Autor Cointelegraph By David Attlee

Correlation growing between crypto and equity markets in Asia, says IMF

Before the COVID-19 pandemic in Asia there was a strong division between the crypto and financial markets in general. Now, that border has got thinner and the situation demands additional regulatory measures, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) believes. In a blog post from Aug. 21, a group of IMF economists shared their concerns over the dynamics of Asian markets, where the integration of crypto in the larger financial system appears to be growing swiftly. This poses certain risks to financial stability, the economists stated, adding: “While the financial sector appears to have been insulated from these sharp movements, it may not be in future boom-bust cycles. Contagion could spread through individual or institutional investors that may hold both crypto and traditional financial assets or liabilities.”The economists further mentioned an example of the Indian market, where the return correlations of Bitcoin (BTC) and Indian stock markets have increased 10-fold over the pandemic. Related: Tornado Cash shows that DeFi can’t escape regulationThe reasons behind the tightening connection between crypto and traditional finance are believed to be a growing acceptance of crypto-related platforms and investment vehicles in the stock market and growing crypto adoption by retail and institutional investors in Asia. Using the spillover methodology developed in their Global Financial Stability Note, the experts also found a sharp rise in crypto-equity volatility spillovers in India, Vietnam and Thailand. In conclusion, Asian regulators are being recommended to “establish clear guidelines on regulated financial institutions,” inform and protect retail investors, and closely coordinate their efforts across jurisdictions. On July 27, the IMF director of capital markets, Tobias Adrian, stated that there could be further failures of algorithmic stablecoins. Thus, stablecoins need a “global regulatory approach” to better protect investors.

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The Philippines pushes back against foreign exchanges, continuing a protectionist streak

The pressure on crypto is growing swiftly in the Philippines. After a recent series of controversial moves from the state regulators and local think tanks, the country’s central bank published a warning to the citizens, discouraging them from engaging in any operations with unregistered or foreign crypto exchanges. The announcement itself doesn’t sound menacing but taken in the context of accompanying developments, it makes a 112-million nation a restive region for crypto. On Aug.17, The Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) published a warning note to the country’s citizens, “strongly urging” them not to deal with Virtual Asset Service Providers (VASPs) that are either unregistered or domiciled abroad. The Bank emphasized that any deals with virtual assets are high-risk activities by themselves, and with foreign platforms, there occurs an additional challenge in enforcing legal recourse and consumer protection. That leaves the public with 19 registered VASPs to conduct their operations on. The list will hardly broaden, at least in the next three years, because a BSP memorandum halted the issue of new VASP licenses from Sep.1. This is how the BSP understands the delicate balance of promoting innovation in finance and managing risks. Perhaps the most intriguing part of the subject concerns one of the world’s largest crypto exchanges, Binance, which is trying to obtain the national license, and, should the BSP memorandum be taken seriously, has less than two weeks to do it. Read more: Philippines’ digital transformation could make it a new crypto hubIn a recent interview with Cointelegraph, Binance’s head of Asia-Pacific, Leon Foong, said that they have already submitted the relevant paperwork to acquire the licenses but cannot provide any other details as they may be confidential. The problem is that the Philippine Securities and Exchanges Commission (SEC) has already cautioned the public not to invest in Binance, repeating the sentiments of an Infrawatch PH think tank, which had previously lobbied for banning the exchange over alleged illegal promotions. At the same time, the Philippines doesn’t consider itself particularly strict or protectionist in its relationship with the crypto industry. As the BSP claimed in its written statement to Cointelegraph on Aug.15, it sees “a lot of benefits associated with crypto and blockchain.” It is eager to promote a crypto education. In particular, the BSP revealed its intention to avoid “any significant limits on crypto investments or trading at this point.” The regulator aims at “risk-based and proportionate regulations.”Still, the country remains a hypothetically attractive destination for crypto. It is considered one of the fastest-growing economies in the world, and over 11.6 million Filipinos own digital assets, making the nation 10th globally in terms of adoption.

