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Bitcoin tipped for $66K top as trader flags 'suspicious' BTC price gains

Bitcoin (BTC) returned to $64,000 on Sunday amid concerns over unreliable BTC price strength.Key points:Bitcoin brushes off US-Iran tensions despite the Strait of Hormuz being closed.A trader calls BTC price behavior “suspicious” as a result, while targets see maximum upside reaching $66,000.Binance sell-side pressure remains substantial.BTC price ignores new Hormuz closure, Iran strike threatsData from TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting local highs of $64,522 on Bitstamp before reversing to trade 0.5% lower on the day.BTC/USD one-hour chart. Source: Cointelegraph/TradingViewThe pair maintained most of its gains despite fresh instability in the US-Iran war, with Tehran once again closing the Strait of Hormuz oil route and placing the current peace deal in doubt.Israeli strikes on Lebanon lay at the heart of the stand-off, with Iran warning that last week’s ceasefire could unravel entirely as a result. US President Donald Trump responded with defiant rhetoric.“Iran must immediately stop their highly paid PROXIES in Lebanon from causing trouble,” he wrote in a post on Truth Social, threatening “harder” strikes on Iran.Source: Truth SocialHours before US futures markets were due to open, crypto traders were predictably cautious.“$BTC is pumping with rising geopolitical tensions, very suspicious,” trader Lennaert Snyder commented on X.Snyder nonetheless saw a potential move to $66,000 as part of the current uptick, predicting an “interesting week” for Bitcoin.Fellow trader Killa, meanwhile, warned that history favored the week’s high coming sooner rather than later.“Monday hasn’t been kind to $BTC lately,” they told X followers. “Over the past six weeks, 6 out of 6 Mondays have marked a local pivot high before price moved lower.”BTC/USD chart with Monday peaks marked. Source: Killa/XBinance spot market sellers keep up pressureAnalysis of exchange order books produced further misgivings.Related: Bitcoin tipped for Q3 ‘macro bottom’ near $50K as major liquidity grab loomsCommentator Exitpump said that short interest on Binance meant that it was the derivatives markets behind the latest price rise.“Despite price slowly grinding higher, Binance spot continues to sell into the move. Mostly perps driven move up,” they wrote on Saturday.BTC/USD 10-minute chart with order-book data (Binance). Source: Exitpump/XEarlier, Cointelegraph reported on persistent “aggressive” sell pressure from Binance keeping bulls in check.

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Bitcoin price may hit $24K if US stock market crashes by 50%, analyst warns

Bitcoin (BTC) could tumble by over 60% to under $24,000 in 2026, according to technical analyst Jesse Olson, if the stock market experiences a major crash. Key takeaways:A US stock market crash of over 50% may accelerate BTC’s sell-off.Negative Coinbase premium and persistent ETF outflows hint at de-risking among institutional investors.Bitcoin chart flags $23,980 worst-case downside targetIn a Sunday post, Olson shared a two-week Bitcoin chart showing BTC potentially falling toward $23,980, based on a long-term volume-weighted support line from his proprietary Market Sniper Pro VWAP indicator.BTC/USD two-week price chart. Source: TradingView/Jesse OlsonThe yellow line on the chart represents a custom version of anchored volume-weighted average price (aVWAP), a tool traders use to track the average price of an asset, weighted by volume, from a specific starting point.In Bitcoin’s case, Olson appears to have anchored the line from the 2022 bear market bottom, allowing it to slope forward as a potential long-term support zone.Olson presented the $23,980 level as his base-case Bitcoin forecast in a severe macro sell-off, wherein the stock market drops by over 50%. The type of stress Olson warns about is already being flagged by veteran market observers.For instance, GMO co-founder Jeremy Grantham has called the ongoing AI market boom a major speculative bubble. While Michael Burry has compared the current rally to the final stages of the Dot-com mania.Related: Arthur Hayes dumps HYPE, NEAR as he warns of AI IPO waveEconomist Gary Shilling has also warned that a US recession is “almost inevitable” by year-end, with stocks at risk of a 20%–30% decline.BTC often trades like a high-risk asset during market stress. A deep stock-market sell-off could force investors to cut crypto exposure, turning Olson’s $23,980 level into a key downside level to watch.Bitcoin institutional demand remains weakAnother bearish signal comes from the Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks Bitcoin’s price gap between Coinbase and Binance.A positive premium usually points to stronger US institutional demand, while a negative reading suggests weaker professional buying or heavier selling on Coinbase. In Bitcoin’s case, the index has largely remained negative so far in 2026, showing that institutional buyers are still not stepping in with conviction.Bitcoin Coinbase Premium Index vs. price. Source: CryptoQuant/DarkfostSpot Bitcoin ETFs are showing a similar trend. Since May, the US-based funds have recorded $4.68 billion in net outflows, according to SoSoValue data, reflecting weaker demand from professional investors and other ETF buyers.US Bitcoin ETF net flows. Source: SoSoValue”These investors don’t act like retail,” said Darkfost, a CryptoQuant-associated on-chain analyst, in a Sunday post, adding: “They operate under permanent risk management logic, they’re not looking to buy a potential bottom, they’re looking for confirmation, for performance. And that’s not the case yet.”In the past, multiple analysts, including Galaxy Digital’s Alex Thorn and pseudonymous trader Crypto Kid, have said Bitcoin could decline below $30,000 in the event of a stock market crash.

