said may indicate it is undervalued. Is BTC cheaper than it looks? If we consider a simple “P/E” metric for BTC to be the price/network ratio, then that ratio is back to 2017 and 2013 levels, even though BTC itself is only back to late 2020 levels. Valuation often is more important than price. /THREAD pic.twitter.com/6XMPrtRUzF— Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) June 15, 2022Bitcoin undervaluedThe price-to-network ratio is a crypto-riff on a popular metric used by traditional stock market investors called the price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is used to determine whether a stock is over or undervalued. A high ratio could suggest an asset is overvalued, whilst a low ratio could signal an undervalued asset. Timmer highlighted a chart of Bitcoin’s demand curve overlaid with Bitcoin’s non-zero addresses against its marketcap, noting that the “price is now sitting below the network curve.”Technically oversoldThe macro analyst also shared a graph making use of Glassnode’s dormancy flow indicator, which he said suggests “how technically oversold Bitcoin is.”Entity-adjusted Dormancy Flow is a popular metric for judging Bitcoin value by comparing the price to spending behavior. According to Glassnode, a low dormancy flow value can suggest increased long-term holder conviction — meaning long-term Bitcoin HODLers are buying up from queasy short-term sellers.“Glassnode’s dormancy flow indicator is now to levels not seen since 2011.”Morgan Creek Digital co-founder and Youtuber Anthony Pompliano gave a similar view to Fox Business Monday, explaining that Bitcoin’s “value and price are diverging” and that “weak hands are selling to strong hands.” “What we’re watching right now is the transfer from weak, short-term oriented people with weak hands into the long-term oriented strong hands.”Bitcoin’s Fear and Greed Index fell to 7, indicating “Extreme Fear” on Wednesday, falling to its lowest levels since Q3 2019. In the past, low index numbers have often suggested a buying opportunity. Related: Bitcoin price climbs to $22.5K after Fed 75 basis point hike aims to cap runaway inflationFidelity Investments and its analyst Timmer have been bullish on Bitcoin. The investment giant has been working on launching a Bitcoin retirement investment plan, which would allow 401(k) retirement saving account holders to invest in Bitcoin directly. Timmer has been predicting that Bitcoin may soon see a revival. I joined Fox Business to discuss bitcoin and the macro environment.Value and price are diverging. Weak hands are selling to strong hands. We have been here before.Thanks @LizClaman for having me. pic.twitter.com/1S6TckUguE— Pomp (@APompliano) June 13, 2022

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Is the bottom in? Raoul Pal, Scaramucci load up, Novogratz and Hayes weigh in

Some of the highest-profile investors in crypto believe that a crypto market bottom is fast approaching and the timing is right to buy — although one still warns of catastrophic outcomes should prices fall below established support levels. Billionaire Mike Novogratz, the founder, chairman and CEO of digital asset merchant bank Galaxy Digital Holdings told a Morgan Stanley conference on June 13 that cryptocurrencies may be close to a bottom, with Ethereum (ETH) likely to hold at $1,000 and Bitcoin (BTC) at around $20,000 to $21,000. The bottom for crypto would be realized faster than that of U.S. stocks, which could fall a further 15% to 20% he said. “Ethereum should hold around $1,000 and it’s $1,200 right now. Bitcoin is around $20,000, $21,000 and it is $23,000, so you are much closer to the bottom in crypto than you are where I think, stocks, are going to have another 15% to 20% decline.” Hayes warns of sell-off riskArthur Hayes, co-founder and former chief of BitMEX took a similar view, acknowledging on Twitter on June 13 that on-chain data for Wrapped Bitcoin (wBTC) and Ether indicated that “liquidations have mostly happened.” However, Hayes warned that should support levels break for BTC and ETH at $20,000 and $1,000 respectively, we could expect “massive sell pressure in spot markets.” 4/ If these levels break, $20k $BTC & $1k $ETH, we can expect massive sell pressure in the spot markets as dealers hedge themselves. We can also expect that there will be some otc dealers and that will be unable to hedge properly and might go belly up.— Arthur Hayes (@CryptoHayes) June 14, 2022Pal, Scaramucci loading up Macro investor Raoul Pal is taking the recent market downturn as an opportunity to add to his crypto positions. On June 14, Pal told his 956,000 Twitter followers that “we are in a buy zone” for Bitcoin (BTC), adding he was getting ready to “significantly” add to his crypto positions “probably starting next week and into July.” The former Goldman Sachs executive explained that the imminent Bitcoin bottom can also be signaled by the weekly Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is at 31, edging closer to its lowest ever at 28. With the weekly RSI at 31 and the lowest ever at 28, that too suggests the low is within striking distance. Don’t ever expect to nail the low however…DeMark weekly charts suggest low is next week or in next 5 weeks. pic.twitter.com/rwtfFxjYzH— Raoul Pal (@RaoulGMI) June 14, 2022

RSI is a metric used by investors to measure the speed and magnitude of price changes, which can indicate overbought or oversold conditions. According to Investopedia, an RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold and undervalued condition.Pal said his framework frequently expects 60% drawdowns over the long-term time horizons, adding: “In fact, the best way to optimize returns is to add significantly when the market tests the key trend.”Anthony Scaramucci, founder of Skybridge Capital told CNBC’s Squawk Box on June 13 that investors should “stay disciplined” amidst the crypto slump, noting that his fund has continued adding Bitcoin and Ethereum into its portfolio. “With incremental cash coming into our fund we have bought more Bitcoin and Ethereum […] So yes, truth be told, people will look back on this debacle and say I wish I had fresh cash to buy into that.”Related: ‘Too early’ to say Bitcoin price has reclaimed key bear market support — AnalysisNovogratz was less gung-ho about investing right now, taking a more conservative approach and telling attendees that it may not yet be time to “deploy lots of capital” as the economy may have further to fall. “Until I see the Fed flinch, until I really think, OK the economy is so bad, and the Fed is going to have to stop hiking and even think about cutting, I don’t think it is time to really deploy lots of capital.”Other metrics that could shed light on whether crypto is nearing its market bottom is the Fear and Greed Index which as of today is currently sitting at 8, under “Extreme Fear”, which was last seen on May 17, around the time of Terra (LUNA)’s collapse. Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index is 8. Extreme FearCurrent price: $21,598 pic.twitter.com/lsbousUzeV— Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index (@BitcoinFear) June 14, 2022

Bitcoin is currently priced at $22,061 and ETH is at $1,215 at the time of writing.

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