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Optimism fading? Regulatory discussion on stablecoins postponed until Fall

Among a rich range of anxieties both for the crypto industry and the global economy at large, the summer of 2022 will be remembered as the time when the stablecoins proved themselves to be not so stable and thus came into the focus of regulators’ attention. The shock of the TerraUSD (UST) depegging in May opened a season of heated-up discussions on stablecoins around the world. The top financial officials from the Group of Seven (G7) largest advanced industrial economies had to send their private jets to the 40,000-populated German town of Koenigswinter to push the international body of the Financial Stability Board into speeding up the crypto regulation process. The Chinese government signaled its desire for even tighter regulations on cryptocurrencies and stablecoins. Japan played proactively limited stablecoin issuance to banks and trust companies. In the United States, an immediate reaction came from The Congressional Research Service (CRS), which dubbed the USTC crash as a “run-like” scenario and emphasized that there is a significant risk of such failure repetitions due to the existing policy lacunas. And though some, like the United States Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, refused to follow such an alarming tone, in the following months, the American crypto community evidenced several major initiatives to regulate the stablecoins.What do the Lummis-Gillibrand and Gottheimer bills suggest?In the first week of June, Senators Cynthia Lummis (R-WY) and Kirsten Gillibrand (D- NY) finally introduced the long-awaited 69-page Responsible Financial Innovation Act. The Act, commonly shortened to a “crypto bill” headline, aspired to become the broad comprehensive framework for crypto at large, dealing with a range of subjects such as banking, the tax treatment of digital assets, principal government agencies’ jurisdictions and interagency coordination.”Among this batch of issues, the bipartisan bill includes a fragment on stablecoin regulations, represented in Sections 601 and 602. As obvious as it may sound, the most important line suggests the Required Payment Stablecoin Assets issuer to hold no less than 100 percent of the face amount of the liabilities that peg the coins. The backing assets must be held in balances at a Federal Reserve bank (including a segregated balance account), or in the case of foreign reserves, at a foreign central bank, “in a special, custodial or trust account.”The guidelines also require a pretty standard range of reporting measures, from the public disclosure of a summary description of the assets backing the stablecoin, the value of these assets and their number, to periodic reports to the Federal banking agency or state bank supervisor. Non-depository institutions could issue stablecoins as well.Related: Built to fall? As the CBDC sun rises, stablecoins may catch a shadowThe Stablecoin Innovation and Protection Act of 2022, published by Senator Josh Gottheimer’s (D-NJ) office, contains nine pages. It introduces the concept of “qualified stablecoin:” redeemable on demand, on a one-to-one four basis for U.S. dollars and issued by an insured depository institution or a nonbank qualified stablecoin issuer. A minor difference from the Lummis-Gillibrand proposition here is a less wide range of the assets to be used as collateral: only U.S. dollars or Federal government securities should be used unless the regulator decides otherwise.The subtle yet important difference between the two bills is that Gottheimer’s draft specifies the legal status of “qualified stablecoins” as neither securities nor commodities and, as such, falls under the regulatory authority of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency, not the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) or the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFRC). The latter two will still preserve their control when it comes to other cryptocurrencies. Both the Responsible Financial Innovation Act and The Stablecoin Innovation and Protection Act of 2022 could be deemed as crypto-friendly, with the second one implying a getaway from the SEC and CFTC scrutiny. In their moderate tone, both bills look promising in contrast to the President’s Working Group on Financial Markets calls to limit the stablecoin issuance to banks insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. “Healthy discussion” and reasons for optimism Speaking to Cointelegraph, Denelle Dixon, CEO at Stellar Development Foundation — a backer of Stellar network — notes that the range of stablecoin legislative initiatives doesn’t limit itself to Lummis-Gillibrand or Gottheimer bills. There is also the bipartisan Digital Commodity Exchange Act of 2022 and Senator Pat Toomey’s Trust Act of 2022. While the first one doesn’t mention the word “stablecoin,” the second one more or less combines the features of the recent bills by privileging the regulatory