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Dash eyes Philippines as market for crypto payments

Dash is exploring the Philippines as a potential market for crypto payments, citing demand for lower-cost transactions and the country’s openness to digital finance tools. In an interview with Cointelegraph at the Philippine Blockchain Week 2026, Daria Chernozub, global adoption lead at Dash Blockchain, said the project focuses on emerging markets where users face high fees and need simpler payment options. “We believe that Dash brings the technology and the payment solutions for people who are suffering from high commissions [and] who need something easy to use,” Chernozub said, adding that the Philippines fits that profile because consumers are open to learning about new technologies.She said Dash is still assessing the local market and prioritizing legal compliance before any launch. She said Dash had begun communicating with major market participants and had prepared a legal opinion letter for discussions with regulatory and financial industry bodies.Dash’s assessment comes as the Philippines seeks to attract foreign technology companies, though industry participants say the regulatory process for crypto firms remains significantly more demanding than basic corporate registration. Daria Chernozub (left) with Cointelegraph’s Ezra Reguerra (right) at the Philippine Blockchain Week. Source: Daria ChernozubCorporate registration takes minutes, crypto compliance can take years Philippine Securities and Exchange Commission Commissioner (SEC) Rogelio Quevedo told Cointelegraph during an interview at Philippine Blockchain Week 2026 that foreign investors can register a corporation online from anywhere in the world in about 20 to 30 minutes.Quevedo said the government is ready to assist foreign investors and described the SEC’s online registration system as part of the agency’s broader push toward digitization and innovation. His comments suggest that formally setting up a local entity has become easier, though crypto companies may still face additional licensing and compliance requirements before operating. Related: Dash Evolution chain integrates Zcash Orchard privacy poolMarie Antonette Quiogue, BlockShoals’ head of legal and CEO of Arden Consult, said during a separate interview at the event that the SEC has created a framework for foreign crypto exchanges willing to enter a regulated environment.Quiogue said the regulated path comes with significant obligations and cited the roughly two years BlockShoals spent developing its arrangement with Binance.Beyond regulation, Quiogue pointed to the Philippines’ young population, high mobile usage and widespread English proficiency as factors that could attract overseas crypto companies.Magazine: China’s 107 Bitcoin memory thief, Bithumb CEO booked: Asia Express

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Bitcoin price is down over 40% since STRC launched: Is Strategy 'fine'?