role of the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency and laying an emphasis on disclosure procedures for stablecoin issuers. Dixon regarded this legislative variety as a product of “healthy discussion” that provides reasons for optimism among the industry stakeholders. There is, she believes, a general agreement over the fundamental principles of stablecoins, the most basic being that stablecoins should be genuinely stable. This means they shall have audited cash or highly-liquid asset-backed reserves, held in regulated banks and financial institutions and subject to public disclosure requirements:“With these foundational principles in place, the question is not which bill is best for the U.S., but how do we get this done.” Budd White, CEO at Tacen, is “incredibly encouraging” to see this level of congressional attention on the responsible development of stablecoins in his dialogue with Cointelegraph. In his opinion, the current “piecemeal” regulatory landscape stands in the way of the proper development of private stablecoins. That stands in stark contrast to countries such as Japan, which was recently able to pass a landmark stablecoin legal framework, White notes. But, there is another threat on the horizon — a specter of non-private stablecoin: “Competing bodies across the country are exploring the possibility of state or federal central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) that could add yet another layer to this confusion, as private stablecoins also pursue development.”The specter of CBDC? Will there be an all-American CBDC soon? That scenario seems not too obvious, especially in comparison to other major markets, such as China or the European Union, where the experiments with digital yuan/euro are publicly embraced. Given the cultural and political differences, it is hard to imagine a swift transition to CBDC in a historically pro-market United States with its combative pluralism in policymaking.As White highlights, one of the main challenges facing a CBDC in the U.S. is the dynamic between the Federal Reserve and private banks:“While the Fed would likely be the entity to issue some form of a digital dollar, they currently have no apparatus to interact directly with consumers – and creating CBDC accounts directly with the Fed could have far-reaching consequences on the U.S. financial system.”Despite that, in reality, the Federal Reserve has been conducting its research on CBDC in the U.S. for a while. Back in 2020, Chair of the Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, acknowledged that there are several ongoing experiments involving the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. No decision has been made, Powell insisted, and there are plenty of risks such a project bears. 1/ New Fed report “The U.S. Dollar in the Age of DigitalTransformation” just released as a “first step” towards a Central Bank Digital Currency TLDR: an American CBDC would replace privacy-protecting paper cash with a tool of surveillance and controlhttps://t.co/LaZj2Uf8ZN— Alex Gladstein ⚡ (@gladstein) January 21, 2022The discussion recently got a new round with the Federal Reserve Board of Governors releasing a discussion paper under the headline “Money and Payments: The U.S. Dollar in the Age of Digital Transformation.” By the end of May, the Fed received over 2,000 pages of comments from stakeholders. While some influential entities such as the Institute of International Finance held a reserved tone, others expressed their skepticism over the idea. Thus, The Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association pointed out that some key benefits of implementing the CBDC, highlighted by the Fed experts, could be developed using other payment infrastructures “such as stablecoins or settlement tokens.” The Credit Union National Association, famous for its anti-CBDC stance, explicitly criticized the idea: “Given that the vast majority of US payments are already being conducted through digital channels, the Fed must clearly state what problem(s) it is trying to solve.”The creation of a CBDC would inevitably lead to the movement of funds from banks to the Fed, stated the American Banking Association, estimating that 71% of bank funding could be at risk of moving. Thus, the notable hesitation of the Fed itself has met a range of vocal opposition not only from the crypto industry but from the larger financial lobbyists. Still, the possibility of CBDC in the U.S. is not unimaginable, Dixon suggests. In fact, she notices, CBDC is “probably inevitable” given the digitalization of the U.S. economy. The good news, though, is that it doesn’t mean the stablecoins could be just brushed off on that foundation. “Picking a technology solution today will likely be outdated in five years,” Dixon reminds, “Allowing for stablecoins to exist and thrive will only serve the national interest.” Presumably, the upcoming Fall will bring some clarity about the legal status of stablecoins in the U.S., irrespective of the Fed’s CBDC ambitions.