Bitcoin (BTC) has fallen roughly 50% since Michael Saylor’s Strategy launched Stretch (STRC), its flagship Bitcoin-funding vehicle, in late July 2025.BTC/USD monthly chart. Source: TradingViewKey takeaways:STRC is acting like a classic Ponzi scheme, argue Peter Schiff and other critics.Other analysts disagree, noting that STRC’s drop below the $100 par is due to a leverage wipeout. Critics say STRC looks like a “classic centralized Ponzi”STRC was designed to trade near its $100 par value, enabling Strategy to raise capital to buy more Bitcoin. The instrument is now trading at a deep discount, suggesting that the BTC buying channel is under pressure.On Thursday, STRC fell to a record low of $82.53 before closing at $88.59, still below the $100 par value.STRC daily chart. Source: TradingViewLaunched in July 2025, STRC was designed to trade near par through adjustable dividends, currently 11.5% annualized, with proceeds used primarily to acquire Bitcoin.The widening discount has pushed STRC’s effective yield above 12.9% and contributed to a pause in at-the-market share issuance. That risks slowing down the capital-raising flywheel behind Strategy’s Bitcoin treasury, which now holds more than 846,000 BTC. In finance, a “flywheel” is a self-reinforcing business model where growth in one metric directly helps grow another, compounding momentum.But trading 13% below par has revived criticism of Strategy’s funding model. Bitcoin critic Peter Schiff has repeatedly described STRC as “a classic centralized Ponzi,” arguing that it depends on Strategy’s ability to raise fresh capital through new share sales or sell Bitcoin to meet obligations. Source: X/Peter SchiffCrypto trader DonAlt also questioned STRC’s recent price action, asking why the instrument was “trading like a Ponzi” after its sharp move below par.Strategy has not directly addressed this in recent statements, instead continuing to present STRC as preferred equity supported by its Bitcoin-focused treasury strategy.However, the company has moved STRC to a semi-monthly dividend schedule, with payouts now designed to occur twice a month rather than monthly. Strategy’s Bitcoin buying pace slows as STRC slumpsThe pace of Strategy’s Bitcoin accumulation has slowed sharply as STRC trades below par value.The company added 1,550 BTC for $101 million in the week ending June 8 and another 1,587 BTC for $100 million in the week ending June 15, lifting total holdings to 846,842 BTC. Those were meaningful purchases, but they were far smaller than Strategy’s weekly buys earlier in 2026.For instance, in April, Strategy bought 34,164 BTC for $2.54 billion in a single week. In May, it added another 24,869 BTC for roughly $2.01 billion. By contrast, June’s weekly additions have been closer to $100 million each.The slowdown also coincided with a small but notable 32 BTC sale earlier in June, worth about $2.5 million, to help cover dividend obligations. Related: Bitcoin price sets $64.5K week-to-date low as Strategy selling worries returnThe sale was tiny compared with Strategy’s overall Bitcoin treasury, but it showed that cash obligations can still force limited BTC sales when STRC-led funding becomes less efficient.STRC-led weekly BTC buying estimates. Source: STRC.LIVEAnalyst says STRC drop is a leverage wipeoutThe STRC sell-off looked more like a leverage wipeout than a deterioration in Strategy’s fundamentals, according to Jesse Myers, head of Bitcoin strategy at The Smarter Web Company.“Strategy is fine,” he said in a Thursday post, adding that the company could pay STRC dividends for 32 years if conditions remain unchanged, and indefinitely if Bitcoin appreciates at roughly 2% annually.STRC’s long stretch near $99–$100 encouraged investors to use heavy leverage, with some assuming the instrument would stay above $95. Once the price slipped, margin calls and forced selling accelerated the decline.The discount may also attract income buyers, according to analyst Scott Melker. In a Sunday post, he noted that STRC’s dividends are based on the $100 liquidation preference, not the market price. At an 11.5% dividend rate, buyers at $90 earn about 12.8%, while buyers at $85 earn roughly 13.5%.Source: X/Scott MelkerAt current prices, STRC offers an effective yield of about 13%. Strategy may announce its next dividend rate on June 30, while retaining other options, including MSTR share issuance and cash reserves, to fund its Bitcoin purchases.

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