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Law Decoded, Aug. 8-15: In the eye of Tornado Cash

Summer is still on, harvesting the fresh names for its list of the crypto companies in deep trouble. This time, the trouble came not from the market or management but from the United States Treasury Department. The regulator has added more than 40 cryptocurrency addresses allegedly connected to crypto mixer Tornado Cash to the Specially Designated Nationals list. These individuals and groups allegedly laundered more than $7 billion worth of cryptocurrency. Accusations like this don’t come easy — one of the co-founders of Tornado Cash has reported his account suspended at GitHub, while the issuer of the USD Coin (USDC) stablecoin, Circle, froze over 75,000 USDC worth of funds linked to the problematic addresses. By the end of last week, Dutch Fiscal Information and Investigation Service arrested a 29-year-old developer suspected of being involved in money laundering. The enforcers’ activity has not been taken with a light heart by the industry. Figures like Jake Chervinsky and Jerry Brito criticized the Treasury Department for acting against the tool instead of punishing the concrete individuals. Someone even started a prank campaign, making transactions from Tornado Cash’s smart contract addresses to celebrities such as Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong and American television host Jimmy Fallon. Digital ruble might be rolled out by 2024The Bank of Russia continues working toward the upcoming adoption of the central bank digital currency (CBDC), planning an official digital ruble rollout in a few years. The authority will begin to connect all banks and credit institutions to the digital ruble platform in 2024, a year when the country is expected to hold presidential elections. The central bank also expects to introduce the offline mode for the digital ruble by 2025 alongside the integration of non-bank financial intermediaries, financial platforms and exchange infrastructure.Continue readingUzbekistan blocks access to foreign crypto exchangesIn Uzbekistan, the recently formed crypto regulator, the National Agency of Perspective Projects, is compelling big international players to comply with the local legislation. Some crypto exchanges have found themselves blocked for Uzbeki users due to accusations of unlicensed activity. Apart from obtaining a license, they might have to deploy the servers on the territory of Uzbekistan, as the regulator hints. Continue readingNo new crypto licenses for three years in the PhilippinesWhile many believe that the Philippines can become a new crypto hub, that dream may be shattered in the meantime as the country’s central bank announced a three-year hiatus from accepting new virtual asset service provider (VASP) applications. The normal application window for new VASP licenses will be closed for three years, beginning on Sept. 1, 2022. However, applications that have already passed the second stage of the process before Aug. 31, 2022, will continue to the next assessment steps. Continue reading

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Uzbekistan blocks access to foreign crypto exchanges over unregistered trading

The government of Uzbekistan, which has previously made significant steps toward a moderate approach to crypto, announced Wednesday that it has restricted access to a number of large international crypto exchanges due to accusations of unlicensed activity. In a statement from Aug. 10, the National Agency of Perspective Projects (NAPP) projects informed that “various electronic platforms” provide services for trade and exchange of crypto-assets without obtaining the required license in violation of the existing legislation and thus access to them was restricted. However, the tone of the statement suggested that after obtaining a license and fulfilling the requirement to deploy servers on the territory of the Republic of Uzbekistan, as prescribed by law, there should be no further obstacles to foreign exchanges providing their services. As for now: “They have no legal responsibility for transactions with crypto-assets, and cannot guarantee the legitimacy of transactions, as well as the proper storage and protection of confidentiality of personal data of citizens of the Republic of Uzbekistan.”The existing legislation that is being referred to is the presidential decree from July 3, 2018, “On measures to develop the digital economy and the sphere of crypto-assets turnover in the Republic of Uzbekistan.” Related: What Kazakhstan’s new tax regime means for the crypto mining industryThe NAPP itself gained the status of principal crypto regulator in the country fairly recently — at the end of April 2022, President Shavkat Mirziyoyev issued a decree on regulating the industry, committing the newly formed agency to the mission of adopting a “special crypto regulation regime” in Uzbekistan. In June, the NAPP said it would only allow companies using solar energy to mine Bitcoin (BTC) or other cryptocurrencies in the country. The executive order also obliged any mining operator to obtain a certificate and register in the national registry of crypto mining companies.Binance, FTX and Huobi are among the global exchanges that were being used by Uzbeki crypto investors. Cointelegraph reached out to confirm the situation with them and will update the story once new information becomes available.

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